NVDA
NVIDIA CORPEvidence as of 2026-09-10The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · NVIDIA CORP
NVIDIA Corporation provides graphics, and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Taiwan, China, and internationally. The company's Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; vGPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual comp…
Management team
- Mr. Toshiya Hari · Vice President of Investor Relations & Strategic FinanceFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Timothy S. Teter J.D. · Executive VP, General Counsel & SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Tommy Lee · Senior Vice President of Systems Engineering & ApplicationFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Mylene Mangalindan · VP of Corporate CommunicationsFind on LinkedIn
Start your 7-day free trial to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.4 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The surviving record is cautious ( evidence balance: Cautious, -0.4 of a possible + 2; confidence high ). Revenues rose from $81,615,000,000 in Q1 2027 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-15) to $96,221,000,000 in Q2 2027 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-08-21), with gross profit increasing from $61,157,000,000 to $72,142,000,000 while cost of revenue rose from $20,458,000,000 to $24,079,000,000 over the same quarters. Operating income moved from $53,535,000,000 to $63,734,000,000 and net income from $58,321,000,000 to $59,688,000,000, producing diluted EPS of $2.39 and $2.46 respectively.
Balance-sheet lines show assets at $259,474,000,000 as of 2026-04-26 rising to $320,272,000,000 as of 2026-07-26, stockholders' equity rising from $195,474,000,000 to $228,984,000,000 and cash and cash equivalents increasing from $13,237,000,000 to $22,443,000,000. Reported long-term debt, however, increased materially between those balance dates (from LongTermDebt $8,470,000,000 as of 2026-04-26 to LongTermDebt $33,366,000,000 as of 2026-07-26). Other persistent items: a $4.5 billion charge in FY 2026 for excess inventory tied to H20, customer concentration of 22% and 14% of FY 2026 revenue to two direct customers, export-control related market limitations in China, and filings that flag heightened counterparty and capacity-commitment risks.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenues rose from $81,615,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2027 (2026-01-26 to 2026-04-26, 3mo) to $96,221,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2027 (2026-04-27 to 2026-07-26, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001045810-26-000052Gross profit increased from $61,157,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2027 (2026-01-26 to 2026-04-26, 3mo) to $72,142,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2027 (2026-04-27 to 2026-07-26, 3mo), while cost of revenue rose from $20,458,000,000 to $24,079,000,000 over the same quarters.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001045810-26-000052Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The company recorded a $4.5 billion charge in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 associated with H20 for excess inventory and purchase obligations.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0001045810-26-000021 vs 0001045810-25-000023For fiscal year 2026, sales to one direct customer represented 22% of total revenue and sales to another direct customer represented 14% of total revenue.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0001045810-26-000021 vs 0001045810-25-000023Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Momentum over the past 6 months was +21.1% (ranked in the 77th percentile of a 548-stock universe on 2026-09-09).
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-09weakened in debateMomentum over the 12-1 month measure was +20.4% (56th percentile of 548 on 2026-09-09).
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-09weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of the 13F reporting period ended 2026-03-31, institutions reported total NVDA holdings of $2859.26B across 5,800 holders; the reported aggregate value declined 8.6% quarter-over-quarter and holder count decreased by 47.
13F holdings · 5800 filers · as of 2026-03-31The top institutional holders reported in the 13F for the period ended 2026-03-31 include BlackRock, Inc. ($336.35B), VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC ($268.32B), STATE STREET CORP ($173.34B), FMR LLC ($173.33B), and GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC ($104.56B).
13F holdings · 5800 filers · as of 2026-03-31Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Coverage on axios.com reports the Department of Justice is investigating Nvidia's deal with Groq, a company-specific regulatory scrutiny item.
News · axios.com · 2026-09-10Two distinct outlets (247wallst.com and finance.yahoo.com) ran the same story about SolarEdge publishing a joint 800 VDC power architecture paper with a leading AI chipmaker, which is coverage tied to a partner/industry collaboration rather than to SolarEdge alone.
News · 247wallst.com · 2026-09-10Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
The parsed transactions show cumulative insider dispositions of "$936.4M" and insider purchases of "$0" within the 180-day window reported in the data.
Form 4 · STEVENS MARK A (Director) · $66.0M sold · 2026-09-02Director STEVENS MARK A reported multiple open-market sales totaling "$410.9M" across filings dated 31 August–2 September 2026 (individual line items: $98.5M, $30.4M, $14.0M, $66.0M, $66.9M, $67.2M, $67.9M).
Form 4 · STEVENS MARK A (Director) · $66.0M sold · 2026-09-02Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate today's price would justify is 36.66% (0.3666).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve-month free cash flow (FCF_ttm) is $95,559,000,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several contemporaneous financial and market claims jointly present a favorable operational and liquidity profile: sequential quarterly revenue, gross profit, operating income, and EPS increases (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2) accompanied by rising assets, equity and cash balances (fundamentals-5) and declining diluted share counts (fundamentals-3, fundamentals-4) form a cohesive picture of improving core profitability and shareholder capital management. Market momentum and technical regime signals (market-0, market-4) and large institutional and ETF ownership (ownership-1, ownership-2) provide corroborating demand-side context. Evidence strength for the financial results and balance-sheet improvements is strong (SEC-sourced filings), while market/ownership signals are medium-strength (third-party market and ETF snapshots). In rebuttal to bear points, the H20-related charge and prior export-control impacts (filings-0, filings-2, filings-5) are factual disclosures but are single-event or regulatory-context items; their presence weakens durability claims but does not negate the multiple quarters of margin and cash expansion; the valuation metrics noted (valuation-0, valuation-2, valuation-3) are valid observations of a premium multiple, though they coexist with very large trailing FCF (valuation-1) and may reflect growth expectations rather than purely stretched fundamentals.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.35
41 surviving claims rest on 17 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 17% of them, and 98% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a moderate number of distinct sources but a relatively concentrated analyst influence and very high internal survivorship, which raises questions about contestation rather than factual support. In practice this means the package can be informative about reported items, but its conclusions are somewhat fragile to new or contrary primary filings or a small number of analyst or data-source updates.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 17th of 19 in Semiconductors (as of 2026-09-09).
90-day volatility ranks 17th of 19 in Semiconductors (as of 2026-09-09).
dividend yield ranks 9th of 19 in Semiconductors (as of 2026-09-09).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
7 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.7 to the score
13 documents· 1 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−1.3 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.3 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score
6 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
11 filings· 1 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.3 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on NVDA Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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