PNW
Pinnacle West Capital CorporationEvidence as of 2026-10-09The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation, through its subsidiary, Arizona Public Service Company, provides retail and wholesale electric services primarily in the state of Arizona. The company engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity using coal, nuclear, gas, oil, and solar generating facilities. Its transmission facilities include overhead lines and underground lines; and distribution facili…
Management team
- Mr. Jeffrey B. Guldner · Non-Executive AdvisorFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Andrew D. Cooper · Senior VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Theodore N. Geisler · Chairman of the Board, President and CEOFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Christopher Bauer · VP & TreasurerFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Cautious ( -0.5 of a possible +2; was -0.5 before debate) · confidence high. Revenue in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-28 was $ 1,455,749,000, up from $ 1,358,751,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-31 and up from $ 1,149,597,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-28. Operating income in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-28 was $ 305,672,000, roughly flat with $ 307,552,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-31 and materially higher than $ 131,174,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-28, producing an operating margin of about 21.0% versus about 22.6% a year earlier and about 11.4% the prior quarter.
Trailing twelve‑month metrics show a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.69 and an enterprise-value-to-EBITDA of 6.69 with EBITDA (TTM) at $ 2,271,921,000; free cash flow (TTM) is negative $ 1,017,691,000 while net cash from operations (TTM) is $ 1,196,149,000 and capital expenditures (TTM) are $ 2,213,840,000. Market signals are mixed: dividend yield is + 3.72% (86th percentile), short-term momentum is negative ( 3‑month - 9.4%, 6‑month - 5.4%), longer-window momentum shows + 13.9% on the 12_1 measure but relative strength versus SPY is negative, and beta to SPY is - 0.13. The company’s 2026 Form 10‑K added explicit risk language on regulatory oversight, water supply and drought, cybersecurity, nuclear-specific risks at Palo Verde (about 18% of capacity), and workforce retirement exposure (about 26.1% eligible to retire by end of 2030).
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo) was $1,455,749,000, up from $1,358,751,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo) and up from $1,149,597,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000764622-26-000041Operating income was $305,672,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo), essentially flat with $307,552,000 in fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo) but up from $131,174,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000764622-26-000041Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The company’s 2026 annual filing (Form 10-K filed 25 Feb 2026) added explicit risk language that Arizona Public Service (APS) is subject to comprehensive regulation by federal, state and local agencies (including the ACC and FERC) that significantly influence APS’s rates, liquidity and ability to recover costs in a timely manner.
10-K filed 2026-02-25The 2026 annual filing (Form 10-K filed 25 Feb 2026) added or emphasized risks relating to water supply and drought, noting Colorado River shortages and the potential for limited access to water supplies used by some APS generating plants.
10-K filed 2026-02-25Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Trailing twelve-month dividend yield is +3.72% and ranks in the 86th percentile of the 881-stock research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-08Short-term momentum is negative: 3-month momentum is -9.4% and 6-month momentum is -5.4%, with 6-month momentum ranking in the 32th percentile of 881.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-08Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of the 2026-06-30 13F reporting period, institutional holders reported a combined position value of "$13.95B" in the company.
13F holdings · 732 filers · as of 2026-06-30The top five reported institutional holders in the 2026-06-30 13F were Capital Research Global Investors ($1.76B), BlackRock, Inc. ($1.26B), VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC ($845.0M), STATE STREET CORP ($750.8M), and BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC ($703.6M).
13F holdings · 732 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Several recent headlines note a modest trim to Pinnacle West Capital’s fair value estimate from US$105.46 to US$102.79, with coverage tying the refinement to Arizona regulatory execution and the timing of large loads.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-07Multiple pieces report that Pinnacle West held a special call and that that event has drawn renewed investor attention to management communication and upcoming developments.
News · simplywall.st · 2026-10-04Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Jacob Tetlow reported two sales on 13 May 2026: one sale of "6526" shares valued at "$646k" and another sale of "41" shares valued at "$4k".
Form 4 · Tetlow Jacob (insider) · $646k sold · 2026-05-13Paula J. Sims reported an "action: code A" transaction on 14 May 2026 involving "1665" shares valued at "$166k".
Form 4 · Sims Paula J (Director) · $166k code A · 2026-05-14Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Price-to-earnings (TTM) is 14.69.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeEnterprise value-to-EBITDA (TTM) is 6.69 and EBITDA (TTM) is 2,271,921,000.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The evidence set jointly supports a favorable read because revenue growth accelerated in fiscal Q2 2026 versus both year-ago and sequential quarters (fundamentals-0), operating income recovered materially from Q1 levels while remaining roughly flat year-over-year (fundamentals-1), and total assets expanded meaningfully through June 2026 (fundamentals-6). Market and valuation signals add supportive context: the trailing dividend yield is high relative to the research universe (market-0) and valuation multiples such as P/E 14.7 and EV/EBITDA 6.7 are consistent with a valuation framework that many investors view as attractive (valuation-0, valuation-1). Institutional ownership is large and concentrated among major asset managers with a rising reported position value QoQ (ownership-0, ownership-1, ownership-2), which is strong evidence of sustained institutional interest. The bear points about negative free cash flow, higher long-term debt, regulatory and water/cyber risks, and short-term price momentum are factual in the filings (valuation-3, fundamentals-5, filings-0/1/2/3, market-1), but their evidentiary strength varies: negative FCF is strong evidence of cash intensity, debt increase is moderate-to-strong evidence of leverage growth, regulatory and environmental risk language is strong as a disclosure of exposure (but is descriptive rather than dispositive), and short-term momentum is a weaker, market-timing signal relative to the company-level operational metrics. Overall, the balance of operating recovery, asset growth, institutional ownership and relative valuation form the core supportive evidence, while cash flow, leverage and regulatory disclosures warrant monitoring as key qualifiers.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
diversified0.28
40 surviving claims rest on 22 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 99% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a moderate breadth of sources but a small number of contributors carry noticeable weight; one analyst accounts for nearly a fifth of surviving claims, which raises dependence risk. The very high internal survival rate (99%) suggests the desk found little to refute during debate, which reduces internal counters and increases fragility — treat discrete claims as informational snapshots rather than robust consensus.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 5th of 16 in Utilities—Regulated Electric (as of 2026-10-08).
6-month relative strength ranks 3rd of 16 in Utilities—Regulated Electric (as of 2026-10-08).
90-day volatility ranks 3rd of 16 in Utilities—Regulated Electric (as of 2026-10-08).
dividend yield ranks 5th of 16 in Utilities—Regulated Electric (as of 2026-10-08).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.0 to the score
13 documents· 4 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.8 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.6 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
5 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.6 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on PNW Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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