LYV
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-10-10The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It operates through Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising segments. The Concerts segment promotes live music events in its owned or operated venues, and in rented third-party venues; operates and manages music venues; produces music festivals; creates and streams associated content; and offers management and other services to artis…
Management team
- Mr. Russell Wallach · President of Sponsorship & Advertising DivisionFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. John Hopmans · Executive Vice President of Mergers & Acquisitions and Strategic FinanceFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Michael G. Rowles · Executive VP, General Counsel & SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Joe Berchtold · President & CFOFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The surviving record supports a cautious read. Consolidated revenue in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-23 (Q2 2026) was $7,666,858,000 versus $7,006,641,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-31 (Q2 2025), and operating income in Q2 2026 was $521,917,000 versus $486,653,000 in Q2 2025, producing operating margins of about 6.8% and 6.9% respectively. Management reports event-related deferred revenue of $6.4 billion as of 2026-06-30 (up $1.3 billion or 25% year over year), while consolidated operating income for the first six months of 2026 was $151.4 million versus $601.4 million for the first six months of 2025, which management attributes primarily to Governmental Investigations and Litigation.
Cash-flow metrics stand out against accounting earnings: trailing twelve‑month free cash flow is $5,074,096,000 (FCF/ diluted share ≈ 20.7924) and P/FCF is 8.19, while reported trailing twelve‑month EPS of 0.34 produces a trailing P/E of 500.97, showing materially stronger cash generation than per‑share earnings imply. Debt and financing actions in early October 2026 (notes and offerings) and active insider Form 4 sales in mid‑2026 are also part of the surviving record.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenues in the three-month period ended 30 June 2026 were $7,666,858,000 compared with $7,006,641,000 in the three-month period ended 30 June 2025.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001335258-26-000035Operating income in the three-month period ended 30 June 2026 was $521,917,000 versus $486,653,000 in the three-month period ended 30 June 2025, producing operating margins of about 6.8% (521,917,000 / 7,666,858,000) in the 2026 quarter and about 6.9% (486,653,000 / 7,006,641,000) in the 2025 quarter.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001335258-26-000035Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The company added a risk stating that "competition with our prospective or current primary ticketing clients" could reduce the number of ticketing clients and ticketing volume, calling out direct competition with live event content providers as a material business risk.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0001335258-26-000009 vs 0001335258-25-000028An added risk disclosure notes that the Concerts segment often books live music tours four to eight months in advance and may agree to fixed guaranteed payments before receiving revenue, with cancellation insurance covering only a portion of potential losses.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0001335258-26-000009 vs 0001335258-25-000028Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Momentum over the past 3 months is -7.1%, while 6-month momentum is +6.1% and the 12-1 momentum is -0.1%, placing 6-month momentum at the 54th percentile of the research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-09weakened in debatePrice is 3.3% below the 50-day simple moving average and 3.5% above the 200-day simple moving average, and a golden cross flag is true (shorter average above longer average).
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-09Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional investors reported aggregate holdings valued at "$36.79B" as of 2026-06-30, with 864 reporting holders and a quarter-over-quarter reported value change of 20.6%.
13F holdings · 864 filers · as of 2026-06-30The 13F data carries a reporting lag — the reported holdings are the latest REPORTED quarter, not a real-time book; the dataset notes that "13F filings carry a 45-day reporting lag".
13F holdings · 864 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
On 8 October 2026 the company announced it priced $730,000,000 of 7.125% senior notes due 2032 and €600,000,000 of 6.125% senior notes due 2032.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-08On 6 October 2026 the company announced the launch of a private senior notes offering of $840.0 million in aggregate principal and €500.0 million in aggregate principal, subject to market and other conditions.
News · prnewswire.com · 2026-10-06Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Michael Rapino (President & CEO) reported a sale of "16251" shares valued at "$3.0M" on 2026-08-06 (filing shows no trading-plan flag).
Form 4 · Rapino Michael (President & CEO) · $3.0M code F · 2026-08-06Joe Berchtold (President & CFO) reported a sale of "10834" shares valued at "$2.0M" on 2026-08-06 (filing shows no trading-plan flag).
Form 4 · Berchtold Joe (President & CFO) · $2.0M code F · 2026-08-06Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Under the stated discount and terminal assumptions, today's price implies an FCF growth rate of -11.22% (i.e., implied_growth = -0.1122).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice to free cash flow (P/FCF) on trailing twelve months FCF is 8.19.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several claims together paint a favorable operational and liquidity picture: Q2 revenue grew ~9% year-over-year while management reports event-related deferred revenue up 25% vs. prior year, which indicates substantial booked future event receipts. Trailing twelve‑month free cash flow is materially strong (FCF_ttm = $5.07B) with a low P/FCF of 8.19 and reported cash balances that exceed long‑term debt, supporting balance‑sheet flexibility and the recent debt refinancing activity. Market signals (golden cross, relatively low realized volatility) and a sizable, increasing reported institutional position further suggest demand and investor engagement. While there are valid concerns raised about litigation, a Q1 operating loss, share count increases, insider sales, and a stretched P/E, many of those negatives are at least partly explained or contrasted by management disclosures and the divergence between accounting EPS and cash generation.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.30
39 surviving claims rest on 20 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving evidence rests on a moderate number of distinct sources, so many claims are corroborated across filings and market data rather than a single document. However, a single analyst contribution still carries meaningful weight and nearly all raised points survived internal debate, which implies the read is resilient but not immune to revision if a few key sources change.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 8th of 13 in Entertainment (as of 2026-10-09).
6-month relative strength ranks 8th of 13 in Entertainment (as of 2026-10-09).
90-day volatility ranks 13th of 13 in Entertainment (as of 2026-10-09).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
13 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer−0.3 to the score
12 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.5 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
20 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−1.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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