DG
DOLLAR GENERAL CORPEvidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.8 on a −2 to +2 scale — was +0.7 before the debate changed the read.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is constructive ( + 0.8 of a possible + 2; was + 0.7 before the debate) with high confidence. Revenue from contracts rose from $ 10,435,979,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (period ended 2026-05-29) to $ 11,290,380,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (period ended 2026-08-25), while gross profit increased from $ 3,410,472,000 to $ 3,680,921,000 over the same two fiscal quarters. Calculated gross margin expanded from about 31.6% to about 32.6%, operating income rose from $ 638,516,000 to $ 769,164,000 (operating margin ~5.9% to ~6.8%), and net income increased from $ 444,127,000 to $ 550,315,000 with diluted EPS moving from $ 2.00 to $ 2.48.
Valuation and capital metrics in the packet show P/FFCF (TTM) of 27.08 with FCF per share (TTM) of $ 4.8334, EV/EBITDA (TTM) of 9.28 with EBITDA (TTM) of $ 3,500,391,000, market capitalization of $ 28,876,531,643 and enterprise value of $ 32,478,276,643 (price date 2026-09-02). The packet also notes an implied free cash flow growth rate of 16.53% that the current price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions, and shows stable diluted shares outstanding near 221,5xx,000 across the two quarters.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue from contracts rose from $10,435,979,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (period ended 1 May 2026) to $11,290,380,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (period ended 31 July 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001104659-26-069205Gross profit increased from $3,410,472,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (period ended 1 May 2026) to $3,680,921,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (period ended 31 July 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001104659-26-101932Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, Dollar General Corp (DG) was a constituent of the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) with a weight of 0.04% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataA 0.04% weight in IVV represents a small single-stock position relative to the overall fund portfolio, indicating limited exposure to DG within that large-cap S&P 500 passive vehicle.
ETF constituents · market dataweakened in debateReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A press release announces Roland DG's launch of the TrueVis AG-640 wide-format digital printer, presenting the product as a redefinition of latex quality, versatility, and productivity.
News · prnewswire.com · 2026-09-02dropped in debateA second press release reports Roland DG expanded its industrial direct-to-object printing portfolio with the VersaObject IO-300 and VersaObject RC-300 Series UV printing solutions.
News · prnewswire.com · 2026-09-01dropped in debateReads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model reports an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 16.53% that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeweakened in debatePrice-to-FFCF (P/FCF, using trailing twelve months FCF) is 27.08 and FCF per share (TTM) is $4.8334.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-specific financial claims jointly support a favorable reading: sequential revenue, gross profit, operating income, net income, and EPS all rose between fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026 (fundamentals-0 through fundamentals-4), while diluted share count remained essentially flat (fundamentals-5), which strengthens the per-share improvement signal. Valuation claims (valuation-2 and valuation-3) show moderate multiples (EV/EBITDA 9.28; P/E 17.18) that, combined with rising near-term profitability, make the earnings and margin improvements more meaningful in a valuation context; the model’s implied FCF growth (valuation-0) is explicit about the growth embedded in the price. News and commentary capturing an earnings beat, stronger same-store sales, and a recovery narrative (news-3 and news-4) provide market context that aligns with the reported fundamental improvements. Together, these claims present internally consistent evidence of recent operational leverage and improve per-share results rather than being attributable to share-count dilution.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.44
17 surviving claims rest on 7 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 35% of them, and 79% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
Seventeen surviving claims draw on seven distinct sources, with one analyst responsible for about a third of the weight and a high 79% survival rate from the desk review. That mix means the read is reasonably coherent but not robust — concentrated analyst influence and moderate source diversity reduce how much independent confidence to place on any single composite inference.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
13 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.7 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on DG Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.