FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.Evidence as of 2026-10-14The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. It primarily explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and other metals, as well as oil and gas. The company's assets include the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, and Miami in Arizona; Tyrone and Chino in New Mexico; and Henderson and Climax in Colorado, No…
Management team
- Ms. Ellie L. Mikes · VP & Chief Accounting OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Maree E. Robertson · Executive VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Joshua Frederick Olmsted · President & COO of AmericasFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Douglas N. Currault II · Executive VP & General CounselFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
Revenues rose from $ 6,234,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-30) to $ 7,029,000,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-31), while gross dollar margin expanded from $ 1,655,000,000 (≈ 26.6% of revenue) to $ 2,186,000,000 (≈ 31.1% of revenue) over the same pair of quarters. Diluted EPS moved from $ 0.61 to $ 0.68 with diluted weighted-average shares roughly flat at 1,444,000,000 and 1,443,000,000, and point-in-time common shares outstanding fell slightly from 1,437,559,865 (2026-04-30) to 1,436,017,523 (2026-07-31).
Balance-sheet and cash-flow evidence highlights a large cash/CapEx profile and leverage context: long-term debt edged down from $ 9,414,000,000 (2026-03-31) to $ 9,386,000,000 (2026-06-30), consolidated cash at $ 3,800,000,000 at 2025-12-31 per the 10-K, trailing twelve-month FCF was $ 1,037,000,000 against trailing capex of $ 4,462,000,000, and the model implies an FCF growth rate of 54.16% per year to justify the current price given the stated assumptions. Market signals are mixed: beta versus SPY is 2.17 with high short-term volatility (30‑day annualized +37.8%, 90‑day +47.5%), strong 12‑month momentum (+52.4%, 86th percentile) but weaker 6‑month relative strength ( -5.6%), and valuation multiples such as P/FCF = 100.77 and P/E (TTM) = 31.76.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenues rose from $6,234,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to $7,029,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000831259-26-000025Cost of revenue moved from $4,579,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 to $4,843,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 while gross dollar margin increased from $1,655,000,000 (≈26.6% of revenue) in fiscal Q1 2026 to $2,186,000,000 (≈31.1% of revenue) in fiscal Q2 2026, indicating quarter-to-quarter margin expansion in that comparison.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000831259-26-000025Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The 10-K filed 13 February 2026 reports that on September 8, 2025 PTFI experienced an unprecedented mud rush at the Grasberg Block Cave underground mine in which about 800,000 metric tons of wet material entered the mine and seven team members were later found deceased.
10-K filed 2026-02-13The 10-K filed 13 February 2026 states that mud removal, remediation activities and a phased restart and ramp-up of the Grasberg Block Cave are in process and that PTFI has recorded charges and expects to incur additional costs related to the incident, with insurance recovery subject to conditions and timing uncertainty.
10-K filed 2026-02-13Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Beta versus SPY is 2.17, indicating the stock has moved with larger amplitude than the S&P 500 on this date.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-13Correlation versus SPY is 0.58, showing a moderate positive co-movement with the S&P 500 on this date.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-13Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
13F-reported institutional holdings totaled "$82.45B" in aggregated value for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, with 1,916 institutional holders and a quarter-over-quarter holder count increase of 42.
13F holdings · 1916 filers · as of 2026-06-30Large U.S. investment managers reported substantial positions in the 13F for the period ended 30 June 2026: BlackRock, Inc. listed "$7.73B", VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC listed "$5.91B", Fisher Asset Management, LLC listed "$4.21B", and STATE STREET CORP listed "$4.18B".
13F holdings · 1916 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Kalkinemedia published articles on 12–13 October 2026 that frame Freeport-McMoRan in the context of copper near record highs and strong quarterly results, tying the company to recent metal-price momentum.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-10-13Kalkinemedia coverage on 13 October 2026 highlights copper price strength and explicitly links Freeport-McMoRan to electrification and mining trends as drivers of market focus.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-10-13Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Insiders reported aggregate sales of "$8.4M" and net shares of "-110398" over the 180-day window in the provided data.
Form 4 · Currault Douglas N. II (EVP & General Counsel) · $783k code M · 2026-08-25Douglas N. Currault II (EVP & General Counsel) reported dispositions totaling reported values of "$6.3M", "$783k", and "$422k" for shares "80000", "65000", and "15000" respectively on 25 August 2026; no trading plan is indicated in those filings.
Form 4 · Currault Douglas N. II (EVP & General Counsel) · $783k code M · 2026-08-25Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model reports an implied free-cash-flow (FCF) growth rate of 54.16% per year that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve-month FCF was $1,037,000,000 while trailing twelve-month capital expenditures were $4,462,000,000 (cash and capex figures as of the periods given in the filing fields).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Educationally speaking, several company-specific fundamentals in the dataset point to a favorable read: sequential revenue growth, expanded gross dollar margin, and rising diluted EPS across Q1–Q2 2026 indicate quarter-to-quarter operational leverage in that window. Balance-sheet signals in the evidence show a small reduction in long-term debt and a modest decline in point-in-time common shares outstanding alongside recorded repurchases, while institutional 13F holdings and large manager positions suggest meaningful professional ownership. Market signals show strong 12-month momentum (86th percentile) and price above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, which, combined with recent media focus linking the company to strong copper prices, can help explain positive market positioning. Against the bear points, the operational and remediation risks disclosed for PTFI are clearly material in the filings, but the reported charges and the company’s phased restart actions are discrete events already recorded in the filings rather than new, unidentified exposures; additionally, directors’ small open-market acquisitions and continuing institutional ownership provide countervailing context to insider dispositions. Finally, valuation and cash-flow evidence (high implied FCF growth and trailing capex substantially above trailing FCF) weaken the fundamental valuation case and warrant attention; however, the observed momentum, improving quarterly margins, and shareholder-support signals in the dataset jointly support a favorable informational read when evaluating the provided claims.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.35
43 surviving claims rest on 19 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 23% of them, and 98% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set is moderately broad but not robust: 43 surviving claims rest on 19 sources, with one analyst contributing nearly a quarter of the claims and an unusually high 98% pass rate from the desk debate. That combination implies the read carries useful signals but is fragile to source concentration and analyst dependence — a few new filings or a materially different primary source could materially change the picture.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
9 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
10 documents· 2 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−1.6 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.8 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
9 filings· 1 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−1.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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