CHRW
C. H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE, INC.Evidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.0 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed (+ 0.0 of a possible + 2; confidence high). Revenue rose from $ 4,012,934,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-29) to $ 4,934,098,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-29). Operating income increased from $ 175,686,000 to $ 255,743,000 over the same two quarters, moving operating margin from about 4.38% to about 5.18%.
Net income climbed from $ 147,233,000 to $ 186,786,000 and diluted EPS moved from $ 1.22 to $ 1.56. Weighted average diluted shares outstanding fell from 121,010,000 to 119,751,000, and the company reported $ 212,659,000 of repurchases in Q1 2026. On the balance sheet, long-term debt rose to $ 1,685,017,000 as of 2026-06-30 while total liabilities increased to $ 4,215,816,000 and stockholders’ equity declined to $ 1,627,690,000.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue rose from $4,012,934,000 in the quarter 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2026) to $4,934,098,000 in the quarter 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001043277-26-000016Operating income increased from $175,686,000 in the quarter 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2026) to $255,743,000 in the quarter 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2026), implying an operating margin change from about 4.38% (175,686 / 4,012,934) in Q1 2026 to about 5.18% (255,743 / 4,934,098) in Q2 2026.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001043277-26-000031Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
C. H. ROBINSON shows negative short- and medium-term momentum with momentum_3m at -16.9% and momentum_6m at -23.0%, and its rank_momentum_6m is the 6th percentile of the 547-stock universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debateMomentum measured as momentum_12_1 is +29.5% and rank_momentum_12_1 is the 70th percentile of 547, indicating stronger performance on the 12-month minus 1-month horizon versus peers.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, C. H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE, INC. (CHRW) is held in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV).
ETF constituents · market dataThe reported weight of CHRW in IVV is 0.03% of the fund as of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, indicating a small position within that ETF's portfolio.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Multiple headlines report that C.H. Robinson reported second-quarter 2026 results that beat expectations and that management reaffirmed a 2026 profit goal.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-08-30Coverage describes a Q2 earnings improvement linked to stronger pricing, volume, and 'lean AI' driving stronger operating margins in the quarter ended in 2026.
News · zacks.com · 2026-08-25Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The market-implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that today's price would justify, under the stated discount and terminal assumptions, is 31.73%.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice-to-FFO/FCF ratio (price to trailing twelve-month FCF) is 47.81, implying the market is valuing each dollar of recent FCF at roughly 48 times.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The company’s most recent quarter-to-quarter operating and profitability metrics (higher revenue, operating income, net income and EPS) together with a reduction in diluted shares point to improving underlying business performance and per-share economics; press coverage cites stronger pricing, volume and 'lean AI' as drivers of the margin improvement. Trailing twelve‑month free cash flow and operating cash flow are sizable on a per‑share basis, which supports the view that recent earnings strength is translating into cash generation. Several market negatives emphasize short‑term price action, elevated volatility and stretched multiples, but the 12‑month momentum signal is strongly positive and institutional ownership via a major S&P 500 ETF shows the stock sits in broad benchmark portfolios — factors that qualify the relevance of very short‑term technical weakness. Overall, the claims jointly support a favorable read on recent operating performance and cash generation, while some bearish signals appear rooted in recent price volatility or valuation snapshots rather than current-quarter fundamentals.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.35
24 surviving claims rest on 11 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 25% of them, and 96% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set is moderately broad (11 distinct sources) but not large; a quarter of surviving claims trace to the single heaviest analyst, so some statements carry outsized influence. The very high survival rate in debate (96%) suggests the desk largely retained initial assertions — that increases the risk of unchallenged assumptions or group-confirmation bias, so treat the read as informative but relatively fragile.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 2 in Integrated Freight & Logistics (as of 2026-09-01).
90-day volatility ranks 1st of 2 in Integrated Freight & Logistics (as of 2026-09-01).
dividend yield ranks 1st of 2 in Integrated Freight & Logistics (as of 2026-09-01).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.6 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.6 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on CHRW Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.