F
FORD MOTOR COEvidence as of 2026-10-14The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · FORD MOTOR CO
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services a range of Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro; Ford Next; and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial flee…
Management team
- Mr. John Douglas Field · Chief EV, Digital & Design OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. James Duncan Farley Jr. · President, CEO & DirectorFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. William Clay Ford Jr. · Executive ChairmanFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Sherry House CPA · Chief Financial OfficerFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.4 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
Evidence balance: Mixed ( -0.4 of a possible +2; was -0.4 before debate) · confidence high. The surviving financials show revenue from contracts rising from $ 40,659,000,000 in Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-03-31) to $ 43,253,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-31), with an interim peak of $ 50,534,000,000 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-09-30). Operating income climbed from $ 319,000,000 in Q1 2025 to $ 2,329,000,000 in Q1 2026, and diluted EPS moved from $ 0.12 to $ 0.63 over the same span.
Balance-sheet and market signals temper that performance: cash and cash equivalents fell to $ 17,649,000,000 as of 2026-03-31, total stockholders' equity was $ 37,453,000,000 as of 2026-03-31, three‑month momentum is -11.4% while twelve‑month momentum remains reported at +26.7% (weakened) and trailing twelve‑month dividend yield is +8.32%. Valuation snapshots show P/E (TTM) of 9.03 and price-to-FCF of 61.73 on the stated $ 12.10 price.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue from contracts was $40,659,000,000 in the quarter 'Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo)' and rose to $43,253,000,000 in the quarter 'Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo)', with an interim peak of $50,534,000,000 in 'Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo)'.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000037996-25-000072Operating income increased across the sample quarters from $319,000,000 in 'Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo)' to $1,558,000,000 in 'Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo)' and to $2,329,000,000 in 'Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo)'.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000037996-26-000086Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The 10-K filed 11 February 2026 states the company remains subject to a 2024 consent order with NHTSA and has retained an independent third party selected by NHTSA to assess Fords adherence to the consent order and the Safety Act over the term of the consent order.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0000037996-26-000015 vs 0000037996-25-000013The 10-K filed 11 February 2026 adds language that recalls, launch delays, and increased warranty costs have generated negative publicity and could adversely affect reputation and market acceptance, and notes the company has slowed launches to improve quality which may result in lost sales, revenue, and profits.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0000037996-26-000015 vs 0000037996-25-000013Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Three-month momentum is -11.4% and six-month momentum is +0.1%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-13Twelve-month (12_1) momentum is +26.7% and ranks in the 73th percentile of the 881-stock research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-13weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
13F-reported institutional holdings totaled "$36.91B" as of 2026-06-30, with 1,761 holders, a net holder_count_delta_qoq of 38, 1 new position, 150 exited positions, and a quarter-over-quarter value change of 25.6%.
13F holdings · 1761 filers · as of 2026-06-30The largest reported institutional holders in the 13F for the period ended 2026-06-30 were BlackRock, Inc. at "$4.65B", VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC at "$3.55B", STATE STREET CORP at "$2.70B", VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC at "$2.52B", and CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC at "$1.90B".
13F holdings · 1761 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A long-running class-action alleging defective Bosch CP4 high-pressure fuel pumps in 6.7L Power Stroke diesel trucks advanced toward trial, with a federal judge largely upholding consumers' claims and certifying classes in five U.S. states.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-13Coverage highlights Ford's upcoming sub-$30K electric vehicle (the 2028 Fathom) drawing early pre-order interest, with articles about an invite/pre-order list for 2027.
News · caranddriver.com · 2026-10-13Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Ford III Henry reported four non‑derivative 'code G' transactions on 22 September 2026 totaling 2,891 + 8,673 + 8,673 + 8,673 = 28,910 shares with reported value "$0" in the filing.
Form 4 · Ford III Henry (Director) · $0 code G · 2026-09-22FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR (Executive Chair and Chair) reported four non‑derivative 'code J' transactions on 15 September 2026 totaling 1,464,460 + 1,451,097 + 85,301 + 85,301 = 3,086,159 shares with reported value "$0" in the filing.
Form 4 · FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR (Executive Chair and Chair) · $0 code J · 2026-09-15Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model reports an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 39.07% (0.3907) that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeweakened in debatePrice-to-FCF (price_to_fcf) is 61.73, and FCF on a trailing twelve-month basis is $798,000,000, which yields FCF per share of $0.196 versus a price of $12.10.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-reported fundamentals and market metrics jointly support a favorable read: quarterly revenue and operating income have meaningfully risen year-over-year (revenue up from $40.66B to $43.25B; operating income up to $2.33B in Q1 2026), diluted EPS has expanded materially over the sample, and trailing metrics show a low EV/EBITDA (2.25) and modest P/E (9.03). These items are direct, consistently reported accounting outcomes (10-Q/10-K and trailing-period calculations) and therefore represent relatively strong evidence of improved core profitability and attractive enterprise valuation. Market and ownership signals—a 12-month momentum in the 73rd percentile, a high trailing dividend yield (8.32%) with multi-year dividend growth, and a quarter-over-quarter institutional value increase of 25.6%—provide corroborating demand and income-oriented investor interest. The bear points (cash/equity declines, regulatory consent order, EV offtake exposure, litigation, and a price-implied FCF growth assumption of 39%) are material but in some cases represent risks disclosed rather than operational performance reversals; among those, the valuation model's implied extreme FCF growth appears inconsistent with the low EV/EBITDA and P/E signals and is therefore a weaker, model-dependent counterpoint compared with the direct reported profitability and institutional holdings metrics.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.34
38 surviving claims rest on 17 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a moderately broad evidence base (17 distinct sources) but a relatively small set of surviving claims (38), and a single analyst contributes a meaningful share of those claims — so the conclusions are informative but not robustly redundant. Because 97% of items survived the desk debate, the set is internally consistent; however source-concentration and analyst-weight mean new, high-quality contrary information (e.g., a fresh filing or a materially different market signal) could materially change which claims survive.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-10-13).
90-day volatility ranks 5th of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-10-13).
dividend yield ranks 1st of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-10-13).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 3 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.2 to the score
12 documents· 2 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−1.0 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score
7 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
2 filings
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.3 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on F Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.