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GD

GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPEvidence as of 2026-09-02

Overview · GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP

General Dynamics Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The Aerospace segment produces and sells business jets; and offers aircraft maintenance and repair, management, aircraft-on-ground support and completion, charter, staffing, and fixed-base operator services. The Marine Systems segment desi…

SectorIndustrials
IndustryAerospace & Defense
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees106,500
www.gd.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+1.0
Filings and risk
+0.0
Market signals
+0.3
Ownership and flow
+0.3
Insider activity
+0.0

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.5 observed
3 favorable3 neutral0 unfavorableacross 6 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The evidence balance is Mixed (+0.3 of a possible +2; confidence high). Revenue was $ 13,481,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-05), up from $ 12,223,000,000 in Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-03-30) and modestly above $ 12,907,000,000 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-09-28). Operating income rose to $ 1,420,000,000 in Q1 2026 from $ 1,268,000,000 in Q1 2025, and net income increased to $ 1,125,000,000 from $ 994,000,000 over the same year‑ago quarter, leaving simple net margin roughly stable at about 8.35% in Q1 2026 versus about 8.14% in Q1 2025.

Market and valuation metrics coexist with those fundamentals: 12‑1 momentum is +24.9% (66th percentile), a golden cross has been in place for 43 days, beta versus SPY is low at 0.43, dividend yield (TTM) is +1.67% with three‑year dividend growth of +6.2%, and trailing FCF is $ 2,526,000,000 giving Price/FCF (TTM) about 40.09x and EV/EBITDA (TTM) about 16.75x. Repurchases were $ 217,000,000 in Q1 2026 and long‑term noncurrent debt fell from $ 7,260,000,000 as of 2024-12-31 to $ 6,259,000,000 as of 2026-04-05.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+2.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Revenue was 13,481,000,000 for fiscal Q1 2026, ended 5 April 2026, up from 12,223,000,000 for fiscal Q1 2025, ended 30 March 2025 and up modestly from 12,907,000,000 for fiscal Q3 2025, ended 28 September 2025.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000040533-26-000012

Operating income was 1,420,000,000 for fiscal Q1 2026, ended 5 April 2026, compared with 1,268,000,000 for fiscal Q1 2025, ended 30 March 2025, and 1,331,000,000 for fiscal Q3 2025, ended 28 September 2025, indicating operating dollars were slightly higher in the most recent quarter.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000040533-26-000012
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

A Form 4 reporting an insider transaction was filed on 2026-08-17 (file reference the 4 filed 17 August 2026).

4 filed 2026-08-17

A second Form 4 reporting an insider transaction was filed on 2026-08-17 (file reference the 4 filed 17 August 2026); the provided parse status for this filing is 'skipped'.

4 filed 2026-08-17
NashAI market signals analyst
+1.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

Momentum over the 12-1 window is +24.9% and ranks in the 66th percentile of the 547-stock research universe as of 2026-09-01.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debate

The stock shows a recent bullish technical state: a golden cross is present and it has been in place for 43 days (cross_age_days = 43) as of 2026-09-01.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+0.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-03-31 (the latest 13F reported quarter), reported institutional holdings total "$19.1M", a reported value change of -24.8% quarter-over-quarter.

13F holdings · 3 filers · as of 2026-03-31weakened in debate

Ensign Peak Advisors, Inc is listed as a top institutional holder with a reported value of "$18.1M" in the 13F for the period ended 2026-03-31, with that position showing a +22.3% value change quarter-over-quarter.

13F holdings · 3 filers · as of 2026-03-31weakened in debate
YatesAI news analyst
+1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

Two outlets ran value-focused headlines about General Dynamics on 1 September 2026, labeling the shares a long-term value pick and presenting a DCF-derived fair value of $189.

News · zacks.com · 2026-09-01

A market-movement headline noted a daily share-price decline of -2.1% to $371.35 at the close of the trading day in the report published 31 August 2026.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-08-31
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
+0.0

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

On 14 August 2026, Deep Danny (President) reported four Form 4 transactions in the filing: code M purchase of 8,530 shares for "$1.4M", code F sale of 5,833 shares for "$2.3M", code M purchase of 25,070 shares for "$4.1M", and code F sale of 17,070 shares for "$6.7M"; the filing shows no trading-plan checkbox or trading_plan text for these transactions.

Form 4 · Deep Danny (President) · $1.4M code M · 2026-08-14

On 13 August 2026, Smith Robert Edward (Executive Vice President) reported four Form 4 transactions in the filing: code M purchase of 9,430 shares for "$1.8M", code F sale of 6,755 shares for "$2.6M", code M purchase of 35,010 shares for "$5.8M", and code F sale of 23,930 shares for "$9.3M"; the filing shows no trading-plan checkbox or trading_plan text for these transactions.

Form 4 · Smith Robert Edward (Executive Vice President) · $1.8M code M · 2026-08-13
ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

The model reports an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 26.85% that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Price-to-FCF (TTM) is 40.09x based on the provided price and FCF figures.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 7 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

Several company-filed fundamentals and market signals together form a favorable read. Firm-sourced quarterly figures show sequential and year-over-year revenue and operating/net income improvement (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2) — this is strong, primary-source evidence of improving recent operating dollars and stable-to-higher net margin. Share-count reduction and ongoing repurchases (fundamentals-3, fundamentals-4) plus a reported decline in long-term noncurrent debt (fundamentals-5) are medium-strength balance-sheet/return-of-capital signals that increase per-share economics. Market momentum and technicals (market-0, market-1) and low market sensitivity (market-2) provide supporting market-context evidence, while contract/backlog and award-related news items (news-3, news-4) supply corroborating operational visibility; these items are medium-strength because they come from news summaries rather than filings. Together the filings, buybacks, debt reduction, backlog reports, and positive momentum jointly support a constructive read; valuation and volatility metrics deserve attention but are separate, weaker counterpoints relative to the direct filing evidence.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

Two outlets ran value-focused headlines about General Dynamics on 1 September 2026, labeling the shares a long-term value pick and presenting a DCF-derived fair value of $189.Media headlines labeling GD a long-term value pick and citing a DCF fair value are present in the news feed and match the claim.upheld
A market-movement headline noted a daily share-price decline of -2.1% to $371.35 at the close of the trading day in the report published 31 August 2026.The reported intraday/daily price move and closing price cited in the headline are present in the referenced market-news item.upheld
Momentum over the 12-1 window is +24.9% and ranks in the 66th percentile of the 547-stock research universe as of 2026-09-01.The momentum metric for GD is correctly reported but the base-rate indicates many universe names show similar 12-1 momentum, reducing company-specific inference strength.weakened
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.30

33 surviving claims rest on 18 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 92% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The evidence set is moderately robust: 33 surviving claims draw on 18 distinct sources, so findings aren’t from a single document, but a small number of sources carry substantial weight. The largest analyst contribution is under 20% and the desk’s high survival rate in debate suggests claims faced little pushback — useful for confidence, but source concentration and low challenge mean some claims could be brittle to new or contradicting filings.

Peer context · computed, not argued

12-1 momentum ranks 3rd of 4 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-01).

90-day volatility ranks 4th of 4 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-01).

dividend yield ranks 2nd of 4 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-01).

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-01
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

16 filings· 1 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+1.0 to the score

2 documents

SEC filing documents

The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.

Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash+0.3 to the score

3 holdings records· 1 cited

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.3 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

2 filings

Insider filings

Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.

Read by Talbot+0.0 to the score

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-721549f4evidence 25e08f42ddacgenerated 9/2/2026, 3:50:39 AM · 88s15 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.