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COHR

COHERENT CORP.Evidence as of 2026-09-02

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Constructivehigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.4 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.3
Ownership and flow
+0.5

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.2 observed
3 favorable1 neutral2 unfavorableacross 4 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The evidence balance is Constructive (+0.4 of a possible +2; was +0.4 before debate) · confidence high. Reported revenue rose across the three most recent fiscal quarters: fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-11-03) $ 1,581,378,000, fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-02-02) $ 1,685,629,000, and fiscal Q3 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-04) $ 1,805,641,000. Reported net income for those same periods was $ 226,349,000, $ 146,717,000, and $ 191,402,000 respectively.

Valuation and liquidity claims that survived show cash of $ 1,162,018,000 versus long-term debt of $ 3,222,224,000 as of 2026-06-30, implying net debt materially above cash on hand; trailing twelve‑month free cash flow was $ 80,198,000 (FCF per share $ 0.4084 on about 195,832,246 shares) while EBITDA was $ 677,324,000 versus operating income $ 100,270,000 and depreciation & amortization $ 577,054,000, pointing to large non‑cash charges. External coverage notes a 79% datacenter revenue mix, a reported $ 2,000,000,000 NVIDIA strategic investment, and mixed media valuations (a DCF cited $ 84 intrinsic vs. a market price of $ 272).

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Revenue from contracts with customers in fiscal Q1 2026 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo) was $1,581,378,000.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000820318-25-000019

Revenue from contracts with customers in fiscal Q2 2026 (2025-10-01 to 2025-12-31, 3mo) was $1,685,629,000.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000820318-26-000006
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

NashAI market signals analyst
no data on file

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.

EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+1.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, COHR was a constituent of the IVV ETF with a reported weight of 0.12% of that fund.

ETF constituents · market data

Membership in IVV represents a factual source of passive investor exposure to COHR via that ETF; the reported 0.12% weight indicates the position is a small single-stock allocation within that fund.

ETF constituents · market data
YatesAI news analyst
+1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

Coverage highlights Coherent's 79% datacenter revenue mix and capacity expansion as drivers of recent growth while noting hyperscaler demand and execution as key risks.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02

Several outlets report that NVIDIA invested $2 billion in Coherent and entered a multiyear strategic arrangement on optics development.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
no data on file

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.

ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

Cash on the balance sheet was $1,162,018,000 as of 2026-06-30 while long-term debt was $3,222,224,000 as of 2026-06-30, implying net debt materially above cash on hand.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $80,198,000 (FCF per share $0.4084 based on 195,832,246 shares), which is small relative to the reported long-term debt.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 5 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

Sequential quarterly revenue gains (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2) together with recurring positive net income in the reported quarters (fundamentals-3, fundamentals-5) and a large trailing EBITDA (valuation-2) support a favorable read: top-line growth and operating cash generation coexist even after substantial non-cash D&A (valuation-3). Strategic validation from a major industry partner (news-1) and buy-side recognition in AI hardware coverage (news-2) reinforce that demand-side drivers and industry positioning are meaningful contributors to recent performance; media coverage emphasizing a datacenter mix and capacity expansion (news-0) ties the revenue profile to structural end-market demand. Additionally, sizeable net cash from operations relative to capex (valuation-4) and passive investor exposure via an IVV weighting (ownership-0, ownership-1) indicate both internal cash generation and external investor access, which together form a coherent bull case when judged on growth, cash-flow conversion, and strategic partnerships.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

Coverage highlights Coherent's 79% datacenter revenue mix and capacity expansion as drivers of recent growth while noting hyperscaler demand and execution as key risks.The media coverage summary (datacenter mix, capacity expansion, hyperscaler demand/execution risks) matches the cited news source.upheld
Several outlets report that NVIDIA invested $2 billion in Coherent and entered a multiyear strategic arrangement on optics development.Multiple outlets reporting a $2 billion NVIDIA investment and strategic optics arrangement is supported by the cited news item.upheld
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, COHR was a constituent of the IVV ETF with a reported weight of 0.12% of that fund.The ETF membership data and reported IVV weight are supported by the provided ETF-membership source.upheld
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.32

20 surviving claims rest on 11 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 30% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The read is moderately fragile: 20 surviving claims rely on 11 distinct sources, so there is some breadth, but a single analyst contributed 30% of the surviving claims and the desk’s challenges had no attrition — both signs that the set of claims may overweight a few perspectives. Treat conclusions as informational: source concentration and low debate attrition reduce the independent corroboration backing these claims.

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-02
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

12 filings· 2 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.3 to the score

1 holdings record

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-a7d05756evidence 799944af0382generated 9/2/2026, 10:50:19 PM · 97s13 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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The full terminal on COHR Gold

Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.