MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-10-10The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Mondelez International, Inc.
Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in the Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. It provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese and grocery, and powdered beverage prod…
Management team
- Mr. Martin Renaud · Executive VP and Chief Marketing & Sales OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Filippo Catalano · Chief Information & Digital OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Gustavo Carlos Valle · Executive VP & President of North AmericaFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Stephanie Lilak · Executive VP & Chief People OfficerFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed ( -0.1 of a possible +2; was -0.1 before debate) · confidence high. Revenue in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-24) was $10,080,000,000 versus $9,313,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (ended 2025-04-23), and gross profit rose to $2,803,000,000 from $2,430,000,000, implying gross margin expansion from about 26.1% to about 27.8% on those quarters.
Operating income increased to $808,000,000 from $680,000,000 (operating margin roughly 8.0% versus 7.3%), and net income climbed to $560,000,000 from $402,000,000 with diluted EPS of $0.44 versus $0.31. Shares outstanding and diluted shares declined modestly year over year, repurchases were $0 in fiscal Q1 2026 versus $1,522,000,000 in the prior-year quarter, and trailing financial and market metrics show P/E ≈ 33.38, EV/EBITDA ≈ 19.38, P/FCF ≈ 26.83, trailing FCF $2,895,000,000 and FCF per share $2.2512.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue for the quarter 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2026, ended 31 March 2026) was $10,080,000,000, up from $9,313,000,000 in the quarter 2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2025, ended 31 March 2025).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-027937Gross profit increased to $2,803,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended 31 March 2026) from $2,430,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (ended 31 March 2025), implying gross margin expansion from about 26.1% to about 27.8% for those quarters (computed from the reported figures).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-027937Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The Form 10-K filed 4 February 2026 added explicit risk language noting that as of January 2026 the U.S. maintains higher tariffs on imported goods and that some of these tariffs have increased the company’s costs for finished products and certain ingredients and packaging.
10-K filed 2026-02-04The 10-K filed 4 February 2026 added a risk stating that transportation constraints may limit the company’s ability to grow net revenues and earnings if mitigation actions fail or if pricing cannot cover increased costs.
10-K filed 2026-02-04Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Momentum measures are modestly positive as of 2026-10-09: 3-month +0.9%, 6-month +3.3%, and 12-month (12_1) +3.3%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-09weakened in debateTechnical state shows a golden cross is present and price is slightly below the 50-day SMA at -2.0% while above the 200-day SMA at +2.0% as of 2026-10-09.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-09Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
13F-reported institutional holdings in the company totaled $61.95B as of 2026-06-30, with 1,908 institutional holders and a quarter-over-quarter reported value change of +2.8%.
13F holdings · 1908 filers · as of 2026-06-30Large asset managers listed among the top reported holders in the 2026-06-30 13F include BlackRock, Inc. ($6.13B), VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC ($4.85B), Capital Research Global Investors ($4.03B), JPMORGAN CHASE & CO ($3.65B), and STATE STREET CORP ($3.48B).
13F holdings · 1908 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Coverage on 9 October 2026 highlights whether Mondelez can scale its Biscoff brand into a larger global growth platform.
News · zacks.com · 2026-10-09Several headlines frame Mondelez within a market-wide shift into defensive staples as investors step back from a tech rally, noting snack makers' relative spotlight on 9 October 2026.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-10-09Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Dirk Van de Put reported the sale of 133,580 shares for $8.6M on 2026-08-19 and the filing states the trades were made under a 10b5-1 plan.
Form 4 · Van de Put Dirk (Chief Executive Officer) · $5.6M code M · 2026-08-19Luca Zaramella reported two transactions on 2026-09-02: 22,570 shares valued at $975k (action: code M) and 18,695 shares valued at $1.2M (action: code F); neither filing shows a stated 10b5-1 plan.
Form 4 · Zaramella Luca (EVP & Chief Operating Officer) · $975k code M · 2026-09-02Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model calculates an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 16.29% that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice-to-trailing-twelve-months FCF (P/FCF) is 26.83 based on the provided trailing FCF and price.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The company’s latest quarterly fundamentals show revenue, gross profit, operating income, and net income all increasing year-over-year with accompanying margin expansion and higher diluted EPS, which together form a coherent operational improvement signal. Dividend yield and dividend growth metrics, plus modest positive momentum and a technical golden cross, indicate income-oriented support and constructive price context in the market evidence set. Large, growing institutional holdings and inclusion in widely held ETFs provide breadth of ownership that can underpin liquidity and investor interest. Many of the negative items (tariff/transport/cost-risk language, elevated short-term volatility, past drawdowns, and an insider sale reported under a 10b5-1 plan) are either standard risk disclosures, market-wide themes, or single data points; when weighed against the reported quarter-over-quarter operational improvements and shareholder base, the fundamental evidence supports a favorable read.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.33
36 surviving claims rest on 16 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 17% of them, and 99% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set is moderately robust: 36 surviving claims draw on 16 distinct sources, so several sources supply multiple claims (e.g., filings and computed signals), which gives reasonable redundancy but also creates concentration risk if a few sources prove wrong or are later restated. Analyst dependence is low — the heaviest analyst supplies only 17% of claims — and the 99% survival through internal debate indicates the desk found few immediate holes; nonetheless, the read’s effective weight should be down-rated for source concentration and for claims that hinge on model inputs rather than primary filings.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 1st of 2 in Confectioners (as of 2026-10-09).
90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 2 in Confectioners (as of 2026-10-09).
dividend yield ranks 2nd of 2 in Confectioners (as of 2026-10-09).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
12 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+1.5 to the score
6 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.7 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.5 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.8 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
3 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.5 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on MDLZ Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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