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CBRE

CBRE Group, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-02

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.2
Ownership and flow
+0.0

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.4 observed
3 favorable1 neutral1 unfavorableacross 4 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The evidence balance is Mixed (+ 0.1 of a possible + 2; was + 0.1 before debate) · confidence high. Revenues rose from $ 9,754,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-25) to $ 11,226,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-27), a year‑over‑year increase of $ 1,472,000,000 (≈ 15.1%). Operating income moved from $ 374,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 to $ 511,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-21), then to $ 365,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026, producing operating margins of about 3.8% → 4.9% → 3.3% over those same periods.

Diluted weighted‑average shares outstanding trended down: $ 300,008,422 in fiscal Q2 2025 → $ 296,987,404 in fiscal Q1 2026 → $ 293,859,609 in fiscal Q2 2026, and point‑in‑time common shares outstanding fell from $ 297,592,997 (as of 2025-10-20) to $ 289,575,298 (as of 2026-07-27). Long‑term noncurrent debt increased from $ 4,341,000,000 (as of 2025-06-30) to $ 5,731,000,000 (as of 2026-06-30). Trailing twelve‑month free cash flow is negative $ 2,802,178,000, trailing twelve‑month EBITDA is $ 2,429,000,000, and trailing twelve‑month diluted EPS is $ 3.69.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+0.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Revenues increased from $9,754,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo) to $11,226,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo), a year-over-year increase of $1,472,000,000 (≈15.1%).

XBRL companyfacts · 0001138118-25-000019

Operating income rose from $374,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo) to $511,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo), then fell to $365,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).

XBRL companyfacts · 0001138118-26-000015
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

NashAI market signals analyst
no data on file

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.

EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+0.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, CBRE is held in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) with a weight of 0.06% of that fund.

ETF constituents · market data

The provided ownership evidence contains a single ETF membership record for CBRE (the IVV entry) and does not show other ETF weights or additional ownership classes.

ETF constituents · market data
YatesAI news analyst
+1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

Coverage includes discussion that surging data center demand and power constraints are materially affecting CBRE's data-center investment story, including high absorption, record construction, strong preleasing, and more cautious landlord lease structures.

News · simplywall.st · 2026-09-01

Some outlets present CBRE as potentially undervalued or a long-term growth stock in recent headlines.

News · gurufocus.com · 2026-08-31
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
no data on file

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.

ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

Trailing twelve months free cash flow (FCF) is negative $2,802,178,000.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Trailing twelve months EBITDA is $2,429,000,000.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 3 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

Several claims jointly paint a favorable operational and growth-oriented picture: revenues rose ~15% year-over-year (fundamentals-0) while trailing EBITDA and diluted EPS are positive (valuation-1, valuation-2), and share count has declined over the period (fundamentals-3) which can mechanically boost per‑share metrics. News coverage highlights strong demand drivers in data centers and logistics/warehousing — secular markets that can support higher absorption and preleasing activity (news-0, news-2). Against the bear points, the negative trailing FCF (valuation-0) and the rise in long‑term debt (fundamentals-4) are acknowledged weaknesses, but the coexistence of rising revenue and positive EBITDA/EPS strengthens an operational case that these liabilities may be linked to growth investments rather than pure erosion. Taken together, the evidence supports a favorable read on recent operational momentum while also flagging leverage and cash‑flow as areas requiring monitoring.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

Coverage includes discussion that surging data center demand and power constraints are materially affecting CBRE's data-center investment story, including high absorption, record construction, strong preleasing, and more cautious landlord lease structures.News coverage items explicitly discuss strong data-center demand, absorption, construction, preleasing and power constraints affecting CBRE's data‑center investment story.upheld
Some outlets present CBRE as potentially undervalued or a long-term growth stock in recent headlines.Some headlines characterize CBRE as potentially undervalued or a long‑term growth stock, as cited.upheld
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, CBRE is held in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) with a weight of 0.06% of that fund.ETF membership data show CBRE listed in IVV at the stated weight (0.06%).upheld
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

diversified0.29

17 surviving claims rest on 11 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 35% of them, and 94% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The evidence set rests on a small number of distinct sources and one analyst contributes a large share of the surviving claims, so individual-source bias or analyst framing could meaningfully sway the narrative. High survival through debate (94%) means most raised points stood up to internal scrutiny, but source concentration and single-analyst weight make the read more fragile than an equally-sized, more-diverse evidence base.

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-02
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

11 filings· 2 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.2 to the score

1 holdings record

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-6f9dca5fevidence 946c0b7f7e5egenerated 9/2/2026, 10:31:36 PM · 93s13 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.