DUK
Duke Energy CorporationEvidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The desk rates the evidence balance as Mixed (+ 0.2 of a possible + 2; confidence high). Common shares outstanding rose from 776,461,008 as of 2025-01-31 to 779,596,217 as of 2026-04-30. Diluted EPS by quarter was USD 1.76 in Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-04-30), USD 1.25 in Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-31), USD 1.81 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-31), and USD 1.97 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-30).
Net income moved from USD 1,379,000,000 in Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-04-30) to USD 984,000,000 in Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-31), USD 1,421,000,000 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-31), and USD 1,550,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-30). Operating income was USD 2,343,000,000 in Q1 2025, USD 1,830,000,000 in Q2 2025, USD 2,334,000,000 in Q3 2025, and USD 2,725,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026. Reported long-term noncurrent debt rose from USD 76,340,000,000 as of 2024-12-31 to USD 80,477,000,000 as of 2026-03-31 while cash and cash equivalents increased from USD 314,000,000 to USD 2,140,000,000 over the same snapshot dates.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Entity common shares outstanding increased from 776,461,008 shares as of 2025-01-31 to 779,596,217 shares as of 2026-04-30.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001326160-25-000072Diluted earnings per share by quarter: USD 1.76 in Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo), USD 1.25 in Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo), USD 1.81 in Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo), and USD 1.97 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001326160-25-000150Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, DUK had a membership weight in the IVV ETF equal to 0.15% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe provided ETF membership record is timestamped 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, indicating the data point's reporting time.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Several recent pieces emphasize a large multi-year capital program and grid buildout tied to rising contracted computing (data center) load across the Carolinas and Midwest.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-02Coverage notes Duke Energy scaling back a North Carolina rate proposal while data center demand is reshaping capital plans across its Southeast and Midwest territory.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Trailing twelve-month free cash flow (FCF) was negative $5,944,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeFree cash flow per share on a trailing twelve-month basis was negative $7.6303.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-specific operating and earnings metrics point toward a favorable operational read: quarterly operating income and net income moved higher in the most recent comparable quarters and diluted EPS rose to $1.97 in fiscal Q1 2026, indicating improved per-share profitability on a recent-quarter basis. News items consistently report a large multi-year capital program tied to rising contracted data-center load, which provides a clear rationale for elevated capex and infrastructure investment. Although trailing twelve-month free cash flow is negative, that outcome is traceable to capex exceeding operating cash flow rather than deteriorating operating performance; cash and cash equivalents also increased materially over the period. Valuation multiples (P/E 17.76 and EV/EBITDA 11.42) are consistent with an enterprise not trading at an extreme premium, which, together with rising earnings and a defined growth-related capex program, jointly support a favorable operational and valuation read.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.34
19 surviving claims rest on 10 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 32% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
Evidence underlying these 19 surviving claims draws from a moderate number of distinct sources, but a single analyst carries about a third of the claims and the team preserved 97% of what it raised. That pattern raises caution: the read has reasonable source breadth yet meaningful analyst dependence, so the desk-level consensus is informative but not robust against new or contradictory filings.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
14 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.5 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on DUK Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.