AZO
AutoZone, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.4 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The surviving evidence yields a mixed read. Revenues fell from $4,628,630,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-12-12) to $4,274,098,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-13) and then rose to $4,840,950,000 in fiscal Q3 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-06-05). Gross profit and operating income followed the same trough-and-rebound pattern, with gross profit at $2,359,313,000 (Q1), $2,243,358,000 (Q2) and $2,524,574,000 (Q3) implying gross margins of ~51.0%, ~52.5% and ~52.2% respectively, and operating income of $784,205,000 (Q1), $698,456,000 (Q2) and $923,756,000 (Q3) implying operating margins of ~16.9%, ~16.3% and ~19.1%.
Net income and EPS also rose in Q3 versus prior quarters: net income of $530,823,000 (Q1), $468,860,000 (Q2) and $641,491,000 (Q3) with diluted EPS of $31.04, $27.63 and $38.07 respectively. The company reported share‑repurchase activity and a falling weighted‑average diluted share count from 17,102,000 (Q1) to 16,969,000 (Q2) to 16,352,355 (reported point‑in‑time as of 2026-06-05 for Q3). Long‑term noncurrent debt increased across the three periods to $9,016,477,000 as of 2026-05-09, while stockholders’ equity remained negative but improved from -$3,228,607,000 (as of 2025-11-22) to -$2,784,552,000 (as of 2026-05-09).
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenues fell from $4,628,630,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2025-08-31 to 2025-11-22) to $4,274,098,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2024-11-24 to 2025-02-15) and then rose to $4,840,950,000 in fiscal Q3 2026 (2026-02-15 to 2026-05-09).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001104659-25-123222Gross profit was $2,359,313,000 in fiscal Q1 2026, $2,243,358,000 in fiscal Q2 2026, and $2,524,574,000 in fiscal Q3 2026, implying gross-margin rates of ~51.0% (Q1), ~52.5% (Q2), and ~52.2% (Q3) when divided by the reported quarterly revenues.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001104659-26-032757Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is held in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) at a weight of 0.08% of the fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe provided evidence shows a single ETF membership data point (IVV weight 0.08%); no other ETF holdings or insider Form 4 filings are included in the evidence set.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Recent headline coverage notes share-price weakness: one story reported a -1.06% intraday move on the latest trading day, and another said the stock fell 23.7% over the past six months.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02A valuation piece presents a discounted cash flow (DCF) intrinsic value of $3,817 versus a market price of $2,966.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $2,468,787,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeFree cash flow per share (TTM) is $146.4982 using the provided share count basis.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several contemporaneous fundamentals and valuation claims jointly support a favorable read: sequential recovery in revenue, gross profit and operating income in Q3 (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2) accompanied by higher net income and EPS in Q3 (fundamentals-3) indicate improving profitability metrics over the reported quarters. Share-count reduction via repurchases (fundamentals-4) amplifies per-share free cash flow and EPS metrics, which aligns with the high TTM free cash flow and free-cash-flow-per-share reported (valuation-0, valuation-1) and the sizeable EBITDA and operating cash generation (valuation-3, valuation-4). Institutional accumulation signals and a DCF-based valuation above recent market price (news-2, news-1) provide independent market-context evidence that some investors and analysts view the company’s cash generation and valuation favorably. The improvement in negative stockholders’ equity across periods (fundamentals-6) adds to the view of balance-sheet amelioration when combined with persistent operating cash flow generation.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.38
20 surviving claims rest on 9 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 35% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a moderate breadth of sources but a meaningful concentration: a single analyst or contributor accounts for over a third of surviving claims, and the desk did not overturn any items during review. That combination means the set of claims is informative but somewhat fragile—useful as a snapshot of reported quarter-to-quarter movements, yet it should carry less weight until corroborated by additional, independent filings or data points.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
12 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.7 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on AZO Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.