CEG
Constellation Energy CorporationEvidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
Evidence balance: Mixed ( -0.3 of a possible +2 ) with high confidence. Reported consolidated revenues were $ 11,122,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-30) and $ 7,504,000,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-31), with RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax rising year-over-year from $ 6,101,000,000 in Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-31) to $ 7,504,000,000 in Q2 2026.
Operating income fell from $ 2,332,000,000 in Q1 2026 to $ 580,000,000 in Q2 2026 while net income moved from $ 1,590,000,000 in Q1 2026 to $ 513,000,000 in Q2 2026 (prior-year comparable net income was $ 118,000,000 and $ 839,000,000). Shares outstanding and weighted-average diluted shares increased (weighted-average diluted shares: 314,000,000 in Q2 2025 to 360,000,000 in Q2 2026), long-term noncurrent debt rose to $ 19,111,000,000 as of 2026-06-30, and cash and cash equivalents fell to $ 697,000,000 as of 2026-06-30. Total assets expanded materially to $ 98,253,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 with stockholders’ equity of $ 31,977,000,000; trailing twelve-month EPS is 11.55 (trailing P/E 24.27) while trailing twelve-month free cash flow is negative $ 4,604,000,000 and operating cash flow (TTM) is negative $ 1,125,000,000.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Reported consolidated Revenues were $11,122,000,000 for fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $7,504,000,000 for fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001868275-26-000067Comparing like quarters year-over-year, RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax rose from $6,101,000,000 in Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo) to $7,504,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001868275-25-000073Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-01, CEG's beta vs SPY is 1.36 and its correlation vs SPY is 0.37.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01Three-month momentum is +2.8% while six-month momentum is -13.5%, and the six-month momentum ranks in the 16th percentile of the 547-stock research universe on 2026-09-01.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, the security appears in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) with a reported weight of 0.12% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe provided data point is a single ETF membership record (IVV) with no additional ETF holdings or insider Form 4 events included in the evidence.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A headline reports CEG shares ‘surge 3.5%’ while highlighting a GuruFocus score of 79.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-02Coverage reports Constellation advancing a Pennsylvania reactor restart and signing long-dated electricity supply agreements with large commercial customers.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The share price used in this analysis was 280.31 on 2026-09-01 and the market capitalization reported is 99,315,901,407.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve-month EPS is 11.55, producing a trailing P/E of 24.27.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The evidence shows material top-line growth and year-over-year revenue improvement (notably Q2 2026 versus Q2 2025) alongside rising total assets and shareholders’ equity, indicating scale expansion that accompanies the revenue gains. Reported net income and diluted EPS remain positive in the most recent quarters, and the trailing P/E computed from reported TTM EPS is within a conventional earnings-based valuation band. Dividend metrics and recent news items highlighting advancing reactor restarts and long-dated commercial supply agreements further support a constructive operational narrative tied to rising commercial and data-center electricity demand. These items jointly form a favorable operational and earnings-oriented read when viewed as educational observations of the reported data.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.43
29 surviving claims rest on 10 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 31% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a modest set of distinct sources (10) but supports a relatively large number of surviving claims (29), so individual sources carry outsized influence. One analyst is responsible for almost a third of those claims and almost the entire desk's prior assertions survived review, which implies the read is durable within the current dataset but sensitive to any errors or updates from the main contributors.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 2 in Utilities—Renewable (as of 2026-09-01).
6-month relative strength ranks 2nd of 2 in Utilities—Renewable (as of 2026-09-01).
90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 2 in Utilities—Renewable (as of 2026-09-01).
dividend yield ranks 1st of 2 in Utilities—Renewable (as of 2026-09-01).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
12 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer−0.3 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.6 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on CEG Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.