F
FORD MOTOR COEvidence as of 2026-09-02Overview · FORD MOTOR CO
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services a range of Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro; Ford Next; and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial flee…
Management team
- Mr. John Douglas Field · Chief EV, Digital & Design OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. James Duncan Farley Jr. · President, CEO & DirectorFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. William Clay Ford Jr. · Executive ChairmanFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Sherry House CPA · Chief Financial OfficerFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.4 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The surviving evidence paints a Mixed picture (+ 0.4 of a possible + 2; confidence high). Revenue in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-31) was $ 43,253,000,000, up from $ 40,659,000,000 in Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-03-31). Operating income improved to $ 2,329,000,000 in Q1 2026 from $ 319,000,000 in Q1 2025 and compares with $ 1,558,000,000 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-09-30). Diluted EPS was $ 0.63 in Q1 2026 versus $ 0.12 in Q1 2025.
Balance-sheet and cash-flow details are mixed: cash and cash equivalents fell to $ 17,649,000,000 as of 2026-03-31 from $ 23,356,000,000 as of 2025-12-31 (FY 2025), and free cash flow (TTM) is constrained at $ 798,000,000 given operating cash flow (TTM) of $ 9,180,000,000 and capex (TTM) of $ 8,382,000,000. Market signals show an unusually high trailing dividend yield of + 7.27% (98th percentile) alongside elevated realized volatility (30‑day annualized + 31.3%, 90‑day + 46.0%) and mixed momentum (12‑month + 40.5% but 3‑month − 11.0%).
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax) was 43,253,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2026, ended 31 March 2026, up from 40,659,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2025, ended 31 March 2025.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000037996-26-000086Operating income (OperatingIncomeLoss) was 2,329,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2026, ended 31 March 2026, compared with 319,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2025, ended 31 March 2025, and 1,558,000,000 USD in fiscal Q3 2025, ended 30 September 2025.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000037996-26-000086Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
The trailing twelve-month dividend yield is +7.27% and ranks in the 98th percentile of the 547-stock research universe, indicating an unusually high yield versus peers as of 2026-09-01.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01Momentum over the last 12 months (momentum_12_1) is +40.5% and ranks in the 79th percentile of 547, while 6-month momentum is +14.6% and ranks in the 70th percentile, showing materially positive intermediate- and longer-term price changes as of 2026-09-01.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional 13F-reported holdings totaled $2.8M as of 2026-03-31.
13F holdings · 3 filers · as of 2026-03-31GAM Holding AG is listed with $2.0M and marked as a new position in the 13F report as of 2026-03-31.
13F holdings · 3 filers · as of 2026-03-31Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A recall affecting nearly 149,000 Mustang vehicles over a potential wiring issue that could cause loss of drive power or affect functions like windshield wipers and headlights was reported on 1 September 2026.
News · cbsnews.com · 2026-09-01Coverage on 1 September 2026 highlights a leadership change at Ford Energy and frames the company's evolving electrification and energy-storage strategy as a focus of media attention.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-01Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model-derived implied free cash flow growth rate that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions is 43.07%.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice to free cash flow (TTM) is 70.6, which indicates the current price is high relative to reported free cash flow of $798,000,000 (TTM).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-specific operating metrics point toward a favorable fundamental read: revenue, operating income, and diluted EPS all improved year-over-year in fiscal Q1 2026 (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2). Market signals corroborate improving investor sentiment on intermediate horizons — a strong 12-month momentum, a golden-cross on moving averages, and a very high trailing dividend yield relative to the research universe support an equity-income and momentum narrative (market-1, market-4, market-0). Valuation multiples on earnings and enterprise-value measures are low versus many equities, and reported cash on the balance sheet is sizable relative to reported long-term debt, which together strengthen an earnings/EV-centered case (valuation-2, valuation-4). The bear points about near-term cash decline, elevated capex depressing free cash flow, short-term negative momentum, and recent volatility are valid shortfalls, but the operating cash flow base and improving operating income provide context that these negatives stem in part from capital intensity and timing rather than only demand erosion (fundamentals-1, fundamentals-0, valuation-3).
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.33
27 surviving claims rest on 13 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 22% of them, and 96% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The reading rests on multiple independent document types (filings, market signals, news, ownership and valuation models) but a modest number of distinct sources — so individual sources or the largest analyst contribution can meaningfully shift the picture. High survival through debate suggests internal consistency, yet the heaviest analyst carrying about a fifth of claims and concentrated source types (e.g., a few filings and computed signals) reduce the weight you should place on any single surviving claim.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 7 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-01).
90-day volatility ranks 4th of 7 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-01).
dividend yield ranks 1st of 7 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-01).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
16 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.2 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.3 to the score
2 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.8 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
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Insider buys, 90 days
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Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.