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The Home Depot, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-12The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · The Home Depot, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products. The company also offers installation services for flooring, water heaters, bath, garage doors, cabinets, cabinet makeovers, countertops, sheds, furnaces and central air systems, an…
Management team
- Mr. William D. Bastek · Executive Vice President of MerchandisingFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Ann-Marie Campbell · Senior Executive Vice PresidentFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Teresa Wynn Roseborough J.D. · Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Richard V. McPhail · Executive VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.6 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Cautious ( -0.6 of a possible +2 ) with high confidence. Revenue rose from $ 41,765,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-19) to $ 47,861,000,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-08-18), a sequential increase of $ 6,096,000,000. Gross profit increased from $ 13,781,000,000 in Q1 2026 to $ 16,117,000,000 in Q2 2026 while cost of revenue moved from $ 27,984,000,000 to $ 31,746,000,000 over the same interval, and net income rose from $ 3,289,000,000 to $ 4,766,000,000 with diluted EPS moving from $ 3.30 to $ 4.79.
Balance-sheet and ownership facts survived the review: cash and cash equivalents increased to $ 2,085,000,000 as of 2026-08-02, total assets moved to $ 109,384,000,000 and total liabilities were $ 92,767,000,000 as of 2026-08-02, long-term debt was $ 49,397,000,000 as of 2026-02-01, and shares outstanding edged higher to 997,689,626 as of 2026-08-18. Market signals that survived include negative short- and medium-term momentum, price sitting below the 50- and 200-day SMAs, elevated volatility, and a trailing dividend yield of 3.01%.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue for fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-02-02 to 2026-05-03, 3mo) was $41,765,000,000 and revenue for fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-05-04 to 2026-08-02, 3mo) was $47,861,000,000, indicating a sequential increase of $6,096,000,000 between those two quarters.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-038247Gross profit rose from $13,781,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-02-02 to 2026-05-03, 3mo) to $16,117,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-05-04 to 2026-08-02, 3mo), while cost of revenue increased from $27,984,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 to $31,746,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-038247Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
In the 10-Q filed 25 August 2026, management describes significant ongoing investments to deliver a "frictionless interconnected experience," including enhancements to digital capabilities, supply chain expansion, store-base work, and strategic acquisitions, and states the execution of those initiatives "could adversely impact our business operations or financial results, and these initiatives might not provide the anticipated benefits."
10-Q filed 2026-08-25The risk-factor diff (filed in the annual report cycle that produced the 10-K on 18 March 2026) added multiple new or materially reworded risk disclosures that emphasize threats to brand and reputation, stating a damaged brand could "negatively impact our relationships with our customers, associates and jobseekers, suppliers, service providers, vendors, shareholders, regulators, and the communities we serve, and, consequently, our business, results of operations and the price of our stock."
10-K filed 2026-03-18Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-11, short- and medium-term momentum readings are negative: 3-month momentum is -5.3% and 6-month momentum is -8.9%, with the 6-month momentum ranked at the 18th percentile of the 558-stock research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-11Price is below key moving averages as of 2026-09-11: price is -8.1% versus the 50-day SMA and -9.8% versus the 200-day SMA, and the golden cross flag is false.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-11Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional holders reported aggregate holdings valued at $237.74B as of the 13F reporting period ended 2026-03-31 (note: 13F filings carry a 45-day reporting lag).
13F holdings · 4101 filers · as of 2026-03-31Top institutional positions included BlackRock, Inc. at $25.91B and VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC at $21.28B in the 13F as of the period ended 2026-03-31.
13F holdings · 4101 filers · as of 2026-03-31Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
The headline reports an insider sale by SVP-Finance, CAO & Controller Kimberly Scardino of 675 shares.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-12The coverage is company-specific (focused on a Home Depot insider transaction) rather than a market-wide story.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-12Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Richard V. McPhail (EVP & CFO) sold 5,989 shares for "$2.1M" on 2026-08-19, with a separate Form 4 line showing a related "$883k" code M entry for the same 5,989 shares on 2026-08-19.
Form 4 · McPhail Richard V (EVP & CFO) · $0 code A · 2026-08-20Teresa Wynn Roseborough (EVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec.) sold 2,455 shares for "$807k" on 2026-08-28.
Form 4 · Roseborough Teresa Wynn (EVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec.) · $807k sold · 2026-08-28Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model shows an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 5.14% that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) on a trailing twelve-month basis is 17.02.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The evidence set shows sequential top-line and profitability improvement across fiscal Q1 to Q2 2026: revenue, gross profit, net income, and diluted EPS each increased materially (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2). Cash and total assets also rose while liabilities were roughly stable over the same intervals (fundamentals-4), and valuation multiples (P/FCF ~17, EV/EBITDA ~13, P/E ~19) indicate the market price embeds moderate expectations relative to reported trailing cash flow and earnings (valuation-1, valuation-2, valuation-3, valuation-4). Institutional ownership remains large in dollar terms with major holders and notable ETF inclusion, and the dividend yield sits in the upper quartile of the research universe — factors financial advisors often cite as signals of investor confidence and income strength (ownership-0, ownership-1, ownership-3, market-4). Given these points, the strongest negative signals (momentum, price below moving averages, elevated vol, recent Form 4 sales, and expanded risk disclosures) can be read as market- and disclosure-driven noise rather than counters to the quarter-to-quarter improvement shown in the company’s reported operating results (contesting filings-1..3, market-0..3, insider-0..4, ownership-2).
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.34
35 surviving claims rest on 15 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 17% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set is moderately broad (multiple sources) but not deeply diversified: a minority of sources support many claims and one analyst contributes a material share, so individual source errors or analyst bias could change the read. The fact that everything the desk raised survived the debate increases the risk of confirmation bias — treat the bundle as informative but relatively fragile until independent, new filings or market observations corroborate it.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 3 in Home Improvement Retail (as of 2026-09-11).
6-month relative strength ranks 1st of 3 in Home Improvement Retail (as of 2026-09-11).
90-day volatility ranks 3rd of 3 in Home Improvement Retail (as of 2026-09-11).
dividend yield ranks 1st of 3 in Home Improvement Retail (as of 2026-09-11).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
9 filings· 3 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.5 to the score
13 documents· 4 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.8 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.5 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.4 to the score
1 headline
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
18 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−1.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
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Street target range
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