FDX
Evidence as of 2026-09-02Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is constructive (+0.5 of a possible +2; was +0.5 before debate) with high confidence. Reported revenue rose across the quarters shown: USD 22,160,000,000 for the quarter ended 28 Feb 2025; USD 22,244,000,000 for the quarter ended 31 Aug 2025 (fiscal Q1 2026, 2025-06-01 to 2025-08-31); USD 23,469,000,000 for the quarter ended 30 Nov 2025 (fiscal Q2 2026, 2025-09-01 to 2025-11-30); and USD 24,000,000,000 for the quarter ended 28 Feb 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026, 2025-12-01 to 2026-02-28).
Operating income varied quarter-to-quarter (USD 1,292,000,000; USD 1,186,000,000; USD 1,378,000,000; USD 1,348,000,000 over the same four quarters). Net income showed an upward pattern across the periods cited (USD 909,000,000; USD 824,000,000; USD 956,000,000; USD 1,056,000,000), while diluted EPS moved from USD 3.76 to USD 3.46 to USD 4.04 to USD 4.41. Shares outstanding declined overall from 240,850,603 as of 17 Dec 2024 to 236,581,188 as of 16 Jul 2026, and long‑term debt rose from USD 19,899,000,000 as of 31 May 2025 to USD 23,455,000,000 as of 31 May 2026.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Reported revenue increased across the most recent quarters shown: USD 22,160,000,000 for the quarter ended 28 Feb 2025; USD 22,244,000,000 for the quarter ended 31 Aug 2025 (fiscal Q1 2026, 2025-06-01 to 2025-08-31); USD 23,469,000,000 for the quarter ended 30 Nov 2025 (fiscal Q2 2026, 2025-09-01 to 2025-11-30); and USD 24,000,000,000 for the quarter ended 28 Feb 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026, 2025-12-01 to 2026-02-28).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000950170-25-042672Operating income has varied quarter-to-quarter: USD 1,292,000,000 for the quarter ended 28 Feb 2025; USD 1,186,000,000 for the quarter ended 31 Aug 2025 (fiscal Q1 2026); USD 1,378,000,000 for the quarter ended 30 Nov 2025 (fiscal Q2 2026); and USD 1,348,000,000 for the quarter ended 28 Feb 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000950170-25-042672Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02, FDX is held in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) at a weight of 0.11% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe provided ownership evidence contains a single ETF membership record (the IVV entry) as of the timestamp 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A finance.yahoo.com headline on 2026-09-02 covers GlobalFoundries and RAAAM Memory Technologies jointly developing next‑generation GCRAM and a test chip on the FDX platform.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02dropped in debategurufocus.com published a DCF analysis headlined 'FDX DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $233 vs Price $325' on 2026-09-02.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model shows the price of $316.54 implies a free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 16.69% (implied_growth = 0.1669).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve‑month price/FCF is 27.25 (price_to_fcf = 27.25) based on FCF TTM of $2,776,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The evidence shows a consistent, recent top‑line expansion (sequential quarterly revenue increases) alongside rising net income and diluted EPS, which is strong, company‑level fundamental evidence of improving profitability over the recorded quarters. Share count has declined over the period, a strong signal that per‑share performance benefited from capital return or share reduction activity. Valuation metrics are mixed: EV/EBITDA of 8.91 is a moderate–strength indicator of relative operating valuation support, and the modelled implied FCF growth (16.7%) points to optimistic cash‑flow expectations, while trailing price/FCF and a single third‑party DCF are weaker, model‑dependent negatives. Investor activity items (large quant investor increases and new institutional positions) provide additional moderate evidence of market interest that counters arguments relying solely on the single DCF output or the increase in long‑term debt. Overall, the strongest evidence supporting a favorable read is the company‑level sequential revenue, net income, EPS improvements, and reduced shares outstanding, while the weakest opposing evidence is a lone DCF and a high P/FCF that depend on modelling choices.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.32
19 surviving claims rest on 11 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 32% of them, and 92% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a modestly diverse evidence base (11 sources) but a single analyst contributes nearly a third of surviving claims, creating analyst-concentration risk. A very high survival rate through debate (92%) means few claims were overturned — that increases the chance of unchallenged assumptions or group-reinforcement rather than error correction. Taken together, the material is usefully informative but fragile enough that new filings or a contrary primary source could materially change how much weight to place on these conclusions.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
13 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.5 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score
7 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
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Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.