GD
GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPEvidence as of 2026-10-13The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP
General Dynamics Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The Aerospace segment produces and sells business jets; and offers aircraft maintenance and repair, management, aircraft-on-ground support and completion, charter, staffing, and fixed-base operator services. The Marine Systems segment desi…
Management team
- Danny Deep · Executive Vice President of Combat SystemsFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Robert E. Smith · Executive Vice President of Marine SystemsFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Jason W. Aiken CPA · Executive VP of TechnologiesFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Kimberly A. Kuryea · Senior VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed (+0.1 of a possible +2; was +0.1 before debate) with high confidence. Reported revenues were $ 12,223,000,000 in Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-03-30), $ 13,041,000,000 in Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-06-29), $ 12,907,000,000 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-09-28), and $ 13,481,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-05). Net income rose from $ 994,000,000 in Q1 2025 to $ 1,125,000,000 in Q1 2026, and operating margins have been near 10% across the reported quarters (about 10.0–10.5%).
Balance-sheet and capital-flow items in the surviving claims show cash and cash equivalents increasing to $ 3,654,000,000 as of Q1 2026 while long‑term debt noncurrent fell to $ 6,259,000,000 as of 2026-04-05; reported repurchases fell from $ 600,000,000 in Q1 2025 to $ 217,000,000 in Q1 2026. Market signals show weakened short-term momentum (3‑month −9.2%) but a positive 12‑month momentum of +12.1%, muted volatility, a dividend yield of 2.32% (TTM), and valuation metrics such as P/E 30.52 and price-to-FCF 36.41.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue was 12,223,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-30, 3mo), 13,041,000,000 USD in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-03-31 to 2025-06-29, 3mo), 12,907,000,000 USD in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-06-30 to 2025-09-28, 3mo) and 13,481,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-04-05, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000040533-25-000014Net income was 994,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-30, 3mo), 1,014,000,000 USD in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-03-31 to 2025-06-29, 3mo), 1,059,000,000 USD in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-06-30 to 2025-09-28, 3mo) and 1,125,000,000 USD in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-04-05, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000040533-25-000014Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
For the year ended December 31, 2025 (Form 10‑K filed 2026-01-30), the company reported revenue of $52.6 billion, an increase of 10.1% from 2024.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0000040533-26-000006 vs 0000040533-25-000008For the year ended December 31, 2025 (Form 10‑K filed 2026-01-30), the company reported operating earnings of $5.4 billion, an increase of 11.7% from 2024.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0000040533-26-000006 vs 0000040533-25-000008Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Momentum over the past 3 months is -9.2%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-12weakened in debateMomentum over the past 12 months (12_1) is +12.1% and its 12_1 momentum percentile is the 52th percentile of the 881-stock research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-12weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of the 13F reporting period ended 2026-06-30, total reported institutional holdings in the company were "$81.56B" across 2,222 holders.
13F holdings · 2222 filers · as of 2026-06-30Top reported institutional holders in the 2026-06-30 13F included LONGVIEW ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC at "$9.59B", BlackRock, Inc. at "$6.84B", and VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC at "$5.91B".
13F holdings · 2222 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Multiple outlets report a CEO succession at General Dynamics, noting Phebe Novakovic moving to executive chairman and Danny Deep slated to become CEO on 1 January 2027.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-10-10Coverage about the CEO transition appears in more than one outlet and headline, with at least two distinct pieces explicitly framing the leadership handover as a notable development.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-10-09Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
On 23 September 2026, Robert K. Steel (Director) reported a sale of 2,770 shares valued at "$959k" in the filing.
Form 4 · STEEL ROBERT K (Director) · $467k code M · 2026-09-23On 23 September 2026, Robert K. Steel (Director) reported additional sales of 2,190 shares valued at "$758k", 1,780 shares valued at "$616k", and 700 shares valued at "$242k" in the same filing.
Form 4 · STEEL ROBERT K (Director) · $467k code M · 2026-09-23Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The market-implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that today's price would justify, under the model's discount and terminal assumptions, is 24.25%.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice-to-FCF (TTM) is 36.41 and FCF per share (TTM) is $9.2146 based on the provided trailing twelve-month FCF of $2,526,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several contemporaneous financial metrics and filings jointly support a favorable read: sequential quarterly revenue and net-income figures show stability with a pickup into fiscal Q1 2026, operating margins have remained near 10% across quarters, and the 2025 Form 10‑K reports double-digit revenue and operating-earnings growth year-over-year. Balance-sheet dynamics show rising cash and a reduction in long-term noncurrent debt by 2026-04-05, while management states it has invested to expand shipbuilding capacity to meet demand — a capacity-investment narrative that aligns with the revenue and operating-earnings increases. Market and ownership signals add further context: sizeable institutional ownership and inclusion in large ETFs, a dividend yield with multi-year growth, low historical volatility, and several street analysts maintaining buy ratings collectively strengthen the constructive interpretation. The strength of this evidence is moderate-to-strong where it rests on audited filings and reported quarterly results; operational risks and some market-metric weaknesses noted in other claims are real but do not negate the documented financial improvements and liquidity/debt trend.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.37
44 surviving claims rest on 17 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 98% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving read relies on a moderate breadth of sources (17 distinct documents) but a relatively concentrated analyst footprint and a high debate-survival rate; that combination makes the set relatively coherent but also somewhat brittle to a few mistaken or dominant inputs. In practical terms, these findings are informative for situational awareness but deserve lower confidence than an equally broad, independently corroborated evidence base.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 7th of 12 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-10-12).
6-month relative strength ranks 1st of 12 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-10-12).
90-day volatility ranks 12th of 12 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-10-12).
dividend yield ranks 2nd of 12 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-10-12).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
10 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.6 to the score
12 documents· 2 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes+0.1 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.7 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
10 filings· 1 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.6 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Institutional holders
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