KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-03Overview · Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. operates as a beverage company in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Coffee Systems, Packaged Beverages, Beverage Concentrates, and Latin America Beverages. The Coffee Systems segment manufactures and distributes various finished goods related to its coffee systems, K-Cup pods, and brewers, as well as specialty coffee. This segment sells its brewers through…
Management team
- Ms. Jane Gelfand · Vice President of Investor Relations & Strategic InitiativesFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Robert J. Gamgort · CEO, President & ChairmanFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Christopher Martin · Senior Vice President of Coffee Supply ChainFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Monique Oxender · Chief Corporate Affairs OfficerFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed (+ 0.3 of a possible + 2; confidence high). Revenue for Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-21) to Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-08-10) rose from $ 3,976,000,000 to $ 7,309,000,000, and gross profit over the same pair of periods increased from $ 2,098,000,000 to $ 3,066,000,000. Operating income and net income, however, moved the other way: operating income fell from $ 756,000,000 to $ 628,000,000 and net income fell from $ 270,000,000 to $ 142,000,000, implying compression in operating and net margins between those consecutive fiscal quarters.
Balance-sheet and market signals recorded in the packet include an increase in long-term debt to $ 21,586,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 alongside higher cash and cash equivalents of $ 1,517,000,000 as of 2026-06-30, a modest rise in common shares outstanding to 1,360,826,038 as of 2026-08-10, and market multiples such as PE ttm = 28.84, EV/EBITDA = 16.08 and trailing-twelve-month EBITDA = $ 3,383,000,000. Trailing-twelve-month free cash flow is reported at $ 190,000,000 (FCF per share $ 0.1392) and the packet’s valuation math implies a very high implied FCF growth rate (0.8356, i.e., 83.56%) needed to justify today’s price; enterprise value of $ 54,400,320,578 compared with trailing FCF is the driver of that interpretation.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue (three-months) increased from $3,976,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) to $7,309,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001418135-26-000026Gross profit (three-months) rose from $2,098,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) to $3,066,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001418135-26-000026Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
An 8-K with the 8-K filed 1 September 2026 was filed on 2026-09-01.
8-K filed 2026-09-01The provided evidence record shows the 8-K's parse_status as "pending" and no primary document URL or parsed content is available in the evidence set, so no substantive disclosures from that filing are present in this evidence.
8-K filed 2026-09-01Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
KDP is a constituent of the ETF with symbol IVV, with a reported weight of 0.07% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe ETF membership record is dated 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00 (UTC).
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Several outlets report that Keurig Dr Pepper is selling its stake in Chobani and an Allentown facility back to Chobani (deal described as a sale of stake and factory).
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-02Multiple news stories describe the transaction as a roughly $925 million deal to exit the Chobani investment and divest Pennsylvania facilities.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-01Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model-calculated implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that today’s price would justify is 0.8356 (83.56%) under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing-twelve-month FCF is $190,000,000, giving FCF per share of $0.1392 and a price-to-FCF ratio of 234.05 at the market price of $32.59.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The evidence set contains several company-specific data points that jointly support a favorable read. Quarterly revenue and gross profit showed large sequential increases between Q1 and Q2 2026 (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1), and cash and cash equivalents rose materially over the year (fundamentals-4), indicating stronger near-term operating inflows and liquidity. Multiple news items document a disposal of KDP’s Chobani stake and Pennsylvania facility rights for roughly $800–$925 million and characterize the transaction as enhancing the strategic partnership (news-0, news-1, news-3), which is consistent with a near-term cash/asset inflection that may not be captured in trailing FCF figures. ETF inclusion (ownership-0, ownership-1) and a predominantly buy-side street consensus provide corroborating market-interest context rather than company-specific operational negatives. Together, these points present a coherent, evidence-backed bullish case focused on improving revenue/gross-profit trends, a meaningful one-time divestment proceeds item, and solid liquidity — while some valuation metrics that penalize trailing FCF appear to rely on measures that do not reflect the documented divestiture or the quarter-to-quarter operating improvement.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.34
20 surviving claims rest on 10 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 30% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving set rests on a moderate number of independent sources but a small group of analysts contribute a disproportionate share of the claims; that raises concentration risk in interpretation. Because everything the desk raised survived the debate, the read is internally consistent but less battle-tested against contrary viewpoints, so treat the conclusions as informative but fragile to new primary disclosures.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer−0.2 to the score
1 document
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+1.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on KDP Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.