DLTR
DOLLAR TREE, INC.Evidence as of 2026-09-26The desk's Snapshot
3 of 15 open to everyone · members see allRead the full desk report on DLTR
Seven analysts, the debate, the risk review, every claim cited. And the same for every name you hold.
Free plan, no credit card required. Silver opens the full report, $19.99 a month. AI-written · every claim cites a source · Insight, not advice.
Overview · DOLLAR TREE, INC.
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores. The company operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of $ 1.25. It provides consumable merchandise, which includes everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise comprisi…
Management team
- Mr. Robert Aflatooni · Chief Information OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Stewart F. Glendinning · Chief Financial OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Richard L. McNeely · Chief Merchandising OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr. · CEO & DirectorFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.4 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The surviving evidence shows Dollar Tree reported revenues of $ 4,975,800,000 for FISCAL Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-26) and $ 4,891,200,000 for FISCAL Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-08-25). Revenues declined about $ 84,600,000 (≈ 1.7%) quarter-to-quarter but rose ≈ 7.0% versus FISCAL Q2 2025’s $ 4,570,400,000. Operating income expanded to $ 690,100,000 in FISCAL Q2 2026 from $ 473,300,000 in FISCAL Q1 2026, implying operating margins of roughly 14.1% and 9.5% respectively, while net income and diluted EPS increased to $ 514,500,000 and $ 2.70 in FISCAL Q2 2026 (versus $ 347,300,000 and $ 1.76 in FISCAL Q1 2026).
Balance-sheet and ownership details also persist: shares outstanding trended down to 187,630,299 as of 2026-08-25 after $ 585,800,000 of share repurchases in FISCAL Q1 2026; long-term noncurrent debt rose to $ 2,933,500,000 as of 2026-08-01 while cash increased to $ 1,058,100,000. Valuation metrics show trailing FCF of $ 1,866,100,000 (FCF/share $ 9.7753), price-to-FCF of 11.67, P/E (TTM) of 17.36, and EV/EBITDA (TTM) of 9.69. The evidence balance is characterized as Cautious ( - 0.4 of a possible + 2 ), with high confidence in the surviving claims.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Dollar Tree reported revenues of $4,975,800,000 for fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-02-01 to 2026-05-02, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000935703-26-000065Revenues were $4,891,200,000 for fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-05-03 to 2026-08-01, 3mo), a decline of $84,600,000 (≈1.7%) versus fiscal Q1 2026 and an increase of $320,800,000 (≈7.0%) versus fiscal Q2 2025 (which was $4,570,400,000).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000935703-26-000109Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
In the 10-K filed 16 March 2026, management added explicit risk language that imported merchandise typically accounts for approximately 40% of total retail value purchases and that a significant portion of goods purchased from domestic vendors is imported.
10-K filed 2026-03-16In the 10-K filed 16 March 2026, the company added language stating that the majority of Dollar Tree products remain priced at $1.25 and that 85% of products in the average Dollar Tree store are currently priced at $2.00 or less, and warned it may not be able to adjust prices to offset cost increases.
10-K filed 2026-03-16Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional 13F-reported holdings total $24.11B as of the reported quarter ended 2026-06-30.
13F holdings · 872 filers · as of 2026-06-30The reported institutional holder count was 872 as of the 2026-06-30 reporting period, with a holder_count_delta_qoq of 621 (an increase in reported holders versus the prior reported quarter).
13F holdings · 872 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Coverage on 22 September 2026 includes a Zacks headline that says the company 'Lifts 2026 Earnings Outlook as Tariff Refunds Fund Reinvestment', indicating reporting that tariff refunds are being presented as a source of earnings improvement for fiscal 2026.
News · zacks.com · 2026-09-22Zacks published multiple company-focused headlines on 22–23 September 2026 that highlight both positive initiatives and risks, including 'Will Dollar Tree's Strategic Initiatives and Store Expansions Aid?' and 'DLTR Falls 17.9% in the Past Month as Margin Risks Test Its Rebound', showing coverage that is company-specific and mixes favorable and unfavorable angles.
News · zacks.com · 2026-09-23Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Aflatooni Robert (Chief Information Officer) sold 2500 shares for "$315k" on 2026-08-31 (Form 4 filing).
Form 4 · Aflatooni Robert (Chief Information Officer) · $315k sold · 2026-08-31Stahl Stephanie (Director) sold 1185 shares for "$156k" on 2026-09-04 (Form 4 filing).
Form 4 · Stahl Stephanie (Director) · $156k sold · 2026-09-04Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model shows an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of -3.52% that todays price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve-month free cash flow (FCF) is $1,866,100,000 and FCF per share is $9.7753.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-reported metrics point to a favorable operational snapshot: Q2 2026 operating income and margin expanded materially versus Q1 2026 (fundamentals-2) while net income and diluted EPS rose sequentially and year-over-year (fundamentals-3). Share count has declined during fiscal 2026 with meaningful repurchases recorded in Q1 (fundamentals-4), which amplifies per-share metrics; institutional reported holdings and an increased count of 13F filers indicate broad institutional interest (ownership-0, ownership-1, ownership-2). Valuation multiples based on trailing FCF and EBITDA (valuation-1, valuation-2, valuation-3) show the company trading at modest FCF and EV/EBITDA multiples relative to those cash-flow figures, and reported cash increased alongside higher long-term debt, implying the company retains liquidity while leveraging for operations or investments (fundamentals-5, valuation-4). These points jointly support a favorable read on recent profitability expansion, per-share growth dynamics, institutional demand, and trailing-cash-flow-backed valuation.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.34
32 surviving claims rest on 14 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 19% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set rests on a moderate breadth of sources but a relatively concentrated analyst footprint, so individual analysts or a single new filing could materially change the read. That the desk’s debate left all claims standing raises confidence in internal vetting, but survivability is weaker where claims depend on a small number of documents or a single analyst’s inputs.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
10 filings· 3 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
6 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.7 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.6 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
2 filings
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−1.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on DLTR Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Get this for the names you actually hold
Every name in your portfolio, researched the same way, plus the one thing no sample can show: how each one sits inside what you already own.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.