FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-22The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of unconventional and onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas. It focuses on the development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland basin; and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware basin, which are part of the Pe…
Management team
- Mr. David Meek · Senior Vice President of Human ResourcesFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Greg Dolezal · Senior VP & Chief Information OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Jere W. Thompson III · Executive VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. P. Matt Zmigrosky · Executive VP, Chief Legal & Administrative Officer and SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The surviving record is cautious (evidence balance: Cautious, -0.5; confidence: high). Across the documented quarters, revenues rose from $3,678,000,000 (fiscal quarter ended 30 June 2025) to $3,924,000,000 (fiscal quarter ended 30 September 2025), $4,240,000,000 (fiscal quarter ended 31 March 2026) and $5,562,000,000 (fiscal quarter ended 30 June 2026). Operating income and net income show the same uneven pattern: operating income moved from $1,139,000,000 to $1,236,000,000, dipped to $116,000,000, then climbed to $2,512,000,000; net income went from $699,000,000 to $1,018,000,000, was $25,000,000, and then $1,882,000,000 over the same sequence of reported quarters.
Share-count and leverage metrics tightened in the recorded period: common shares outstanding declined from 292,167,960 to 280,024,353 (point-in-time snapshots) and long-term debt fell from $15,848,000,000 to $11,066,000,000 as of 30 June 2026. Valuation and cash-flow snapshots show trailing twelve-month P/E of 15.0, EV/EBITDA of 6.29, market capitalization of $53,000,209,292, enterprise value of $63,604,209,292, trailing twelve-month EBITDA of $10,120,000,000, and trailing twelve-month operating cash flow of $6,942,000,000. The packet contains 32 surviving claims across 16 sources; the heaviest analyst supplies 25% of those claims and the desk’s entire case survived the debate.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenues increased from $3,678,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 30 June 2025 to $3,924,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 30 September 2025, $4,240,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 31 March 2026, and $5,562,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 30 June 2026.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001539838-25-000127Operating income rose from $1,139,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 30 June 2025 to $1,236,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 30 September 2025, dipped to $116,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 31 March 2026, and then increased to $2,512,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 30 June 2026.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001539838-26-000077Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The company added a new risk noting that "Changes in U.S. trade policy and the impact of tariffs may have a material adverse impact on our business and results of operations."
10-K filed 2026-02-25The 10-K filed 25 February 2026 states the companys 2025 total cash capital expenditures were approximately $3.5 billion and that the 2026 cash capital budget is estimated at approximately $3.60 billion to $3.90 billion (an increase at the midpoint of 6% from 2025).
10-K filed 2026-02-25Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
The 13F snapshot as of 2026-06-30 reports total institutional holdings of $35.41B and lists 1,202 institutional holders.
13F holdings · 1202 filers · as of 2026-06-30The same 13F data (as of 2026-06-30) shows a quarter-over-quarter reported value change of -68.5% and a holder_count_delta_qoq of 975.
13F holdings · 1202 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Multiple outlets published headlines noting that Diamondback Energy's stock 'dropped despite market gains' on 21 September 2026.
News · zacks.com · 2026-09-21A finance outlet reported the same 'stock drops despite market gains' headline and included a closing price of $189.27 for the latest trading day in its 21 September 2026 coverage.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-21Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Trailing twelve-month price / earnings (P/E) is 15.0.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeEnterprise value / EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) on a trailing twelve-month basis is 6.29.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several pieces of the provided evidence jointly support a favorable read. Recent quarterly revenue and EPS series (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-3) show sequential increases culminating in a strong June 2026 quarter, while point-in-time common shares outstanding and disclosed share repurchases (fundamentals-4, filings-2) indicate ongoing capital return and buyback activity that reduces share count. The company has materially reduced long-term debt over recent quarters (fundamentals-5) and trailing multiples and cash-flow metrics (valuation-0, valuation-1, valuation-4) show valuation levels that are moderate by typical marketplace benchmarks. Institutional ownership remains meaningful with large holders and a multi-hundred-million-dollar position from major asset managers (ownership-0, ownership-2), and sell-side coverage skewed heavily toward buy/initiations in the cited consensus (third-party street consensus). Together these points — improving recent operating results, shrinking share count, deleveraging, solid institutional backing, and moderate valuation multiples — form the core of the bull case.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.33
32 surviving claims rest on 16 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 25% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The dataset rests on a moderate number of distinct sources but a relatively large set of claims, and one analyst or contributor accounts for a quarter of those claims — this raises concentration risk in the evidence base. Also, the fact that everything the desk raised survived debate suggests low internal disagreement, which strengthens coherence but may also indicate confirmation concentration rather than independent corroboration.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
12 filings· 3 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.5 to the score
12 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.7 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.2 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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