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ALLE

Allegion plcEvidence as of 2026-09-02

Overview · Allegion plc

Allegion plc manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic security products and solutions worldwide. The company offers door controls and systems and exit devices; locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems and services; electronic security products and access control systems; time, attendance, and workforce productivity systems; doors, accessories, and other. It also provides services and software, which i…

SectorIndustrials
IndustrySecurity & Protection Services
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees12,300
www.allegion.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.2 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.8
Filings and risk
+0.0
Market signals
+0.2
Ownership and flow
+0.0
Insider activity
+0.0

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+1.1 observed
4 favorable1 neutral0 unfavorableacross 5 outlets · 6 stories deduped to 5 storylines

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

What the evidence shows

Evidence balance: Mixed (+0.2 of a possible +2; was +0.2 before debate) · confidence high. The surviving filings and results show revenue of $1,151,500,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-20), up from $1,033,600,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-24) and $1,022,000,000 in Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-22). Operating income expanded from $195,300,000 in Q1 2026 to $254,700,000 in Q2 2026, implying an operating margin rise from about 18.9% to about 22.1% on the reported figures, and diluted EPS moved from $1.59 to $2.15 over the same two quarters. The balance-sheet and market facts that survive the packet include a rise in point-in-time long-term debt to $2,031,100,000 as of 2026-06-30, declining common shares outstanding to 85,036,786 as of 20 July 2026, elevated volatility (30‑day annualized 38.7%, 90‑day 33.0%), a trailing twelve‑month FCF of $234,300,000 and a price/TTM‑FCF multiple of 55.73, plus the board’s $0.55 quarterly dividend declared 2 September 2026.

What the debate changed

The desk’s review did not drop or weaken any of the surviving numerical claims; every headline revenue, operating income, EPS, market metric, and filing entry listed in the packet survived the debate. Because no claim was removed or softened, the read stayed anchored to the same set of figures and market signals the analysts presented.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Revenue for the fiscal quarter Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30) was $1,151,500,000.

XBRL companyfacts · 0001579241-26-000028

Revenue for the fiscal quarter Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) was $1,033,600,000.

XBRL companyfacts · 0001579241-26-000015
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

A Form 4 with the 4 filed 31 August 2026 was filed on 2026-08-31 and its parse_status in the evidence is listed as "pending".

4 filed 2026-08-31

A Form 4 with the 4 filed 20 August 2026 was filed on 2026-08-20 and its parse_status in the evidence is listed as "skipped".

4 filed 2026-08-20
NashAI market signals analyst
+0.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

Beta vs SPY is 0.56 and correlation vs SPY is 0.26 on 2026-09-01, indicating below-market beta and low correlation to the S&P 500 proxy.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01

Short-term momentum is +17.4% (3m) while medium-term momentum is -3.4% (6m) and momentum_12_1 is -1.4%, with the 6m and 12_1 momentum metrics at the 30th percentile of the 547-stock universe.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debate
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+0.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02, ALLE appears in the Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (VB) with a reported weight of 0.19% of that fund.

ETF constituents · market data

As of 2026-09-02, ALLE is listed with 0.02% weights in several broad-market ETFs: Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF (SCHB), and Schwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF (SCHX).

ETF constituents · market data
YatesAI news analyst
+1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

The company's board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.55 per ordinary share in a press release dated 2 September 2026.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02

Allegion announced the launch of a mobile application called Allegion Optimize, with LCN Senior Swing reported as the first to utilize the newly released app in coverage on 1 September 2026.

News · prnewswire.com · 2026-09-01
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
−1.0

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

Director Mizell Steven reported an open-market purchase of 170 shares valued at "$27k" on 2026-08-28.

Form 4 · MIZELL STEVEN (Director) · $27k bought · 2026-08-28

Ilardi David S. (President-Amer & SVP-Allegion) has two filings on 2026-08-18 showing 549 shares: one entry coded "M" with a value of "$39k" and a separate sale reported with a value of "$88k" for 549 shares.

Form 4 · Ilardi David S. (President-Amer & SVP-Allegion) · $39k code M · 2026-08-18
ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

The model-calculated implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that today’s price would justify is 36.09%.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Trailing twelve-month free cash flow (FCF) is $234,300,000.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 5 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

Several contemporaneous primary-source filings and press releases show rising revenue and earnings across sequential quarters (Q1 to Q2 2026), operating-margin expansion, and higher diluted EPS in Q2 2026 versus Q1 2026; these are direct fundamental indicators of improving reported business performance. Share-count reductions and a materially larger share-repurchase outflow in Q2 2026, together with a newly declared quarterly dividend and an insider open-market purchase, jointly support a shareholder-return–oriented read. Market-signal evidence (low beta/low correlation, price just above SMA50/SMA200 with a recent golden cross) complements the fundamentals by showing below-market sensitivity and short-term technical support. Evidence strength: core fundamentals and dividend/repurchase items are high strength (SEC filings and company releases); insider purchase and product launch are medium strength (news/insider filings); market signals and valuation outputs are model-derived and medium strength.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

The company's board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.55 per ordinary share in a press release dated 2 September 2026.A company press release dated 2-Sep-2026 announcing a $0.55 quarterly dividend is present in the referenced news evidence.upheld
Allegion announced the launch of a mobile application called Allegion Optimize, with LCN Senior Swing reported as the first to utilize the newly released app in coverage on 1 September 2026.Coverage on 1-Sep-2026 reporting the Allegion Optimize app launch and LCN Senior Swing as first user appears in the cited news item.upheld
Beta vs SPY is 0.56 and correlation vs SPY is 0.26 on 2026-09-01, indicating below-market beta and low correlation to the S&P 500 proxy.Model outputs list beta 0.56 and correlation 0.26 versus the SPY proxy on the cited date.upheld
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

diversified0.29

35 surviving claims rest on 20 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 23% of them, and 99% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The read is supported by a moderate breadth of sources (20) for 35 surviving claims, which lends some evidentiary breadth; however, the heaviest analyst contributing 23% of claims creates source concentration that raises sensitivity to that analyst’s inputs. The very high internal survival rate (99%) signals strong desk consensus but also suggests limited contradiction during review, so treat the set as informational but somewhat fragile to concentrated or unchallenged inputs.

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-02
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

12 filings· 2 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score

3 documents· 2 cited

SEC filing documents

The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.

Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash+0.2 to the score

2 holdings records· 1 cited

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

3 filings· 2 cited

Insider filings

Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.

Read by Talbot+0.0 to the score

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-8393e00cevidence 331f99456036generated 9/2/2026, 9:55:22 PM · 115s15 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.