EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-10-14The desk's Snapshot
3 of 15 open to everyone · members see allRead the full desk report on EXPE
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Overview · Expedia Group, Inc.
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Retail, B2B, and trivago segments. Its brand portfolio includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand with localized websites; Hotels.com for marketing and distributing lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; Orbitz; Travelocity; Wo…
Management team
- Mr. Michael Davis Velasco · Chief People, Inclusion & Diversity OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Susanne Svensson · Head Of Brand Marketing EMEAFind on LinkedIn
- Harshit Vaish · SVP of Corporate Development, Strategy & Investor RelationsFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Sarah Gavin · Senior Vice President of Global Communications & Corporate BrandFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale (was +0.2 before the debate changed the read).
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence set supports a mixed read (+0.1 of a possible +2; was +0.2 before debate). Revenue rose from $ 3,426,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-31) to $ 4,315,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-06-30), while operating income increased from $ 251,000,000 to $ 800,000,000 and net income moved from a $ 6,000,000 loss in Q1 2026 to $ 878,000,000 of income in Q2 2026.
Market signals are mixed: 12–1 momentum is + 30.8% (76th percentile) and the security shows a golden-cross with price + 5.6% versus the 200‑day SMA, yet the price sits − 7.3% versus the 50‑day SMA and short-term volatility is elevated (30‑day annualized + 41.6%, 90‑day + 45.0%). Valuation and balance-sheet items show trailing twelve‑month FCF of $ 12,129,000,000, price/FCF of 2.76, TTM P/E of 16.16, reported cash $ 6,682,000,000 and long‑term debt $ 5,459,000,000 (implying net cash of about $ 1,223,000,000).
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue rose from $3,426,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to $4,315,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001324424-26-000035Operating income increased from $251,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to $800,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001324424-26-000035Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Multiple Form 4s were filed on 5 October 2026 with accessions the 4 filed 5 October 2026, the 4 filed 5 October 2026, the 4 filed 5 October 2026, the 4 filed 5 October 2026, and the 4 filed 5 October 2026.
4 filed 2026-10-05Several Form 4 filings dated in August 2026 are present in the evidence set but are marked with parse_status 'skipped' (examples include accessions the 4 filed 18 August 2026, the 4 filed 18 August 2026, the 4 filed 18 August 2026, the 4 filed 20 August 2026, the 4 filed 25 August 2026).
4 filed 2026-08-18Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Momentum over the 12-1 look (price change) is +30.8%, which ranks in the 76th percentile of the research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-13weakened in debateThe security shows a bullish technical state signal (golden_cross = true) and its price is +5.6% versus the 200-day SMA (price_vs_sma200 = "+5.6%").
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-13weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional holders reported a total value of "$30.22B" in 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30, with 1,142 reported holders and a quarter-over-quarter value change of 17.5%.
13F holdings · 1142 filers · as of 2026-06-30Top reported institutional holders in the 13F as of 2026-06-30 included BlackRock, Inc. at "$2.63B", VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC at "$1.91B", and VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC at "$1.49B".
13F holdings · 1142 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A report published 13 October 2026 states a lawsuit alleges Expedia controls 80% of online hotel bookings and that price-parity rules inflated room rates by about 15–30%.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-13Coverage on 13 October 2026 across outlets includes a class-action suit filed this month in the Western District alleging Expedia is responsible for rising hotel prices.
News · aol.com · 2026-10-13Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Lance A. Soliday (SVP & Chief Accounting Officer) sold 2,810 shares for "$909k" on 2026-08-18; no 10b5-1 trading plan is indicated in the filing.
Form 4 · Soliday Lance A (SVP & Chief Accounting Officer) · $909k sold · 2026-08-18Robert J. Dzielak (Chief Legal Officer & Secretary) sold 2,000 shares for "$661k" on 2026-08-17; no 10b5-1 trading plan is indicated in the filing.
Form 4 · Dzielak Robert J (Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y) · $661k sold · 2026-08-17Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model's implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate is -0.3306 (i.e., about -33.06%), meaning today's price would be consistent with a projected decline in FCF under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve-month free cash flow (FCF) is $12,129,000,000 and FCF per share is $98.9702 for the trailing twelve months.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several near-term fundamental datapoints and cash-flow metrics jointly support a favorable read: sequential quarterly revenue, operating income, and net income all show material improvement in Q2 2026 (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2), share count has declined versus prior-year Q2 (fundamentals-3) and the company reported sizable repurchases in Q1 2026 (fundamentals-4). Trailing twelve‑month FCF, operating cash flow, and reported net cash on the balance sheet are sizable relative to reported shares (valuation-1, valuation-4, valuation-3, valuation-5), and institutional/ETF holdings and recent partnership and loyalty-program expansion items indicate continued institutional interest and commercial initiatives (ownership-0, ownership-1, ownership-2, news-2, news-3). The bear case leans on a litigation headline, some insider Form 4 activity, and a model-implied negative FCF growth rate; those points are weakened here because the litigation coverage in the evidence is a news allegation without quantified cash impact in the filings (news-0, news-1), several Form 4s are unparsed or show limited-share movements and code-M transfers that do not necessarily indicate economic disposition (filings-3, filings-4, insider-4, insider-5), and the valuation model output depends on terminal and discount assumptions that contrast with strong reported trailing FCF and cash generation (valuation-0 versus valuation-1 and valuation-4).
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
diversified0.27
36 surviving claims rest on 21 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 19% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving set draws from a moderate breadth of sources (21 distinct items) and most claims persisted through debate, which raises confidence in internal consistency but also flags possible confirmation bias. The largest single analyst influence is modest (under one-fifth), so no single contributor dominates, yet the high survival rate means the read rests on many interlinked items — treat granular claims supported mainly by parsed filings as more robust than those relying on skipped/pending parses or single computed signals.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 5 in Travel Services (as of 2026-10-13).
90-day volatility ranks 1st of 5 in Travel Services (as of 2026-10-13).
dividend yield ranks 4th of 5 in Travel Services (as of 2026-10-13).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
10 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
10 documents· 2 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.8 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
7 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.7 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on EXPE Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.