ALLE
Allegion plcEvidence as of 2026-10-02The desk's Snapshot
3 of 15 open to everyone · members see allRead the full desk report on ALLE
Seven analysts, the debate, the risk review, every claim cited. And the same for every name you hold.
Free plan, no credit card required. Silver opens the full report, $19.99 a month. AI-written · every claim cites a source · Insight, not advice.
Overview · Allegion plc
Allegion plc manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic security products and solutions worldwide. The company offers door controls and systems and exit devices; locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems and services; electronic security products and access control systems; time, attendance, and workforce productivity systems; doors, accessories, and other. It also provides services and software, which i…
Management team
- Mr. Joshua Charles Pokrzywinski · Vice President of Investor RelationsFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. John H. Stone · President, CEO & DirectorFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Jennifer L. Hawes · Senior VP & Chief Human Resources OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Doshia Stewart · Vice President of Global Corporate CommunicationsFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The surviving record is mixed and leans slightly negative (evidence balance: Mixed, -0.1 of a possible +2; confidence high). Revenues were $ 1,151,500,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-20), up from $ 1,033,600,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-24), while operating income rose to $ 254,700,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 from $ 195,300,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 and diluted EPS increased to $ 2.15 from $ 1.59 over the same two quarters. Common shares outstanding declined from 86,145,484 shares as of 12 February 2026 to 85,036,786 shares as of 20 July 2026, and cash repurchases increased to $ 120,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 from $ 40,000,000 in earlier quarters.
Balance-sheet and market context recorded higher leverage and elevated volatility: long-term debt was $ 2,030,900,000 as of 30 June 2026 versus $ 1,980,100,000 as of 31 December 2025; 30‑day and 90‑day annualized volatility are elevated at +18.3% and +29.2% respectively; beta versus SPY is low at 0.52; and trailing valuation metrics show P/FCF of 56.63 and P/E of 19.86 at the price dated 2026-10-01.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenues were $1,151,500,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo), up from $1,033,600,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001579241-26-000028Operating income was $254,700,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo), compared with $195,300,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001579241-26-000028Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
In the Annual Report on Form 10-K filed February 17, 2026, management stated, "In 2025, we delivered high-single digit revenue growth compared to 2024, driven by favorable pricing and volume growth, as well as the impact from acquisitions made during the year," and reported Net revenues of $4,067.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared with $3,772.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2024.
10-K filed 2026-02-17The 10-K filed February 17, 2026 reports outstanding borrowings under the Revolving Facility of $190.6 million at December 31, 2025 and that the Revolving Facility commitment was increased to $1.0 billion on December 9, 2025.
10-K filed 2026-02-17Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Short-term momentum is positive: 3-month momentum is +9.7% and 6-month momentum is +7.5%, while a golden cross is present and the moving-average crossover age is 23 days.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-01weakened in debateLonger-term relative performance and momentum are weaker: 12-month momentum (12_1) is -9.3% and 12-month relative strength vs SPY is -27.4%, with the 12_1 momentum percentile at the 24th percentile of the 566-stock universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-01weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02, Allegion plc represented 0.19% of the Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (VB) by weight.
ETF constituents · market dataAs of 2026-10-01, Allegion plc represented 0.02% of the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) by weight.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Two outlets (finance.yahoo.com and stockstory.org) published the same headline on 1 October 2026 noting that Allegion has lagged the S&P 500 since April 2026, reporting a 6.4% return versus the S&P 500's 16.6% over that span.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-01weakened in debateTwo articles on simplywall.st in late September 2026 highlight that Allegion was removed from the FTSE All-World Index in September 2026 and discuss how that index exit could prompt selling by index-tracking funds or change trading activity.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-09-26Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Director MIZELL STEVEN reported an open-market purchase of 170 shares on 2026-08-28 with a reported value of "$27k".
Form 4 · MIZELL STEVEN (Director) · $27k bought · 2026-08-28Ilardi David S. (President-Amer & SVP-Allegion) has two reported transactions on 2026-08-18: a transaction reporting "549" shares with value "$39k" (action code M) and a sale of "549" shares with value "$88k" (action listed as sold).
Form 4 · Ilardi David S. (President-Amer & SVP-Allegion) · $39k code M · 2026-08-18Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model implies a required free cash flow growth rate of 36.55% (0.3655) for the current price and stated discount/terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeweakened in debatePrice-to-free-cash-flow (price/FCF) on a trailing-twelve-month basis is 56.63 as of the price dated 2026-10-01.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The evidence shows a clear improvement in most recent quarterly fundamentals: Q2 2026 revenues, operating income, and diluted EPS each rose materially versus Q1 2026, while the company increased share repurchases (and reported a lower share count), which strengthens per-share metrics — these items are direct, company-reported figures and therefore high-strength evidence. Trailing EPS yields a P/E near 19.9 and trailing FCF is positive ($234.3M), which provides context that the business is generating earnings and cash flow (medium-strength evidence), and a reported dividend plus modest dividend growth adds an income element (low-to-medium strength). Short-term momentum and a low beta indicate recent market positioning and lower systematic sensitivity (signal-based, medium-strength evidence) that can make the stock behave less like broader market declines. In rebuttal to valuation- and market-weakness claims, the high price/FCF and model-implied aggressive FCF growth assumptions rest on valuation-model outputs (lower-strength for company-operational inference), whereas the operational data (revenues, operating income, EPS, buybacks, share reduction) are direct filings and provide stronger support for a favorable reading of recent company performance. Financial advisors often point out that improving quarter-to-quarter operating and per-share metrics, combined with active capital return and positive cash flow, are signals market participants use to reassess company valuations; historically, these company-level improvements have been meaningful inputs for analysts and investor sentiment (contextual observation, not a recommendation).
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.35
35 surviving claims rest on 15 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 17% of them, and 91% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence base is moderately concentrated: 35 surviving claims draw on 15 distinct sources, and a single analyst accounts for a meaningful share but not a majority of the claims. High debate survival (91%) means most points endured internal scrutiny; however, source concentration and analyst weight imply this read carries useful signal but should be treated cautiously for heavy inference.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
12 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
9 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes+0.4 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.2 to the score
2 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.3 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
3 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.1 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on ALLE Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Get this for the names you actually hold
Every name in your portfolio, researched the same way, plus the one thing no sample can show: how each one sits inside what you already own.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.