OXY
Occidental Petroleum CorporationEvidence as of 2026-09-03Overview · Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, North Africa, and Latin America. It operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The company's Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids…
Management team
- Mr. R. Jordan Tanner · Vice President of Investor RelationsFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Jeff F. Simmons · Senior VP of Technical & Operations Support and Chief Petrotechnical OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Kenneth Dillon · Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas OperationsFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Richard A. Jackson · Senior VP and President of Operations - U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon ManagementFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.4 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is constructive (+0.4 of a possible +2; was +0.4 before debate) with high confidence. Reported total revenues rose from $5,230,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-30) to $8,065,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-31). Diluted earnings per share moved from $3.13 in fiscal Q1 2026 to $2.75 in fiscal Q2 2026, while weighted‑average diluted shares outstanding were 1,006,900,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 and 1,012,200,000 in fiscal Q2 2026; point‑in‑time common shares outstanding were 999,637,371 as of 2026-07-31.
Balance sheet and valuation snapshots in the packet show multi‑quarter leverage improvement and stronger liquidity: long‑term debt fell from $24,787,000,000 as of 2025-03-31 to $12,800,000,000 as of 2026-06-30, and cash and cash equivalents rose from $1,968,000,000 as of 2025-12-31 to $4,150,000,000 as of 2026-06-30. Trailing twelve‑month free cash flow is $1,826,000,000 (FCF per share $1.804), producing a price‑to‑FCF of 33.76 at the listed price of $60.91, and trailing EPS of $6.79 gives a trailing P/E of 8.97 at that same price. The model in the packet implies a sustained FCF growth rate of 22.25% would be required to justify the listed price under its assumptions.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Reported total revenues were $5,230,000,000 for the fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and rose to $8,065,000,000 for the fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-030584Diluted earnings per share were $3.13 in the fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and decreased to $2.75 in the fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-030584Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
No computed signal history for this symbol yet — signals need roughly 70 trading days of price history.
Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is a holding in the IVV ETF with a weight of 0.05% of the fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThe documented IVV position shows OXY's representation in that major index fund is small (0.05% weight), indicating modest passive index exposure in this single ETF holding.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Multiple headlines link Occidental Petroleum's share movement on 1–2 September 2026 to crude oil price spikes tied to Middle East tension, specifically citing Strait of Hormuz developments as a market driver.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-02A second Kalkine Media headline on 1 September 2026 frames Occidental's stock move as directly responding to oil price spikes, describing the Permian-focused producer as a 'direct read on crude prices.'
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-01Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model calculates an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 22.25% that today's price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve‑month free cash flow (FCF) is $1,826,000,000 and FCF per share is $1.804, giving a price-to-FCF of 33.76 at the listed price of $60.91 (price date 2 September 2026).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-reported fundamentals jointly support a constructive read: reported revenues rose materially between Q1 and Q2 2026 (fundamentals-0), long-term debt has declined meaningfully over successive quarters (fundamentals-3), and cash and stockholders’ equity have both increased through mid‑2026 (fundamentals-4, fundamentals-5). Those balance-sheet improvements plus a relatively low trailing P/E of 8.97 (valuation-2) counter the narrative that valuation metrics are solely stretched — the enterprise value and market cap context (valuation-3) show deleveraging alongside cash accumulation. Market commentary and analyst coverage framing Occidental as a low‑cost, integrated producer and a ‘strong value stock’ (news-0, news-1, news-2, news-3) reinforce the interpretation that recent operating and financial trends are being noticed by investors and some sell‑side firms. While valuation models flag high implied long‑term FCF growth to justify the current price, financial advisors often note that rapid debt reduction and improved cash conversion can materially change a capital‑intensive firm’s cash flow profile over a short horizon; therefore, the net of reported improvements provides a favorable read against the bear focus on stretched FCF assumptions.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.37
17 surviving claims rest on 8 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 35% of them, and 100% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving read is moderately fragile: many claims rest on a relatively small set of sources and one analyst accounts for a large share of the desk's assertions, which reduces independent corroboration. The fact that everything the desk raised survived internal debate means the set is consistent internally but also that alternative interpretations may not have been fully stress‑tested.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
12 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score
5 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on OXY Gold
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Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.