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NOC

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/Evidence as of 2026-09-03

Overview · NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/

Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. The company's Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, and sustains aircraft systems in the United States and internationally. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic ISR systems and vertical take-off and landing tactical ISR syste…

SectorIndustrials
IndustryAerospace & Defense
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees95,000
www.northropgrumman.com

Management team

  • Mr. Bruce W. Stephenson · Vice President of Corporate Strategy & TechnologyFind on LinkedIn
  • Ms. Roshan S. Roeder · Corporate VP & President of Mission SystemsFind on LinkedIn
  • Dr. Robert J. Fleming · Corporate VP & President of Northrop Grumman Space Systems SectorFind on LinkedIn
  • Mr. Thomas H. Jones · Corporate VP & President of Aeronautics Systems SectorFind on LinkedIn

Start your 7-day free trial to see the full management team.

Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.0
Market signals
−0.6
Ownership and flow
+1.0

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.4 observed
2 favorable0 neutral1 unfavorableacross 4 outlets · 4 stories deduped to 3 storylines

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The evidence balance is Mixed (+ 0.1 of a possible + 2; confidence high). Reported revenues were $ 10,351,000,000 for fiscal Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-17), $ 10,423,000,000 for Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-16), $ 9,881,000,000 for Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-16) and $ 10,876,000,000 for Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-16). Operating income across those same quarters was $ 1,425,000,000, $ 1,242,000,000, $ 989,000,000 and $ 1,096,000,000 respectively, implying operating margins of about 13.77%, 11.92%, 10.00% and 10.08%.

The packet also shows negative trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $ -5,584,000,000 and negative net cash from operating activities of $ -4,629,000,000 despite positive trailing operating income of $ 4,752,000,000 and EBITDA of $ 6,220,000,000. Market signals are mixed: price sits below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs (price vs SMA50: - 3.5%, price vs SMA200: - 12.8%), six-month momentum is - 30.2%, and the stock’s trailing dividend yield is + 1.83%.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+0.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Reported revenues were $10,351,000,000 for fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo), $10,423,000,000 for fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo), $9,881,000,000 for fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $10,876,000,000 for fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).

XBRL companyfacts · 0001133421-25-000049

Operating income was $1,425,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo), $1,242,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo), $989,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $1,096,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).

XBRL companyfacts · 0001133421-25-000049
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

NashAI market signals analyst
−1.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

Six-month momentum is -30.2% (ranked in the 4th percentile of the 547-stock research universe on 2026-09-02).

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debate

Six-month relative strength versus SPY is -42.2% (ranked in the 4th percentile of the 547-stock research universe on 2026-09-02).

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+1.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02, NOC had a 0.11% weight in the IVV ETF according to the provided snapshot.

ETF constituents · market data

The evidence shows NOC is a holding in the IVV ETF (membership in that major index fund as of 2026-09-02).

ETF constituents · market data
YatesAI news analyst
+0.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

A DCF analysis published on 2 September 2026 places an intrinsic value of $447 versus a market price of $533 for the company.

News · gurufocus.com · 2026-09-02

Coverage on 1 September 2026 links renewed U.S.–Iran tensions to increased defense demand and highlights ETFs that provide diversified exposure to aerospace and defense stocks; this framing is market-wide rather than specific to one company.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-01weakened in debate
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
no data on file

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.

ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is negative $5,584,000,000.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities for the trailing twelve months is negative $4,629,000,000.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 9 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

The evidence set contains multiple company-specific items that support a favorable read: revenues remain around $10–11B per quarter with positive operating income and EBITDA on a trailing-twelve-month basis, net income figures of roughly $1.1B in recent quarters, a measurable reduction in long-term noncurrent debt over 12 months, and ongoing share-count reduction activity. Market-facing negatives such as six-month momentum, drawdown, and price below moving averages reflect recent price action rather than the firm’s reported operating profitability; likewise, trailing negative free cash flow and operating cash outflow are important but sit alongside positive EBITDA and a modest dividend yield, indicating operating-scale and shareholder-return attributes. The strongest bear points (sharp momentum deterioration, negative FCF, and a DCF below market price) rely on market-level valuation snapshots or short-term cash-flow metrics that are sensitive to timing, while the clustered fundamental claims show persistent revenue and earnings generation and deleveraging on long-term debt. Educationally, diversification and valuation principles indicate that investors often weigh persistent operating earnings and improving balance-sheet items alongside market volatility and cash-flow timing when forming a view.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

A DCF analysis published on 2 September 2026 places an intrinsic value of $447 versus a market price of $533 for the company.The DCF valuation and the compared market price are reported as an external analysis dated 2 September 2026 and are sourceable.upheld
Coverage on 1 September 2026 links renewed U.S.–Iran tensions to increased defense demand and highlights ETFs that provide diversified exposure to aerospace and defense stocks; this framing is market-wide rather than specific to one company.The coverage links geopolitical tensions to sector-wide defense demand and ETF exposure; this is a market-wide framing rather than company-specific, so its company-level weight is limited.weakened
Six-month momentum is -30.2% (ranked in the 4th percentile of the 547-stock research universe on 2026-09-02).The six-month momentum figure is factually reported but this metric is flagged as reflecting a broader market condition; that context makes the claim less specific to the company.weakened
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.37

27 surviving claims rest on 12 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 26% of them, and 91% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The evidence set rests on a moderate number of distinct sources but many surviving claims (27) — that concentration means individual documents and a few analysts carry extra weight. One analyst supplies about a quarter of the desk’s claims and a 91% survival rate from the debate suggests the read was rarely overturned during review; that raises the possibility the set is robust on factual line-items but also somewhat dependent on a few inputs and interpretive choices.

Peer context · computed, not argued

12-1 momentum ranks 7th of 7 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).

6-month relative strength ranks 7th of 7 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).

90-day volatility ranks 6th of 7 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).

dividend yield ranks 3rd of 7 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-02
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

12 filings· 1 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.0 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash−0.6 to the score

1 holdings record

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+1.0 to the score

4 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-fe398ab8evidence 7cba08c9fa69generated 9/3/2026, 2:20:28 AM · 118s14 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.