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HRL

HORMEL FOODS CORP /DE/Evidence as of 2026-09-03

Overview · HORMEL FOODS CORP /DE/

Hormel Foods Corporation develops, processes, and distributes various meat, nuts, and food products to retail, foodservice, deli, and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Grocery Products, Refrigerated Foods, Jennie-O Turkey Store, and International & Other. It provides various perishable products that include fresh meats, frozen items, refrigerate…

SectorConsumer Defensive
IndustryPackaged Foods
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees20,000
www.hormelfoods.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

−0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
−0.7
Ownership and flow
+0.5

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.1 observed
3 favorable2 neutral2 unfavorableacross 6 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The balance of evidence is Mixed ( -0.1 of a possible +2; confidence high). Hormel reported gross profit of $ 475,232,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-01-25), $ 518,507,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-26) and $ 471,515,000 in fiscal Q3 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-26).

Operating income and net income fell quarter-to-quarter, with operating income declining from $ 243,697,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 to $ 217,112,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 to $ 110,904,000 in fiscal Q3 2026, and net income moving from $ 181,801,000 to $ 157,474,000 to $ 59,573,000 over the same sequence. Diluted EPS tracked the drop, at $ 0.33, $ 0.29 and $ 0.11 respectively, while weighted average diluted shares rose modestly from 549,854,000 to 551,074,000 across the three quarters. The firm generated positive operating cash flow TTM of $ 1,266,029,000 and TTM free cash flow of $ 1,040,607,000 (FCF per share $ 1.8883); at a market price of 22.05 on 2026-09-02 the model shows P/FCF of 11.68 and an implied FCF growth rate of -3.5%.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
−1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Gross profit was $475,232,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2024-10-28 to 2025-01-26, 3mo), $518,507,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-01-26 to 2026-04-26, 3mo), and $471,515,000 in fiscal Q3 2026 (2026-04-27 to 2026-07-26, 3mo).

XBRL companyfacts · 0000048465-26-000020

Operating income declined quarter-to-quarter from $243,697,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2024-10-28 to 2025-01-26, 3mo) to $217,112,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-01-26 to 2026-04-26, 3mo) to $110,904,000 in fiscal Q3 2026 (2026-04-27 to 2026-07-26, 3mo).

XBRL companyfacts · 0000048465-26-000020
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

NashAI market signals analyst
no data on file

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.

EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+0.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02, the IVV ETF held HORMEL FOODS CORP /DE/ (HRL) at 0.01% of the fund.

ETF constituents · market data

This record documents HRL's membership in a broadly tracked S&P 500–linked ETF (IVV) as of 2026-09-02, representing a very small weighting (0.01% of the fund).

ETF constituents · market data
YatesAI news analyst
−1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

Two outlets ran the same comparative headline about dividends between Hormel and General Mills on 2 September 2026, framing the story around dividend size and payout metrics rather than company-specific operational news.

News · 247wallst.com · 2026-09-02

A press announcement dated 1 September 2026 states that Hormel executives will participate in the 2026 Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-01
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
no data on file

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.

ArcherAI valuation analyst
+0.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

At the market price 22.05 on 2026-09-02, the model shows the price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) is 11.68 and free cash flow (FCF) trailing twelve months is $1,040,607,000 (FCF per share $1.8883).

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

The model reports an implied FCF growth rate of -3.5% (the rate today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions).

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 4 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

Several pieces of evidence in the record jointly support a constructive read: Hormel shows robust trailing free cash flow ($1.04B TTM) with a reasonable P/FCF of 11.68 at the quoted market price, and operating cash flow TTM ($1.266B) indicates strong cash generation. Long-term noncurrent debt has meaningfully declined across the three balance-sheet snapshots, which, combined with positive FCF, strengthens the company’s financial flexibility. Market and institutional signals — a small S&P-linked ETF holding, a new modest stake reported in a 13F, and management participation in a major consumer-staples conference — are consistent with ongoing investor and analyst engagement. These factors provide contextual support against headline-driven weakness by evidencing real cash-generation capacity and balance-sheet improvement.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

Two outlets ran the same comparative headline about dividends between Hormel and General Mills on 2 September 2026, framing the story around dividend size and payout metrics rather than company-specific operational news.Two outlets ran the same comparative dividend headline on the stated date; the characterization is supported by the news items.upheld
A press announcement dated 1 September 2026 states that Hormel executives will participate in the 2026 Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference.Company press materials state Hormel executives will attend the Barclays conference on the cited date.upheld
As of 2026-09-02, the IVV ETF held HORMEL FOODS CORP /DE/ (HRL) at 0.01% of the fund.ETF holding data indicate IVV included HRL at a 0.01% weight on the stated date and matches the ETF-membership record.upheld
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.35

20 surviving claims rest on 10 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 35% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The evidence set rests on a moderate number of distinct sources, which helps breadth, but a single analyst authored over a third of surviving claims and everything the desk flagged survived peer review — that raises the risk that unchallenged interpretations or common data-handling assumptions permeate the read. In short, the read has useful corroboration across filings, news and valuation models, but its resilience is reduced by analyst concentration and lack of internal pushback, so treat the conclusions as informative but relatively brittle to new primary records or a corrective filing.

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

14 filings· 1 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer−0.7 to the score

1 holdings record

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-cfb5fb7aevidence 027ba9b348bagenerated 9/3/2026, 12:25:32 AM · 77s13 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.