IP
INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO /NEW/Evidence as of 2026-09-03Overview · INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO /NEW/
International Paper Company produces renewable fiber-based packaging and pulp products in North America, Latin America, Europe, and North Africa. It operates through Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers segment. The company's Industrial Packaging segment manufactures containerboards, including linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled linerboard, recycled medium, and saturating kraft. Its Global Cellulose Fi…
Management team
- Mr. Clay R. Ellis · Senior Vice President of Global Cellulose Fibers & IP AsiaFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. William Thomas Hamic · EVP & President of North American Packaging SolutionsFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Timothy S. Nicholls · Executive VP & President of DS SmithFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Andrew K. Silvernail · CEO & ChairmanFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed ( -0.2 of a possible +2; was -0.2 before debate) with high confidence. Revenue has run roughly at the $ 6.0 billion-per-quarter level across the last eight reported fiscal quarters, with RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax of $ 5,901,000,000 in Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-05-02), $ 6,767,000,000 in Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-08-01), $ 6,222,000,000 in Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-31), $ 6,006,000,000 in FY 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-02-20), $ 5,971,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-01) and $ 6,004,000,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-31).
Net income over the same span is highly volatile, ranging from a $ 75,000,000 profit in Q2 2025 to losses of $ 1,102,000,000 in Q3 2025 and $ 2,384,000,000 in FY 2025, then back to $ 60,000,000 in Q1 2026 and a $ 12,000,000 loss in Q2 2026. Trailing twelve‑month operating income is $ 1,080,000,000 and EBITDA is $ 3,587,000,000 while free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is negative $ 376,000,000; market capitalization is $ 19,223,387,188 and enterprise value is $ 27,168,387,188 as of the price date 2026-09-02.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue by quarter has been around $6.0 billion per quarter across the last eight reported fiscal quarters, with reported RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax of $5,901,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo), $6,767,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo), $6,222,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo), $6,006,000,000 in fiscal Q4 2025 (2025-10-01 to 2025-12-31, 3mo), $5,971,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $6,004,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000051434-25-000025Net income has been highly volatile over the same span: NetIncomeLoss was $75,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo), then moved to -$1,102,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo) and -$2,384,000,000 in fiscal Q4 2025 (2025-10-01 to 2025-12-31, 3mo), followed by $60,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and -$12,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000051434-26-000123Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02, the security is held in the IVV ETF with a portfolio weight of 0.03% of the fund.
ETF constituents · market dataMembership in IVV indicates factual index-fund exposure to the security within that ETF's portfolio as of 2026-09-02; the reported weight (0.03%) is small relative to a single-stock allocation in a broad-market ETF.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A headline from GuruFocus on 31 August 2026 reported 'International Paper Co (IP) Stock Down 3.5% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 69/100', indicating a short-form market reaction about this ticker on that date.
News · gurufocus.com · 2026-08-31A press release on 2 September 2026 described an induced polarization (IP) survey and copper-gold target results for Adamera Minerals' South Hedley Project in British Columbia, a mining exploration announcement that uses 'IP' in the geophysical sense.
News · thenewswire.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is negative $376,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeEarnings per share for the trailing twelve months is negative $6.52.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The body of evidence supports a favorable operational read: revenue has been steady at roughly $6 billion per quarter (fundamentals-0) while trailing twelve-month EBITDA and operating income are positive ($3.587B and $1.08B respectively) and the EV/EBITDA multiple is a modest 7.57 (valuation-5, valuation-2). Cash used for buybacks in multiple quarters alongside only a very small change in shares outstanding points to active capital-allocation decisions without large dilution (fundamentals-3, fundamentals-2). Although free cash flow and EPS are currently negative (valuation-0, valuation-1) and net income shows quarter-to-quarter swings (fundamentals-1), financial analysis often treats EBITDA and stable revenue as indicators of core operating resilience that can coexist with episodic accounting/financing items driving headline earnings volatility. Inclusion in a broad-market ETF (ownership-0, ownership-1) reflects index exposure rather than sector-specific enthusiasm, but it does signal that the security remains part of large-cap benchmarks. In sum, the claims showing steady top-line and solid EBITDA/operating income jointly support a favorable operational interpretation while the negative FCF/EPS and net-income swings are the strongest counterpoints and appear to be episodic in the context of otherwise consistent revenue and operating metrics.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.33
16 surviving claims rest on 9 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 38% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving read is moderately robust in that 16 claims rest on nine distinct sources, giving some cross-checking, but a single analyst supplies 38% of the surviving claims which raises source-concentration risk. Also, the desk’s 100% survival rate for items it raised suggests limited pushback during review — that can amplify confirmation effects and reduce the effective independence of the evidence.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
14 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer−0.5 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
4 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on IP Gold
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Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.