PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-17The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community in the United States to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The company provides Palantir Gotham, a software platform which enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the hand…
Management team
- Mr. Shyam Sankar · CTO & Executive VPFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. David B. MacNaughton · President of Palantir CanadaFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Stephen Andrew Cohen · Co-Founder, President, Secretary & DirectorFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Peter Andreas Thiel · Co-Founder & ChairmanFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
Evidence balance: Mixed ( - 0.3 of a possible + 2; confidence high). Over the reported sequence revenue rose from $ 1,003,697,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30) to $ 1,935,464,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30), with gross profit moving from $ 810,763,000 to $ 1,638,594,000 and gross margin expanding from ~ 80.7 % to ~ 84.7 % across those quarters. Operating income and net income also increased materially (operating income from $ 269,317,000 to $ 912,004,000; net income from $ 326,727,000 to $ 1,061,890,000), and diluted EPS rose from $ 0.13 to $ 0.41 while diluted shares outstanding were roughly steady.
The balance sheet shows cash and cash equivalents of $ 2,030,047,000 as of fiscal Q2 2026 and total assets of $ 11,678,564,000 as of fiscal Q2 2026, and the market picture is mixed: price sits above the 50- and 200-day SMAs (golden cross true) but realized volatility is elevated (30‑day annualized vol ~ 55.8 %; 90‑day ~ 73.9 %). Valuation signals show very high market-implied expectations — an implied FCF growth input of ~ 92.83 % combined with trailing P/FCF of 297.48 and trailing P/E of 164.47 — and filings highlight sensitivity to reputational, government budget, and sales-cycle risks.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue rose across the reported quarters: $1,003,697,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30), $1,181,092,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30), $1,632,583,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31) and $1,935,464,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001321655-26-000041Gross profit increased alongside revenue: $810,763,000 in fiscal Q2 2025, $973,785,000 in fiscal Q3 2025, $1,412,785,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 and $1,638,594,000 in fiscal Q2 2026.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001321655-26-000041Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed 2026-02-17 added a risk that "our reputation and business may be harmed by news or social media coverage or other external scrutiny of Palantir or our leadership," highlighting reputational/media attention as a separately called-out exposure.
10-K filed 2026-02-17The 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed 2026-02-17 added or materially reworded language flagging the risk that "there may be a decline in the U.S. and other government budgets, changes in spending or budgetary priorities, or delays in contract awards," emphasizing sensitivity to government budget and contracting timing.
10-K filed 2026-02-17Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-16, the 3-month momentum is +30.8% (63rd percentile of the 561-stock research universe).
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-16weakened in debateAs of 2026-09-16, the 12-month momentum (12_1) is -4.7% and ranks in the 28th percentile of the 561-stock research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-16weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional 13F-reported holdings sum to a total value of "$196.44B" as of the reporting period ended 2026-06-30; the data set notes that 13F filings carry a 45-day reporting lag.
13F holdings · 2876 filers · as of 2026-06-30The largest named 13F holders listed are BlackRock, Inc. ($22.15B), VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC ($17.05B), and STATE STREET CORP ($12.19B) in the 2026-06-30 13F snapshot.
13F holdings · 2876 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Palantir announced tightened rules on external generative AI models, curbing use of OpenAI and Anthropic models across its platforms.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-16Several headlines noted Palantir stock gained on 16 September 2026 while the broader market dipped, characterizing the move as company-specific relative strength that day.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-16Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Alexander C. Karp reported multiple open-market sales on 20 August 2026 totaling $88,160,000 across reported lots including 306,544 shares for $53.6M and additional lots of 63,629 shares for $11.2M and 62,498 shares for $10.9M (other lots also present) in the filing dated 20 August 2026.
Form 4 · Karp Alexander C. (See Remarks) · $0 code C · 2026-08-20Jeffrey Buckley reported several sales between 20 August 2026 and 21 August 2026 totaling approximately $559,000 across multiple small lots (for example: 1,565 shares for $274k, 1,250 shares for $218k, and other smaller lots) in the filings dated 20–21 August 2026.
Form 4 · Buckley Jeffrey (See Remarks) · $218k sold · 2026-08-21Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model reports an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 0.9283 (92.83%) that today’s price would justify under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice-to-FFO/FCF on a trailing twelve-month basis is 297.48 (price_to_fcf = 297.48).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The set of fundamentals (fundamentals-0 through fundamentals-5) collectively show accelerating top-line revenue, expanding gross profit and margins, rising operating and net income, and improving EPS with stable share count — all consistent with a company moving from scale toward stronger profitability and free-cash-flow generation. Balance sheet strength (fundamentals-5 and valuation-4) — growing cash balances and no reported long-term debt in the model inputs — combined with large reported trailing operating cash flow and FCF (valuation-3) bolster the view that current operations are producing meaningful cash. Market and ownership signals (market-0, market-2, ownership-0, ownership-1, ownership-2, news-1, news-2) indicate recent positive price momentum, institutional allocation by major managers, ETF exposure, and supportive analyst coverage, which together support a favorable market reception of the company’s operational progress. While valuation metrics flag elevated expectations (valuation-0, valuation-1, valuation-2, valuation-5), the bull case points to the demonstrated material improvement in earnings and cash generation as the core rationale for why the market might be pricing in premium expectations — an evidentiary link rather than a predictive claim.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
diversified0.29
35 surviving claims rest on 19 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 17% of them, and 96% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving set rests on a moderate number of distinct sources but a meaningful share of claims trace back to a small number of contributors, so individual analysts and key filings carry noticeable influence. The very high debate survival rate means these claims were not easily displaced in internal review, increasing their surface-level robustness; however, several important conclusions (especially valuation and market-signal interpretations) remain sensitive to model inputs and a few primary filings, so treat the read as informative but not immune to revision.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 12th of 21 in Software—Infrastructure (as of 2026-09-16).
6-month relative strength ranks 16th of 21 in Software—Infrastructure (as of 2026-09-16).
90-day volatility ranks 9th of 21 in Software—Infrastructure (as of 2026-09-16).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
9 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+1.5 to the score
12 documents· 4 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.8 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.8 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
4 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−1.3 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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