BALL
BALL CorpEvidence as of 2026-09-02Overview · BALL Corp
Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Beverage Packaging, North and Central America; Beverage Packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa; Beverage Packaging, South America; and Aerospace. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers…
Management team
- Mr. Ronald J. Lewis · Senior VP & COO of Global Beverage PackagingFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Scott C. Morrison · Senior AdvisorFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Stacey J. Valy Panayiotou · Senior VP & Chief Human Resources OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Howard H. Yu · Executive VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
What the evidence shows
Evidence balance is Mixed (+0.1 of a possible +2) with high confidence. Reported common shares outstanding fell to 264,703,357 as of Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-31) from 305,219,000 as of 2024-09-30, and weighted‑average diluted shares moved from 311,964,000 (three months ended 2024-06-30) to 267,139,000 (three months ended 2026-06-30). Diluted EPS for the comparable three‑month windows rose from $ 0.51 to $ 0.83, while cash and cash equivalents declined from $ 1,212,000,000 as of 2025-12-31 to $ 491,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 and total liabilities increased to $ 14,151,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 from $ 11,698,000,000 as of 2024-12-31. Trailing twelve‑month free cash flow is negative $ 3,703,000,000 (−$ 13.8617 per share) even as operating income is $ 1,109,000,000 and EBITDA is $ 1,746,000,000; market capitalization is $ 16,615,429,719 and enterprise value $ 23,804,429,719.
What the debate changed
The analysts’ debate did not weaken or drop any surviving claims; 100% of the desk’s raised points survived the review. That preserved the same balance of signals: share count reduction and EPS gains on one side, deteriorating cash and rising liabilities on the other, leaving the Mixed evidence balance unchanged.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Reported entity common shares outstanding decreased from 305,219,000 as of 2024-09-30 to 264,703,357 as of 2026-07-31.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001104659-25-106108Weighted-average diluted shares fell from 311,964,000 in the three months ended 2024-06-30 to 267,139,000 in the three months ended 2026-06-30.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001558370-24-010565Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
A Form 4 (insider transaction report) was filed with the 4 filed 26 August 2026 on 2026-08-26.
4 filed 2026-08-26The provided evidence record shows the filing's parse_status as "skipped" and primary_doc_url as null, indicating the submission's contents were not parsed or linked in this evidence set.
4 filed 2026-08-26Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Recent momentum is mixed: 3-month momentum is +16.8%, 6-month momentum is -3.4%, and 12_1 momentum is +15.5%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01Technical trend indicators show a golden cross that is 149 days old and price is +7.0% versus the 200-day SMA while essentially flat versus the 50-day SMA at -0.0%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of the listed timestamps on 2026-09-01/02, BALL appears as a holding in several large ETFs including VO at 0.2% of that fund, VTV at 0.08% of that fund, and IVV, VOO, SCHX, and SCHB each at 0.03% of their funds.
ETF constituents · market dataThe 13F snapshot reported total institutional holdings of $28.6M for the period as of 2026-03-31, with NORRIS PERNE & FRENCH LLP/MI reported at $28.1M and flagged as a new position in that filing.
13F holdings · 2 filers · as of 2026-03-31Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A simplywall.st headline on 2026-09-01 describes Ball's share-price recovery over the past year but notes a five-year decline for earlier investors and questions whether the current price "fairly reflects the company's fundamentals".
News · simplywall.st · 2026-09-01A comparative piece published 2026-09-01 profiles Ball among 70 publicly traded firms in the "Containers & Packaging" industry and frames coverage around how Ball stacks up versus peers on metrics such as analyst recommendations and institutional ownership.
News · thelincolnianonline.com · 2026-09-01Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
On 2026-08-25, Mandy Glew (SVP and President, EMEA) sold 5,626 shares for a total reported value of "$359k".
Form 4 · Glew Mandy (SVP and President, EMEA) · $129k code M · 2026-08-25The sale on 2026-08-25 is reported in three listed components: "$129k" for 2,278 shares (code M), "$100k" for 1,788 shares (code M), and "$103k" for 2,015 shares (code M).
Form 4 · Glew Mandy (SVP and President, EMEA) · $129k code M · 2026-08-25Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is negative $3,703,000,000 and free cash flow per share is negative $13.8617.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeNet cash provided by (used in) operating activities for the trailing twelve months is negative $2,964,000,000 while capital expenditures for the trailing twelve months are $739,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several filings and market signals jointly support a favorable read: materially lower share count and diluted shares (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1) are strongly documented and coincide with higher diluted EPS over comparable quarters (fundamentals-2), which together create a clearer per-share earnings profile (evidence strength: strong). Operating profitability and EBITDA are positive on a TTM basis with a mid-teens reported P/E (valuation-2), a moderate-strength datapoint that complements the per-share improvements. Market technicals (golden cross, price above 200-day SMA), low beta/correlation, and subdued volatility (market-1, market-4, market-2) are consistent, lower-risk market behavior for this equity (evidence strength: moderate). ETF inclusion and recent institutional activity (ownership-0, ownership-1, news-3) provide additional buying-interest context (evidence strength: moderate to weak). The bear points about cash burn, negative FCF and rising liabilities are present in the record and deserve scrutiny, but the share-count reduction and EPS improvements are the strongest, company-specific supportive signals in this evidence set (evidence strength: strong for share/EPS signals; strong for cash/FCF concerns).
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.30
33 surviving claims rest on 17 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set rests on a moderate breadth of sources but a relatively small number of analysts carry outsized influence, and every desk-flagged point survived the internal debate — which raises the chance that remaining claims reflect reviewer consensus rather than independent corroboration. In short: the read has useful signal but is somewhat fragile to new filings or a single analyst/source being corrected or withdrawn.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
19 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.2 to the score
1 document
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.5 to the score
3 holdings records· 2 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.4 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 filing
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.8 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on BALL Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.