DOW
DOW INC.Evidence as of 2026-09-02Overview · DOW INC.
Dow Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various materials science solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It operates through Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings segments. The…
Management team
- Ms. Karen S. Carter · Chief Operating OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. John Maurice Sampson · Senior Vice President of Operations, Manufacturing & EngineeringFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Amy E. Wilson J.D. · General Counsel & Corporate SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
- Dr. Attiganal Narayanaswam Sreeram · Senior VP & CTOFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.2 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
Evidence balance: Mixed (-0.2 of a possible +2); confidence high. Reported revenues declined from 10,879,000,000 in the three months ended 30 September 2024 to 9,794,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-03-31, 3mo). Diluted EPS moved from positive 0.73 in Q1 2025 (2024-03-31, 3mo) to negative -0.74 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-03-31, 3mo), and net income has shown large quarter-to-quarter variability, including a -835,000,000 loss in Q2 2025 (2025-06-30, 3mo) and a much smaller +62,000,000 in Q3 2025 (2025-09-30, 3mo). Shares outstanding rose from 706,900,000 as of 2025-03-31 to 720,741,438 as of 2026-03-31, cash and cash equivalents increased from 2,189,000,000 as of 2024-12-31 to 4,110,000,000 as of 2026-03-31, and free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is negative 200,000,000 driven by net cash from operations of 2,214,000,000 versus capex of 2,414,000,000.
Market signals are mixed: 12-month momentum is +35.0% (75th percentile) while 3-month momentum is -12.3% and 6-month relative strength versus SPY is -12.2% (6-month momentum at the 37th percentile). The three‑year maximum drawdown is -62.2% with a current drawdown of -41.9% (drawdown rank 16th percentile), trailing twelve‑month dividend yield is 4.60% (92nd percentile) with 3‑year dividend growth of -20.6%, 30‑day annualized volatility is 38.2%, market cap is 21,953,784,201 and enterprise value is 34,051,784,201, and the packet contains a Form 3 filed 2026-08-14 (the only filing provided).
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Reported revenues have declined from 10,879,000,000 in the three months ended 30 September 2024 to 9,794,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001751788-26-000134Diluted earnings per share moved from positive 0.73 in Q1 2025 (2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31, 3mo) to negative -0.74 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001751788-26-000134Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
A Form 3 (initial statement of beneficial ownership of securities by an insider) was filed on 2026-08-14.
3 filed 2026-08-14As of the evidence cutoff (2026-09-02) the only filing provided in the evidence set is the Form 3 with the 3 filed 14 August 2026.
3 filed 2026-08-14Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-01, the 12-month momentum metric (momentum_12_1) is +35.0% and its cross-sectional rank is the 75th percentile of 547, indicating relatively strong one-year price performance versus the research universe on that date.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debateAs of 2026-09-01, short-term price action is negative: 3-month momentum is -12.3% and 6-month relative strength versus SPY is -12.2%, with 6-month momentum ranked at the 37th percentile of 547, indicating below-median intermediate performance on that date.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T01:55:23.601495+00:00, DOW has a 0.34% weight in VO (Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF).
ETF constituents · market dataAs of 2026-09-02T01:55:34.323522+00:00, DOW has a 0.13% weight in VTV (Vanguard Value ETF).
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Recent headlines exist but none are company-specific — market-wide stories and rating chatter are excluded.
Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (fcf_ttm) is negative $200,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeNet cash provided by operating activities for the trailing twelve months is $2,214,000,000 while cash payments to acquire productive assets (capex_ttm) are $2,414,000,000, producing the negative FCF.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several claims in the evidence jointly support a favorable reading: the company’s cash and cash equivalents roughly doubled to $4.11B (fundamentals-4), trailing twelve‑month operating cash flow is positive at $2.214B (valuation-1) despite capex-driven negative FCF (valuation-0), and price action shows strong 12‑month momentum (market-0) while dividend yield is comparatively high (market-3). The large quarter-to-quarter net income variability (fundamentals-2) helps explain negative EPS in the most recent quarter (fundamentals-1) as episodic rather than uniformly persistent, and ETF holdings plus a mix of buy/hold street ratings add context of continued institutional inclusion and analyst interest. Taken together, these items indicate liquidity and market-interest evidence is relatively strong even though profitability and free‑cash‑flow metrics have been challenged recently.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.48
27 surviving claims rest on 6 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 30% of them, and 98% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a small set of distinct sources and a single analyst carries a meaningful share of the surviving claims, so the narrative has some concentration risk: if one primary source or that analyst’s interpretation is wrong, several claims could be affected. The high survival rate through internal debate implies the desk found few challenges to the claims, but that also means the set may under‑represent alternative interpretations — treat the conclusions as informative but potentially fragile to a single-source correction.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
18 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer−0.6 to the score
1 document
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.3 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Net institutional flow, Q/Q
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Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.