APA
APA CorporationEvidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.6 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The desk finds a constructive evidence balance of + 0.6 of a possible + 2, confidence high. Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding trended lower from 364,000,000 in the quarter ended 2025-03-31 (FY 2024) to 354,000,000 in the quarters ended 2026-03-31 (Q1 2026) and 2026-06-30 (Q2 2026), with point-in-time common shares outstanding falling to 350,351,510 as of 2026-07-31 (Q2 2026).
Quarterly profitability and cash-generation metrics in the packet are positive: diluted EPS were $ 0.96 (FY 2024), $ 1.67 (Q1 2025), $ 0.57 (Q2 2025), $ 1.26 (Q1 2026) and $ 2.11 (Q2 2026); single-quarter operating income rose to $ 1,280,000,000 in Q2 2026; trailing twelve-month operating income and EBITDA are $ 3,841,000,000 and $ 5,993,000,000 respectively, and operating cash flow (ttm) is $ 2,353,000,000. Point-in-time balance-sheet items show total assets declining from $ 19,390,000,000 as of 2024-12-31 to $ 17,973,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 while stockholders’ equity increased from $ 5,280,000,000 to $ 7,021,000,000 over the same span; cash and equivalents stand at $ 444,000,000 as of 2026-06-30.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding were 364,000,000 for the quarter 2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 361,000,000 for 2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 358,000,000 for 2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 354,000,000 for 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, and 354,000,000 for 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30.
XBRL companyfacts · 0002040266-25-000012Common shares outstanding (point-in-time) were 364,064,316 as of 2025-01-31, 360,845,120 as of 2025-04-30, 357,786,460 as of 2025-07-31, 354,669,251 as of 2025-10-31, 353,251,476 as of 2026-01-31, 353,470,227 as of 2026-04-30, and 350,351,510 as of 2026-07-31.
XBRL companyfacts · 0002040266-25-000007Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, APA is a constituent of the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) with a reported weight of 0.02% of the fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe reported IVV weight of 0.02% of the fund is a very small single-ETF exposure by percentage of that fund's assets.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Multiple outlets on 1–2 September 2026 reported APA Group’s full-year results to 30 June 2026 showing revenue of A$3,003 million and net income of A$207 million, and noted an ordinary dividend declaration.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-09-02Several articles from kalkinemedia on 1–2 September 2026 focus on APA’s pipeline plans, specifically environmental assessment work for the proposed North to East Australia Pipeline linking Beetaloo gas to the east coast network.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Cash and cash equivalents reported were $444,000,000 as of 2026-06-30.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeLong-term debt is reported as $8,715,000,000 (debt figure dated 2021-03-31 in the evidence).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeweakened in debateDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Recent company-reported quarterly results show rising operating income, EBITDA, and a large trailing-12-month operating cash flow (supported by fundamentals-4, valuation-3, valuation-2), and diluted EPS jumped notably in the latest quarter (fundamentals-3), which together constitute strong, recent operating and cash-generation evidence. Share counts have declined across quarters (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1), indicating sustained share-reduction activity in the reported periods, which increases per-share metrics when combined with rising net income (fundamentals-2). Balance-sheet evidence is mixed: stockholders’ equity has increased meaningfully through mid‑2026 (fundamentals-6), strengthening the equity base, while the long-term debt figure cited is materially stale (valuation-1) and therefore weak as current leverage evidence. Market commentary tying APA’s outlook to a global bond rout (news-2) and dramatic valuation headlines (news-3) rely on broad market moves or thin/contrasting coverage and are weaker sources compared with the company’s recent operational and cash-flow disclosures.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.31
19 surviving claims rest on 12 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 37% of them, and 92% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set is moderately concentrated: most surviving claims draw from a dozen distinct sources, but a single analyst contributed over a third of the surviving points and the desk’s positions largely survived internal challenge (92% survival). That combination increases the chance the read reflects consistent interpretation of available filings and press coverage, but it also means a few contributors and a limited source base carry disproportionate weight — treat these claims as reasonably supported but somewhat brittle to new primary filings or differently sourced data.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
17 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.7 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on APA Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.