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MDLZ

Mondelez International, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-02
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Overview · Mondelez International, Inc.

Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in the Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. It provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese and grocery, and powdered beverage prod…

SectorConsumer Defensive
IndustryConfectioners
Typeequity
ExchangeNASDAQ
Employees91,000
www.mondelezinternational.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.0 on a −2 to +2 scale — was +0.1 before the debate changed the read.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.8
Filings and risk
+0.0
Market signals
−0.5
Ownership and flow
+0.8
Insider activity
−1.0

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored−0.1 observed
2 favorable1 neutral3 unfavorableacross 3 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

Revenue and profitability measures improved year‑over‑year in the reported quarter: revenue for fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-24 (Q1 2026) was $ 10,080,000,000 versus $ 9,313,000,000 in fiscal quarter ended 2025-04-23 (Q1 2025). Gross profit rose to $ 2,803,000,000 from $ 2,430,000,000, pushing gross margin from about 26.1% to about 27.8% for those quarter-to-quarter comparisons.

Operating income increased to $ 808,000,000 (Q1 2026) from $ 680,000,000 (Q1 2025), and net income rose to $ 560,000,000 from $ 402,000,000. Shares outstanding fell by roughly 53.5 million between 2024-10-24 and 2026-04-24, while repurchase cash outflow in Q1 2026 was $ 0 versus $ 1,522,000,000 in the comparable prior quarter. Market signals are mixed: modest positive momentum (6‑month +6.7%, 3‑month +1.8%) sits alongside negative relative performance versus the S&P 500 (6‑month -5.6%, 12‑month -15.3%), elevated short‑ and medium‑term volatility (+24.8% annualized) and an income profile with a 3.25% trailing yield and 9.1% three‑year dividend growth.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Revenue for the fiscal quarter 2026 Q1 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) was $10,080,000,000, up from $9,313,000,000 for the fiscal quarter 2025 Q1 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31).

XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-027937

Gross profit for the fiscal quarter 2026 Q1 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) was $2,803,000,000, compared with $2,430,000,000 for the fiscal quarter 2025 Q1 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31); this corresponds to a gross margin increase from about 26.1% (2,430 / 9,313) to about 27.8% (2,803 / 10,080) year-over-year for those quarters.

XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-027937
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

A Form 4 filing for the company was submitted with the 4 filed 21 August 2026 and was filed on 2026-08-21.

4 filed 2026-08-21

The filing record shows parse_status marked as "skipped" for the 4 filed 21 August 2026.

4 filed 2026-08-21
NashAI market signals analyst
+0.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

Computed momentum is modestly positive over medium horizons: momentum_6m is +6.7% and momentum_3m is +1.8% as of 2026-09-01.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debate

Relative performance versus the S&P 500 is negative: rel_strength_6m is -5.6% and rel_strength_12m is -15.3% as of 2026-09-01.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+1.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02, MDLZ is held in JEPI at 1.23% of that fund and in VYM at 0.49% of that fund, with additional listed weights including VTV 0.37%, VOO 0.16%, SCHX 0.16%, SCHB 0.15% and IVV 0.11%.

ETF constituents · market data

Institutional 13F-reported holdings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31 list four holders totaling "$5.4M", with three new positions and a quarter-over-quarter reported value change of 261.1%.

13F holdings · 4 filers · as of 2026-03-31
YatesAI news analyst
−1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

A headline framed recent MDLZ price movement as driving institutional trading-system responses.

News · news.stocktradersdaily.com · 2026-09-01

Coverage highlighted fresh margin pressure and rising costs at Mondelez, linking those pressures to sector conditions and cocoa-cost management.

News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-01
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
−1.0

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

Dirk Van de Put (Chief Executive Officer) is reported as selling 133,580 shares for "$8.6M" on 19 August 2026, and the filing states a 10b5-1 plan was involved.

Form 4 · Van de Put Dirk (Chief Executive Officer) · $5.6M code M · 2026-08-19

The same filing reports an entry labelled "code M" for Dirk Van de Put (Chief Executive Officer) on 19 August 2026 for 133,580 shares valued at "$5.6M", with the filing stating a 10b5-1 plan.

Form 4 · Van de Put Dirk (Chief Executive Officer) · $5.6M code M · 2026-08-19
ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

The model-derived implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that today's price would justify is 16.79% per year.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Price to trailing-12-month free cash flow (P/FCF) is 27.37.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 11 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

The SEC-backed quarterly filings show consistent operational improvement: year-over-year growth in revenue (+8.3% Q1), gross profit and a clear gross-margin expansion (about 26.1% to 27.8%), accompanied by higher operating income and net income for the comparable quarters. Share count has declined meaningfully between reported dates, supporting that earnings and cashflow per-share metrics may be benefiting from lower share dilution. Market signals complement the fundamental picture: medium-term momentum is modestly positive and income metrics (dividend yield and dividend growth) rank well in the universe, while multiple broker notes in the provided consensus are categorized as buy. Against the bear points, the CEO selling is documented as executed under a 10b5-1 plan in the Form 4, repurchase cash outflow was zero in the single compared quarter but overall shares outstanding fell over the reported interval, and institutional/ETF holdings and new 13F positions indicate fresh buyer interest. Overall, the claims together provide reasonably strong accounting- and market-signal evidence of operational and shareholder-ownership improvements, while the negative points rely more on single-quarter repurchase timing, valuation multiples, elevated short-term volatility, or filings with limited parse metadata.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

A headline framed recent MDLZ price movement as driving institutional trading-system responses.The headline characterization about institutional trading-system responses to MDLZ price movement is a factual summary of the referenced coverage.upheld
Coverage highlighted fresh margin pressure and rising costs at Mondelez, linking those pressures to sector conditions and cocoa-cost management.Coverage noting margin pressure and rising costs linked to sector conditions and cocoa-cost management is an accurate summary of the cited news.upheld
Computed momentum is modestly positive over medium horizons: momentum_6m is +6.7% and momentum_3m is +1.8% as of 2026-09-01.The stated modest positive momentum is supported by the numbers but a base-rate flag indicates similar momentum is common across the universe, reducing its discriminating value.weakened
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.33

33 surviving claims rest on 15 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 98% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The surviving set is moderately broad (15 distinct sources) which supports cross-checked evidence, but 33 claims from that base plus a single analyst carrying 18% of the weight indicates some concentration of interpretation. The very high debate survival rate (98%) suggests few claims were overturned during review, which can mean the read is stable but also that challenge was limited — treat the synthesis as informational and relatively robust on facts, but fragile where interpretation depends on the heavier contributors or on unexamined filings.

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-01
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

16 filings· 1 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score

1 document

SEC filing documents

The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.

Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash−0.5 to the score

3 holdings records· 2 cited

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.8 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

1 filing

Insider filings

Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.

Read by Talbot−1.0 to the score

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-9be9e759evidence 5708ae7eeb86generated 9/2/2026, 4:27:05 AM · 105s15 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.