CPB
CAMPBELL SOUP COEvidence as of 2026-10-17The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · CAMPBELL SOUP CO
Campbell Soup Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stoc…
Management team
- Ms. Diane Johnson May · Executive VP & Chief People and Culture OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Charles A. Brawley III · Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Anthony J. Sanzio · Executive VP & Chief Communications OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Rebecca Gardy · Senior VP & Chief Investor Relations OfficerFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Cautious ( -0.5; confidence high). Revenue and profit metrics fell each reported quarter: revenue was $ 2,677,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-12-03), $ 2,564,000,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-05), and $ 2,366,000,000 in Q3 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-06-02). Operating income compressed from $ 336,000,000 to $ 273,000,000 to $ 239,000,000 across those same quarters, with net income declining from $ 194,000,000 to $ 145,000,000 to $ 124,000,000 and diluted EPS moving from $ 0.65 to $ 0.48 to $ 0.41.
Balance-sheet and market facts persist alongside those operating declines: cash and cash equivalents moved from $ 132,000,000 (as of 2025-08-03) to peaks and troughs including $ 561,000,000 (as of 2026-02-01) and $ 394,000,000 (as of 2026-08-02); long-term debt stood at $ 8,028,000,000 with reported cash of $ 394,000,000 implying material net leverage. Market signals are negative on multiple horizons (price vs SMA50 -7.1%, price vs SMA200 -12.1%, momentum 12_1 = -34.0%), dividend yield is high (T12M yield = 7.15%), and the model-implied FCF growth priced in by the market is about 2.37% per year.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Quarterly revenues fell each quarter across the three most recent fiscal quarters: $2,677,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2025-08-04 to 2025-11-02), $2,564,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2025-11-03 to 2026-02-01), and $2,366,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2026 (2026-02-02 to 2026-05-03).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000016732-25-000126Operating income compressed over the same three quarters: $336,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026, $273,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026, and $239,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2026 (each a 3-month fiscal quarter as reported).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000016732-26-000006Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
On September 16, 2026, the company entered into an Extension Agreement that extends the maturity date of its $1.85 billion Five-Year Credit Agreement from April 16, 2030 to April 16, 2031; all other terms remain in effect (reported on Form 8-K filed September 17, 2026).
Current report · filed 2026-09-17The filing for the period ended August 2, 2026 states that, as of August 2, 2026, the company had goodwill of $5.321 billion and other indefinite-lived intangible assets of $3.561 billion (10-K filed September 24, 2026).
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0000016732-26-000026 vs 0000016732-25-000112Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Price is below both short and long moving averages: price vs SMA50 is -7.1% and price vs SMA200 is -12.1%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-16Medium- and longer-term momentum signals are negative: momentum 3m = -10.0%, momentum 6m = -5.3%, and momentum 12_1 = -34.0%; the 6-month momentum ranks at the 37th percentile of the 882-stock universe and the 12_1 momentum ranks at the 9th percentile of 882.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-16Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional 13F holdings reported as of 2026-06-30 show total reported value of $4.21B, with BlackRock, Inc. holding $650.8M, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC holding $276.6M, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC holding $206.1M, DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP holding $190.5M, and TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP holding $180.2M; the report lists 632 holders, a holder_count_delta_qoq of 37, exited_positions of 102, and value_qoq_pct of 1.5 (note: 13F filings carry a 45-day reporting lag).
13F holdings · 632 filers · as of 2026-06-30ETF membership records include VOO at 0.02% weight of fund as of 2026-10-16T23:41:11.244086+00:00, VTI at 0.01% as of 2026-10-09T23:41:23.258999+00:00, VB at 0.07% as of 2026-09-02T01:54:19.703334+00:00, VO at 0.05% as of 2026-09-02T01:55:23.601495+00:00, VYM at 0.04% as of 2026-09-02T01:55:40.515768+00:00, VTV at 0.02% as of 2026-09-02T01:55:34.323522+00:00, SCHX at 0.01% as of 2026-09-02T01:54:16.306069+00:00, SCHB at 0.01% as of 2026-09-02T01:54:11.783435+00:00, and FZROX at 0.01% as of 2026-10-11T23:41:10.125206+00:00.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Multiple outlets discuss Campbell's valuation and investor questions about whether the stock is fairly priced, with articles framing the shares as under pressure and asking if current quotes align with earnings.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-10-16Coverage highlights a recent dividend cut (36% referenced) and a new $300 million fixed-to-floating subordinated note due 2057 as part of commentary on the company's capital structure and investor narrative.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-10-11Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
President and CEO reported an acquisition of 17,556 shares valued at "$355k" on 2026-09-30 (Form 4 filing).
Form 4 · BEEKHUIZEN MICK J (President and CEO) · $355k code F · 2026-09-30SVP, Controller and CAO reported an acquisition of 657 shares valued at "$13k" on 2026-09-30 (Form 4 filing).
Form 4 · Palumbo Kelly L (SVP, Controller and CAO) · $13k code F · 2026-09-30Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model-derived implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that today's price would justify is 2.37% per year.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve-month price-to-free-cash-flow is 15.12 and price-to-earnings (TTM) is 11.29, with FCF per share of $1.3144 and EPS TTM of $1.76.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Educationally, several of the provided claims together support a constructive read despite recent sequential weakness. While revenues, operating income, net income and EPS declined across the three most recent quarters (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2, fundamentals-3), the company reported a material increase in cash balances through early 2026 (fundamentals-6), an extension of its five-year credit facility that preserves near-term financing flexibility (filings-0), and multiple insider open-market purchases in late September 2026 (insider-0 through insider-3). Valuation and cash-flow metrics show moderate market pricing — P/FCF ~15 and P/E ~11 with EV/EBITDA ~9.5 (valuation-1, valuation-2) — and the headline dividend yield is elevated relative to peers (market-3), which together indicate that market prices may already reflect operational stress. These items jointly counterbalance some of the operational negatives and address liquidity and stakeholder-alignment concerns, while the balance-sheet scale and modest asset/liability changes (fundamentals-8) add context to the capital structure picture.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
diversified0.29
42 surviving claims rest on 23 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 21% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set is moderately robust: 42 surviving claims come from 23 distinct sources, which provides breadth, but one analyst/source line carries a noticeable share and the desk’s 100% survival rate indicates little internal contradiction during review. That combination means the read has useful informational weight but some fragility — key claims lean on a limited number of influential inputs and have not been substantially challenged in the debate.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 6th of 7 in Packaged Foods (as of 2026-10-16).
90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 7 in Packaged Foods (as of 2026-10-16).
dividend yield ranks 3rd of 7 in Packaged Foods (as of 2026-10-16).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
10 filings· 3 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer−0.9 to the score
13 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.4 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.7 to the score
3 holdings records· 2 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
20 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot+0.8 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Institutional holders
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