ALGN
ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INCEvidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.2 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The compilation of surviving claims yields a Mixed evidence balance (+ 0.2 of a possible + 2; was + 0.2 before debate) · confidence high. Revenue rose from $ 995,692,000 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-29) to $ 1,040,087,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-01) and to $ 1,056,192,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-31). Gross profit and gross margin expanded over the same span — gross profit moved from $ 639,201,000 (~ 64.2% margin) in Q3 2025 to $ 736,587,000 (~ 70.8%) in Q1 2026 and $ 757,430,000 (~ 71.7%) in Q2 2026.
Operating income has been variable: it peaked at $ 163,033,000 in Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-08-01), fell to $ 96,298,000 in Q3 2025, then recovered to $ 141,955,000 in Q1 2026 and $ 154,013,000 in Q2 2026 but remains below the Q2 2025 high. Reported net income and diluted EPS were lower in Q2 2026 (net income $ 108,294,000; diluted EPS $ 1.51) than in Q2 2025 (net income $ 124,608,000; diluted EPS $ 1.72). Shares outstanding declined from 72,486,368 as of 2025-08-01 to 71,039,852 as of 2026-07-31, with $ 31,195,000 recorded for repurchase of common stock in Q1 2026. Trailing-twelve-month cash and profitability metrics include FCF TTM $ 302,715,000, FCF per share $ 4.2326, EPS TTM $ 5.58, EBITDA TTM $ 748,271,000 and OCF TTM $ 432,277,000; cash and cash equivalents were $ 1,102,591,000 as of 2026-06-30.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue was $995,692,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo) and increased to $1,040,087,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $1,056,192,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001097149-26-000060Gross profit margin expanded: gross profit was $639,201,000 on revenue $995,692,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (gross margin ~64.2%) and rose to $736,587,000 on revenue $1,040,087,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (gross margin ~70.8%) and $757,430,000 on revenue $1,056,192,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (gross margin ~71.7%).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001097149-26-000060Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC was a holding in the ETF identified as IVV as of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00.
ETF constituents · market dataALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC represented 0.02% of the IVV fund by weight as of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Several outlets report a company board change: Quentin Blackford is being appointed to Align Technology's board and his appointment is covered in press releases and newswire-style pieces.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-08-31Multiple distinct outlets (Kalkine Media and Kalkine/related headlines) note that Quentin S. Blackford was granted 1,376 restricted stock units on August 27, 2026, and that Andrea L. Saia announced her resignation.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-08-31Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (FCF TTM) is $302,715,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeFree cash flow per share (TTM) is $4.2326.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-filed fundamentals and valuation metrics jointly support a constructive read: sequential revenue growth across three recent quarters (fundamentals-0) occurred alongside a pronounced expansion in gross margin from ~64% to ~72% (fundamentals-1), while trailing twelve‑month free cash flow and cash balances are material (valuation-0, valuation-5). Share count has declined and the company executed repurchases in recent quarters (fundamentals-4), which, combined with margin expansion and strong FCF, can explain why operating income recovered toward Q2 2026 after earlier variability (fundamentals-2). The sell‑side consensus tilt toward buy (street consensus) and multiple buy-side news items about board appointments (news-0, news-1) add supporting market-interest context. The negative quarterly net income comparison (fundamentals-3) and isolated negative press on share performance (news-2) are weaker counterpoints here because profitability measures show variability quarter-to-quarter and broader profitability improvements (gross margin, FCF, cash) are evident; the industry projection cited (news-3) is third‑party market context rather than company-specific performance. Overall, the strongest evidence is the company-filed revenue and margin expansion and the solid FCF/cash position; the weakest evidence is selective negative press and a single quarter net income decline when set against the broader set of operational metrics.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.36
18 surviving claims rest on 9 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 33% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving read relies on a small set of distinct sources and a single analyst contributes a third of the surviving claims, so the overall view has moderate source concentration and some analyst dependence. Because 97% of raised points survived the internal debate, the desk’s conclusions are internally consistent but may be brittle to new filings or fresh external data that come from sources not yet represented.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.4 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
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Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.