EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-02Overview · Expedia Group, Inc.
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Retail, B2B, and trivago segments. Its brand portfolio includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand with localized websites; Hotels.com for marketing and distributing lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; Orbitz; Travelocity; Wo…
Management team
- Mr. Michael Davis Velasco · Chief People, Inclusion & Diversity OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Susanne Svensson · Head Of Brand Marketing EMEAFind on LinkedIn
- Harshit Vaish · SVP of Corporate Development, Strategy & Investor RelationsFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Sarah Gavin · Senior Vice President of Global Communications & Corporate BrandFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed ( -0.1 of a possible +2; confidence high). Revenue by report: revenue was $ 2,988,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31), $ 3,786,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30), $ 4,062,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30), $ 3,426,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) and $ 4,315,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30). Operating income and net income show the company swung from a loss in some quarters to sizable profits in others: operating income ranged from negative $ 70,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 to $ 1,030,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 and was $ 800,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026; net income ranged from negative $ 200,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 to $ 959,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 and was $ 878,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026.
Cash and balance-sheet moves are explicit: cash and cash equivalents rose from $ 4,183,000,000 as of 2024-12-31 to $ 6,682,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 while point-in-time long-term debt fell from $ 6,266,000,000 to $ 5,459,000,000 over the same dates, implying a net cash-like position on a simple cash-versus-debt basis. Trailing metrics show free cash flow $ 12,129,000,000 (TTM) and price to FCF of 3.07x at the quoted $ 304.23 price (price date 2026-09-01); reported EPS (TTM) is $ 16.92 and trailing P/E is 17.98x.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue was $2,988,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo), $3,786,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo), $4,062,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2024-07-01 to 2024-09-30, 3mo) and then was $3,426,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $4,315,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001324424-25-000028Operating income was negative $70,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo), $485,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo), $1,030,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo) and then $251,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $800,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001324424-25-000028Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The provided evidence set contains only Form 4 insider transaction filings for the company, with nine distinct accession records.
4 filed 2026-08-17A Form 4 filing was recorded with the 4 filed 17 August 2026 and filed on 2026-08-17.
4 filed 2026-08-17Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-01, 3-month momentum is +34.4% and 6-month momentum is +42.0%, with 6-month momentum ranked in the 92th percentile of the 547-stock research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debate12-1 momentum is +66.6% and is ranked in the 88th percentile of the 547-stock research universe, while 12-month relative strength vs SPY is +23.3%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of the etf membership snapshot, the Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF (VO) holds EXPE at a weight of 0.28% of the fund.
ETF constituents · market dataOther broad ETFs in the membership snapshot include iShares Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) at 0.08% and Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO) at 0.05% weight of their respective funds.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
The finance.yahoo.com headline on September 1, 2026 announces a product launch for Vrbo and Escapia that it describes as 12 new partner products and functionalities.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-01The New York Times headline on August 30, 2026 reports that Expedia faces off with Cuban families over land seized decades ago.
News · nytimes.com · 2026-08-30Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Dzielak Robert J (Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y) sold 2,000 shares for a reported value of "$661k" on 17 August 2026 (filing shows no trading-plan flag).
Form 4 · Dzielak Robert J (Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y) · $661k sold · 2026-08-17weakened in debateSoliday Lance A (SVP & Chief Accounting Officer) sold 2,810 shares for a reported value of "$909k" on 18 August 2026 (filing shows no trading-plan flag).
Form 4 · Soliday Lance A (SVP & Chief Accounting Officer) · $909k sold · 2026-08-18weakened in debateReads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow over the trailing twelve months is reported as $12,129,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice to FCF (trailing twelve months) is 3.07x at the quoted price of $304.23 (price date 2026-09-01).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Taken together, the evidence shows large recent free cash flow, a net cash-like balance sheet, rising quarterly revenue and sizeable reported operating and net income in recent quarters, alongside active share repurchases that materially reduced diluted share count — factors that jointly support a favorable fundamental read. Market signals show strong multi-horizon momentum, price above key moving averages with a recent golden cross, and multiple sell-side firms maintaining BUY-side ratings, which bolster a positive market-context view. The bear points (elevated volatility, historical drawdown, insider disposals, and a negative implied FCF growth figure) are mitigated by the company’s large absolute FCF, low reported price/FCF and P/E metrics, declining long-term debt and rising cash, and the dilution-reducing repurchases; several filings in the evidence set were also marked as skipped which weakens the interpretability of clustered Form 4 entries.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
diversified0.27
39 surviving claims rest on 23 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 15% of them, and 91% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set includes many claims supported by a moderate number of distinct sources, so findings are not driven by a single document but also not highly redundant. The largest analyst contribution is modest (15%), and a 91% survival rate through the desk debate suggests the claims were durable under review — however, some source types (e.g., clustered Form 4s marked as "skipped" in parsing) and the relatively small pool of distinct sources mean the read should be treated as informative but somewhat fragile rather than definitive.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 1st of 3 in Travel Services (as of 2026-09-01).
6-month relative strength ranks 1st of 3 in Travel Services (as of 2026-09-01).
90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 3 in Travel Services (as of 2026-09-01).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
15 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.5 to the score
9 documents· 1 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.3 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
7 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−1.6 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on EXPE Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.