RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DEEvidence as of 2026-09-30The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE
Rivian Automotive, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and accessories. The company offers five-passenger pickup trucks and seven-passenger sports utility vehicles. It provides Rivian Commercial Vehicle platform for Electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. The company sells its products directly to customers in the consumer and commercial markets. Rivian Automotive,…
Management team
- Ms. Anisa Kamadoli Costa · Chief Sustainability OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Jimmy Knauf · Executive Vice President of FacilitiesFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Nick Kalayjian · Chief Product Development OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Michael J. Callahan · Chief Legal Officer & SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed ( -0.1 of a possible +2; confidence high). Revenue from contracts rose and fell across the reported quarters: $ 1,303,000,000 for the fiscal quarter ended 2025-06-30 (Q2 2025), $ 1,558,000,000 for the fiscal quarter ended 2025-09-30 (Q3 2025), $ 1,381,000,000 for the fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-31 (Q1 2026), and $ 1,658,000,000 for the fiscal quarter ended 2026-06-30 (Q2 2026).
Gross profit moved from a loss of $ 206,000,000 in Q2 2025 to positive $ 24,000,000 in Q3 2025, then $ 119,000,000 in Q1 2026 and $ 179,000,000 in Q2 2026. Operating loss narrowed from $ 1,114,000,000 in Q2 2025 to $ 836,000,000 in Q2 2026, while quarterly net losses were large and uneven: -$ 1,117,000,000 in Q2 2025, -$ 1,173,000,000 in Q3 2025, -$ 416,000,000 in Q1 2026, and -$ 833,000,000 in Q2 2026. Cash and cash equivalents declined from $ 4,812,000,000 as of 2025-06-30 to $ 2,845,000,000 as of 2026-03-31 before rebounding to $ 3,592,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 (Q2 2026).
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue from contracts: 1,303,000,000 for the fiscal quarter 2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2025) and 1,558,000,000 for the fiscal quarter 2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30 (fiscal Q3 2025), 1,381,000,000 for the fiscal quarter 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2026), and 1,658,000,000 for the fiscal quarter 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001874178-25-000036Gross profit (quarterly) progressed from -206,000,000 in the fiscal quarter 2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2025) to 24,000,000 in the fiscal quarter 2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30 (fiscal Q3 2025), then 119,000,000 in the fiscal quarter 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2026) and 179,000,000 in the fiscal quarter 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001874178-25-000036Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
On August 24, 2026, the company's Chief Financial Officer, Claire McDonough, notified the company of her decision to resign.
8-K filed 2026-08-27The resignation is effective October 30, 2026 (the "Effective Date").
8-K filed 2026-08-27Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-29, RIVN's beta vs SPY is 2.04 and its correlation vs SPY is 0.38, indicating a high sensitivity to market moves but only moderate contemporaneous co-movement.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-29Trailing volatility is elevated: 30‑day annualized volatility is +41.2% and 90‑day annualized volatility is +67.7%; the 90‑day volatility ranks in the 87th percentile of the 567‑security research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-29Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional 13F-reported holdings total $15.27B as of 2026-06-30 (13F filings carry a 45-day reporting lag).
13F holdings · 840 filers · as of 2026-06-30AMAZON COM INC is listed as the largest 13F-reported institutional holder with $2.75B as of 2026-06-30.
13F holdings · 840 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Coverage on 29 Sept 2026 highlights Rivian discussing an in-house autonomy rollout late in the year alongside a production ramp of the R2 midsize SUV at an Evercore ISI event.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-29Several headlines in late September 2026 report a rearview camera recall that Rivian addressed via a software fix, keeping quality and remediation in focus.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-26Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Claire McDonough (Chief Financial Officer) sold 8,023 shares for $128k on 2026-08-20 under a stated 10b5-1 trading plan.
Form 4 · McDonough Claire (Chief Financial Officer) · $128k sold · 2026-08-20Claire McDonough (Chief Financial Officer) sold 13,144 shares for $191k on 2026-08-18 and the filing states the sale was made pursuant to a 10b5-1 trading plan.
Form 4 · McDonough Claire (Chief Financial Officer) · $191k sold · 2026-08-18Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (fcf_ttm) is negative $4,928,000,000 and free cash flow per share (fcf_per_share) is negative $3.7192.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeNet income per share (eps_ttm) is negative $2.89 for the trailing twelve months.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-reported metrics jointly support a favorable read: sequential quarterly revenues and gross profit improved materially across the reported quarters, with gross profit moving from a substantial negative to positive figures and revenue rising between comparable quarters — these figures come from SEC filings and are high-strength primary data. Institutional interest is sizable and growing by the quarter (13F holdings of $15.27B, largest holder Amazon, and +60 holders QoQ), which is a strong, objective signal of investor participation. Market and news items show company-specific catalysts (R2 production ramp and an in-house autonomy rollout) covered across multiple outlets, which is medium-strength corroboration of operational progress. These points together rebut bear points focused solely on drawdown/volatility and headline departures by highlighting improving operational profitability metrics and continued institutional backing; however, the evidence for large trailing cash burn and negative free cash flow remains strong and relevant when weighing overall financial health.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.32
39 surviving claims rest on 18 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 15% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving-read set is anchored largely in primary filings and a compact set of sources, which makes many claims documentable and durable. However, a noticeable share of claims ties back to a small number of contributors and the desk’s high internal survival rate suggests strong consensus — useful for monitoring but also vulnerable to group-confirmation effects if new, independent evidence appears.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 3rd of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-29).
6-month relative strength ranks 5th of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-29).
90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-29).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
10 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.3 to the score
10 documents· 2 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.5 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−1.2 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.6 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
18 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot+0.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on RIVN Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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