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HIG

The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-03

Overview · The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. provides insurance and financial services to individual and business customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its Commercial Lines segment offers insurance coverages, including workers' compensation, property, automobile, general and professional liability, package business, umbrella, fidelity and surety, marine, livestock, and reinsurance th…

SectorFinancial Services
IndustryInsurance—Diversified
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees18,800
www.thehartford.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.9
Market signals
+0.1
Ownership and flow
+0.0

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.8 observed
5 favorable1 neutral0 unfavorableacross 4 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The desk rates the evidence balance as Mixed (+ 0.3 of a possible + 2; was + 0.3 before debate) with high confidence. Reported quarterly revenues rose from $ 6,810,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2025-04-23 (Q1 2025) to $ 7,232,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-24 (Q3 2025) and were $ 7,263,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-22 (Q2 2026). GAAP net income moved from $ 630,000,000 in the quarter ended 2025-03-31 to $ 1,080,000,000 in the quarter ended 2025-09-30 and was $ 1,298,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-06-30; diluted EPS were $ 2.15 in the quarter ended 2025-04-23, $ 3.77 in the quarter ended 2025-10-24, $ 3.04 in the quarter ended 2026-04-22 and $ 4.68 in the quarter ended 2026-07-22.

Shares outstanding fell from 285,386,985 as of 2025-02-20 to 270,872,002 as of 2026-07-22, concurrent with cash repurchases of $ 400,000,000 in the quarter ended 2025-03-31 and $ 400,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Long-term debt was roughly stable at about $ 4,374,000,000 and stockholders’ equity increased from $ 16,844,000,000 as of 2025-03-31 to $ 19,633,000,000 as of 2026-06-30. Market signals are mixed: short- and intermediate-term momentum and relative strength are weak to modest, price sits slightly below the 50‑day SMA (− 1.1%) and slightly above the 200‑day SMA (+ 1.3%) with a golden cross aged 29 days, beta and correlation to SPY are near zero, 90‑day volatility is elevated around 21.0%, trailing twelve‑month dividend yield is 1.75% and valuation multiples show P/FCF of 9.9 and P/E of 9.19 with implied FCF growth of − 7.15% under the stated model assumptions.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Reported quarterly revenues rose from $6,810,000,000 in the quarter ended 31 March 2025 to $7,232,000,000 in the quarter ended 30 September 2025 and were $7,263,000,000 in the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000874766-25-000052

Net income (GAAP) moved from $630,000,000 in the quarter ended 31 March 2025 to $1,080,000,000 in the quarter ended 30 September 2025 and was $1,298,000,000 in the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000874766-26-000060
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

NashAI market signals analyst
+0.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

Momentum over the most recent 3 months is +8.9%.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debate

Momentum over the most recent 6 months is -3.0% and ranks in the 30th percentile of 547 (rank_momentum_6m: 30th percentile of 547).

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debate
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+0.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, HIG is held in the IVV ETF at a weight of 0.06% of that fund.

ETF constituents · market data

This membership indicates that investors in IVV had passive exposure to HIG through that ETF as of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00.

ETF constituents · market data
YatesAI news analyst
+1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

The Hartford announced a partnership with UC Berkeley’s Bakar Labs for Energy & Materials to support early-stage energy and materials startups, offering insurance counseling and risk management expertise.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-01

Multiple outlets flagged the UC Berkeley partnership as driving renewed attention to Hartford, noting it as a reason the company is "back in the spotlight."

News · simplywall.st · 2026-08-27
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
no data on file

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.

ArcherAI valuation analyst
+1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

The model shows an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of -7.15% that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Price-to-trailing-twelve-months FCF (P/FCF) is 9.9 based on the provided price and FCF figures.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 4 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

The evidence set jointly supports a favorable read: reported revenues and GAAP net income rose meaningfully across the quarters shown (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1), and diluted EPS has trended higher with several strong quarterly prints (fundamentals-2). Shares outstanding declined while the company continued repurchases (fundamentals-3, fundamentals-4), amplifying per-share metrics, and stockholders’ equity increased over the period (fundamentals-6). Valuation metrics look accommodative relative to those fundamentals — P/FCF of 9.9 and P/E of 9.19 with sizable trailing FCF per share (valuation-1, valuation-2, valuation-3) — and recent market signals show positive short- and intermediate-term momentum plus a golden-cross technical status (market-0, market-2, market-4). News and institutional buying indicate renewed attention and fresh ownership flows (news-0, news-1, news-2, news-3, news-4).

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

The Hartford announced a partnership with UC Berkeley’s Bakar Labs for Energy & Materials to support early-stage energy and materials startups, offering insurance counseling and risk management expertise.Press coverage documents The Hartford's partnership with UC Berkeley Bakar Labs and the claim accurately summarizes that announcement.upheld
Multiple outlets flagged the UC Berkeley partnership as driving renewed attention to Hartford, noting it as a reason the company is "back in the spotlight."Multiple outlets flagged the partnership and renewed attention; the claim is a factual summary of observed media commentary.upheld
Momentum over the most recent 3 months is +8.9%.The 3-month momentum figure (+8.9%) appears in the signal set, but the claim is a short-term market signal and is flagged as describing a broad market condition, so its standalone weight is limited.weakened
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.38

29 surviving claims rest on 13 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 31% of them, and 93% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The read rests on a moderate breadth of sources but shows concentration risk: a single analyst/account carries nearly a third of surviving claims, which reduces independent corroboration. The very high survival rate from the desk review means claims were largely upheld internally, but that also raises fragility if any one of the heavier sources or the next primary filing contradicts key items.

Peer context · computed, not argued

12-1 momentum ranks 1st of 2 in Insurance—Diversified (as of 2026-09-02).

6-month relative strength ranks 2nd of 2 in Insurance—Diversified (as of 2026-09-02).

90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 2 in Insurance—Diversified (as of 2026-09-02).

dividend yield ranks 2nd of 2 in Insurance—Diversified (as of 2026-09-02).

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

13 filings· 2 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.9 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash+0.1 to the score

1 holdings record

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-9ff88c3eevidence 7cc2782f6444generated 9/3/2026, 12:15:32 AM · 135s14 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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The full terminal on HIG Gold

Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.