ODFL
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC.Evidence as of 2026-09-03Overview · OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier in the United States and North America. It provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, including expedited transportation. The company also offers various value-added services, such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. As of December 31, 2022, it owned and operated 11,274 tractors…
Management team
- Mr. Christopher Thomas Brooks · Senior Vice President of Human Resources & SafetyFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Steven W. Hartsell · Senior Vice President of SalesFind on LinkedIn
- Sam Faucette · Vice President of Safety & ComplianceFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Ross H. Parr · Senior VP of Legal Affairs, General Counsel & SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.0 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The packet leaves a mixed evidence balance ( Mixed, +0.0 of +2; confidence high) that establishes several clear factual points. Shares outstanding fell from 211,325,394 (as of 2025-05-02) to 207,356,622 (as of 2026-07-31), cash and cash equivalents rose from 120,091,000 (as of 2025-12-31) to 288,082,000 (as of 2026-03-31) and were 283,939,000 (as of 2026-06-30), and reported long‑term noncurrent debt moved from 19,995,000 (as of 2025-12-31) to 0.0 (as of 2026-06-30).
Market signals are mixed: 3‑month momentum is -20.5%, 6‑month momentum is -13.1% and 12_1 momentum is +55.6%; price is below the 50‑day SMA by -13.1% and below the 200‑day SMA by -4.2% while the golden_cross flag is true as of 2026-09-02. Valuation metrics show an implied sustained free‑cash‑flow growth rate of 25.04% required at a price of 187.61, a trailing price‑to‑FCF of 37.49 (FCF yield ≈ 2.67%), and a trailing P/E of 34.94 based on trailing EPS of 5.37 and the reported diluted share count.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Entity common shares outstanding decreased from 211,325,394 (as of 2025-05-02) to 207,356,622 (as of 2026-07-31).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000950170-25-064508Net income by fiscal quarter moved from 254,660,000 (Q1 2026, 2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31) to 268,626,000 (Q2 2026, 2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30) to 270,947,000 (Q3 2025, 2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30) then to 238,258,000 (Q1 2026, 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) and to 350,601,000 (Q2 2026, 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000878927-26-000011weakened in debateReads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
A Form 4 filing for OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC. was submitted with the 4 filed 26 August 2026 and filed on 2026-08-26.
4 filed 2026-08-26The provided filing record shows a parse_status of "skipped," and no primary document URL or parsed transaction details are present in the provided evidence set.
4 filed 2026-08-26Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-02, ODFL's 3-month momentum is -20.5% and 6-month momentum is -13.1%, while the 12_1 momentum (12-month minus 1-month) is +55.6%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debateThe cross-sectional ranks show recent weakness on medium horizons: 6-month momentum is at the 16th percentile of 547 and 6-month relative strength vs SPY is -25.1% (ranked 16th percentile of 547), while 12_1 momentum is relatively strong at the 83th percentile of 547 and 12-month relative strength vs SPY is +5.4%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02, OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC. (ODFL) carries a 0.06% weight in the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV).
ETF constituents · market dataA Form 4 insider filing for ODFL was recorded with the 4 filed 26 August 2026 and was filed on 2026-08-26; the parsed record shows parse_status "skipped" and no primary_doc_url was captured in the evidence set.
Form 4 × 1 (90d window not enforced here)Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Wellington Management Group LLP reduced its stake in Old Dominion Freight Line by 12.8% in the second quarter, selling 72,352 shares, according to a report published 2 September 2026.
News · thelincolnianonline.com · 2026-09-02Van ECK Associates Corp cut its stake in Old Dominion Freight Line by 14.1% in the 2nd quarter, per a report published 2 September 2026.
News · thelincolnianonline.com · 2026-09-02Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
An officer, Overbey Cecil E. Jr. (SVP - Strategic Development), sold 19952 shares for total value "$4.0M" on 2026-08-25.
Form 4 · Overbey Cecil E. Jr. (SVP - Strategic Development) · $4.0M sold · 2026-08-25The reported aggregate insider activity in the 180-day window shows "$4.0M" sold and "$0" bought (net_shares "-19952").
Form 4 · Overbey Cecil E. Jr. (SVP - Strategic Development) · $4.0M sold · 2026-08-25Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
At the price 187.61 on 2026-09-02, the model reports an implied free-cash-flow (FCF) growth rate of 25.04% that today’s price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve‑month FCF is $1,044,443,000 and FCF per share is $5.0042, producing a price-to-FCF ratio of 37.49 (FCF yield ≈ 2.67%) at the stated price.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Multiple company-specific fundamentals point toward a constructive read: recent diluted EPS and net income show a material uptick in the latest quarter (fundamentals-1, fundamentals-2), the company has executed sizable share repurchases while outstanding shares declined (fundamentals-4, fundamentals-0), and reported long‑term noncurrent debt moved to zero in the most recent filing (fundamentals-3) while cash balances rose from year‑end levels (fundamentals-5). These items are bolstered by coverage noting an earnings beat and a $380M capex plan for growth and tech (news-4) and at least one institutional owner materially increased exposure (news-3), while the name remains held within broad passive indexes (ownership-0). The bear points (elevated implied FCF growth required by the valuation model and short‑term momentum/volatility measures) rely on high bar assumptions and market‑timing metrics (valuation-0, valuation-5, market-0, market-3, market-4), whereas the fundamental evidence is drawn from company filings and recent quarter reporting (fundamentals-0 through fundamentals-5, filings-0). Given the mix of improving GAAP profitability, balance sheet deleveraging, cash accumulation, and active capital return, the company‑specific evidence provides relatively strong support for a favorable read versus arguments that emphasize market noise or model‑driven valuation stretch.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.34
34 surviving claims rest on 16 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 21% of them, and 94% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a moderate breadth of sources but a non-trivial share of surviving claims are concentrated in a few contributors, and one analyst accounts for over one-fifth of claims — that raises sensitivity to those individuals’ inputs. The very high debate survival rate (94%) means most points were retained rather than being contested, which increases apparent confidence but also suggests fewer internal falsifications were raised; treat the set as informational but somewhat fragile to single-source or single-analyst errors.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
13 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+1.0 to the score
1 document
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.5 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.4 to the score
2 holdings records
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 filing
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.6 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on ODFL Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.