HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-03Overview · Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings pri…
Management team
- Mr. Michael Niem Chanatry · Executive VP & Chief Commercial OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Neil E. Marchuk · Executive VP & Chief Human Resources OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Lola Felice Lin J.D. · Executive VP, Secretary, Chief Legal & Compliance OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Kenneth J. Giacobbe · Executive VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
Revenue showed a clear sequential rise from $ 2,053,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-28) to $ 2,313,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-04) and $ 2,547,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-08-03). Operating income increased year-over-year from $ 521,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 to $ 711,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 after peaking at $ 753,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026, and net income followed a similar pattern at $ 407,000,000 → $ 580,000,000 → $ 534,000,000 across those same quarters.
Reported common shares outstanding fell from 403,126,322 as of 2025-07-28 to 398,801,399 as of 2026-08-03, with a disclosed $ 300,000,000 share repurchase in fiscal Q1 2026. Balance-sheet liquidity fell while leverage rose over the sampled interval: cash and cash equivalents declined from $ 742,000,000 as of 2025-12-31 to $ 563,000,000 as of 2026-06-30, while long-term (noncurrent) debt increased from $ 2,859,000,000 to $ 4,050,000,000 over the same dates.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue increased sequentially from $2,053,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30) to $2,313,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) and to $2,547,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000004281-26-000025Operating income rose year-over-year for the comparable quarter: $521,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30) to $711,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30); operating income peaked at $753,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) before falling to $711,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000004281-26-000025Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
The 12-1 momentum measure is +56.8% and ranks in the 83th percentile of the 547-stock research universe on 2026-09-02, indicating relatively strong longer-term price momentum versus peers.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debateThe 6-month momentum is -2.6% and ranks in the 32th percentile of the 547-stock research universe on 2026-09-02, showing that recent intermediate momentum is below most peers.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
The company is a holding in the ETF with symbol IVV.
ETF constituents · market dataThe reported weight in that fund is 0.17% of the IVV portfolio.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
finance.yahoo.com reported that SpaceX 'foundry' news triggered a selloff in Howmet Aerospace shares before the stock steadied on a Deutsche Bank top-idea call.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02GuruFocus published a story saying Howmet Aerospace faces pressure as SpaceX plans gas turbine manufacturing.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that today’s price would justify, under the stated discount and terminal assumptions, is 74.72% per year.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF, based on trailing twelve months FCF) is 184.22.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The claims jointly supporting a favorable read center on accelerating top-line and margin expansion, active capital return, and improving longer-term price momentum. Revenue and operating income show sequential improvement across the reported quarters and net income expanded year-over-year for the comparable quarter while share count declined and the company executed a meaningful $300M buyback—signals that reported profits are accruing to fewer shares. Market signals show strong 12-1 momentum versus peers and institutional footprint via IVV membership, which market participants often view as supportive of liquidity and demand. Valuation and headline news are valid contra-points, but from a fundamentals-focused perspective the evidence indicates operational improvement and shareholder-return activity that underpin a more constructive reading of the data.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.36
28 surviving claims rest on 12 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 25% of them, and 98% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read is moderately robust: 28 surviving claims draw on a relatively small set of 12 distinct sources, and one analyst accounts for a quarter of the claims, which raises some single-analyst concentration risk. The very high debate-survival rate (98%) means few internal challenges stayed — useful for confidence in consistency, but it also suggests the desk produced few counterarguments, so treat items tied to single sources or a single analyst as more fragile.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 1st of 5 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).
90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 5 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).
dividend yield ranks 4th of 5 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.7 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.2 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+1.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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Insider buys, 90 days
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The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.