DECK
DECKERS OUTDOOR CORPEvidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
Revenue by quarter rose from $ 964,538,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-10) to $ 1,019,531,000 in Q1 2027 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-09), with intermediate Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-09) at $ 1,430,840,000 and Q3 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-01-13) at $ 1,957,249,000. Gross profit increased from $ 537,906,000 in Q1 2026 to $ 575,163,000 in Q1 2027, while operating income fell from $ 165,287,000 to $ 155,301,000 and net income fell from $ 139,203,000 to $ 129,972,000 over the same pair of fiscal Q1 periods.
The company returned more cash to shareholders via repurchases — $ 182,991,000 in Q1 2026 versus $ 338,186,000 in Q1 2027 — even as cash and cash equivalents declined to $ 1,602,589,000 as of 2026-06-30 and stockholders' equity fell to $ 2,301,682,000 at that date. Valuation inputs show trailing twelve‑month FCF of $ 229,547,000 and a price/FCF of 50.56, implied FCF growth of 33.3% under the model’s assumptions, trailing EPS of $ 7.02 and a trailing P/E of 11.93, and an enterprise value of $ 9,823,466,654; the evidence set also records an expanded $ 500 million revolving facility with maturity to 2031 and an IVV ETF holding at 0.02% (snapshot 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00).
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue by quarter rose from $964,538,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30) to $1,019,531,000 in fiscal Q1 2027 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30), with an intermediate Q2 2026 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30) of $1,430,840,000 and Q3 2026 (2025-10-01 to 2025-12-31) of $1,957,249,000.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000910521-26-000022Gross profit increased from $537,906,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30) to $575,163,000 in fiscal Q1 2027 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000910521-26-000022Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, DECK is listed as a holding in the ETF with symbol IVV at a reported weight of 0.02% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe provided record timestamp for the ETF membership is 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, indicating when this ownership snapshot was recorded.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Headline coverage on 2 September 2026 highlights valuation and earnings concerns for Deckers, describing the stock as 'still looks below fair value' and linking that to a weak year and cautious pricing.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02A separate 2 September 2026 headline ties current attention to product-competition dynamics, noting a new Trailpeak trail running shoe from Teva as a fresh product story relevant to Deckers' specialty running exposure.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model reports an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 33.3% (0.333) that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve‑month FCF is $229,547,000 and the price-to-FCF (price / FCF) multiple is 50.56, which implies the current share price is valuing FCF at a high multiple of present FCF.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-filed fundamentals and syndicated news items jointly support a constructive read. Reported quarterly revenue and gross-profit increases (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1) show top-line growth and margin expansion as documented in the SEC filing (evidence: company 10-Q/10-K periodic filing — strength: strong). The material decline in diluted shares and the large increase in share repurchases (fundamentals-3, fundamentals-4) are SEC-reported actions that amplify per-share economics (strength: strong). The announced expansion and extension of the revolving credit facility received multi-outlet coverage (news-2, news-3), which bolsters documented liquidity flexibility despite lower cash on the balance sheet (evidence: syndicated reporting and filing numbers — strength: moderate to strong). Trailing EPS and a P/E of 11.93 (valuation-2) provide an earnings multiple datapoint that contrasts with the higher price/FCF metric, indicating the valuation picture is mixed rather than uniformly weak (valuation evidence: model outputs and TTM metrics — strength: moderate).
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.36
20 surviving claims rest on 9 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 30% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving set is moderately fragile: 20 claims rest on only nine distinct sources, so source concentration limits how much independent weight the read can carry. One analyst contributes about 30% of the surviving claims and everything the desk raised survived the debate, which together imply analyst-dependence and low internal friction — treat the bundle as informative but not highly robust.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
13 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.3 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.3 to the score
7 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.