CSX
CSX CORPEvidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.8 on a −2 to +2 scale — was +0.7 before the debate changed the read.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The desk rates the evidence balance as Constructive (+ 0.8 of a possible + 2; was + 0.7 before debate) with high confidence. CSX reported revenue rising from 3,482,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-31) to 3,935,000,000 USD in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-06-30), while operating income increased from 1,253,000,000 USD to 1,506,000,000 and net income climbed from 807,000,000 USD to 1,002,000,000 over the same periods. Diluted EPS moved from 0.43 USD/shares to 0.54 USD/shares and weighted-average diluted shares outstanding declined slightly from 1,862,000,000 shares to 1,852,474,917 shares.
The balance sheet and cash metrics present modest asset growth and solid cash generation: total assets rose from 44,232,000,000 USD as of 2026-03-31 to 44,726,000,000 USD as of 2026-06-30 while liabilities were essentially stable around 30,638,000,000 USD; trailing twelve-month free cash flow is 2,638,000,000 USD, EPS (TTM) is 1.78 USD, reported cash is 1,958,000,000 USD and reported long-term debt is 9,832,000,000 USD. The dataset lacks a current market price, market-cap and price-dependent multiples, so those valuation ratios are unavailable.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue increased from 3,482,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to 3,935,000,000 USD in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000277948-26-000014Operating income rose from 1,253,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to 1,506,000,000 USD in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000277948-26-000014Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, CSX is a holding in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) at 0.14% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataMembership in a large index ETF like IVV represents factual passive-fund exposure to CSX stock for investors tracking that ETF, which is a relevant component of overall market ownership and liquidity context.
ETF constituents · market dataweakened in debateReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A gurufocus.com headline on 2026-09-01 presented a comparative valuation showing GF Value $36.88 versus a price of $48.70 after a 3.6% decline.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-01A separate gurufocus.com DCF headline on 2026-09-01 reported an intrinsic value of $32 versus a stated price of $51.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-01Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow on a trailing twelve-month basis is $2,638,000,000 (fcf_ttm = 2638000000.0).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeEarnings per share on a trailing twelve-month basis is $1.78 (eps_ttm = 1.78).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The company's most recent quarterly results show sequential improvement across top-line and profitability metrics: revenue, operating income, net income, and diluted EPS each rose from Q1 to Q2 2026, while diluted shares outstanding declined modestly. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and EBITDA are sizable ($2.638B and $6.806B), which supports an operationally cash-generative profile when combined with the sequential earnings improvement; this evidence is strong (filed financials and calculated TTM metrics). Institutional activity (several managers increased or initiated meaningful stakes and CSX is a holding in a large S&P 500 ETF) provides moderate-strength evidence of demand and liquidity context. The bear points to third-party valuation outputs that flag a gap between some DCF/GF-value estimates and market price and to the net long-term debt level relative to cash; those are valid concerns but are weaker in direct relation to the recent operational momentum because the valuation headlines are external model outputs with differing assumptions (weak-to-moderate strength) and the debt figure is a snapshot that should be weighed against the sizeable TTM free cash flow (moderate strength). Taken together, the claims supporting improving underlying results and solid cash generation jointly make a favorable informational read on the company’s recent operating and cash metrics.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.34
20 surviving claims rest on 10 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 30% of them, and 98% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read is internally consistent but relatively fragile in source mix: 20 surviving claims cite only 10 distinct sources and a single analyst thread supplies nearly a third of the claims, so a small number of sources or an analyst revision could shift the picture. The very high survival rate through debate indicates the desk largely retained its original signals, which increases confidence in internal coherence but does not remove the risk that concentrated sources or later filings could meaningfully change conclusions.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
12 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.7 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on CSX Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.