RSG
REPUBLIC SERVICES, INC.Evidence as of 2026-10-08The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · REPUBLIC SERVICES, INC.
Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States. It is involved in the collection and processing of recyclable, solid waste, and industrial waste materials; transportation and disposal of non-hazardous and hazardous waste streams; and other environmental solutions. Its residential collection services include curbside collection of material for transport to t…
Management team
- Ms. Julia Arambula · Senior Vice President of Operations & Environmental SolutionsFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Catharine D. Ellingsen J.D. · Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Ethics & Compliance Officer and Corporate SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Gregg K. Brummer · Executive VP & COOFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Brian M. DelGhiaccio · Executive VP & CFOFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The desk finds a mixed evidence balance (score −0.3 of a possible +2; confidence high). Quarterly revenues reported rose from $ 4,699,000,000 in Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-30) to $ 5,076,000,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-30), while operating income increased from $ 830,000,000 to $ 901,000,000 and net income rose from $ 525,259,000 to $ 566,077,000 over the same pair of fiscal quarters. Diluted EPS moved from $ 1.70 to $ 1.84, shares outstanding have trended down to 306,212,978 as of 2026-07-30, and the company reported $ 292,000,000 of repurchases in Q1 2026 consistent with the declining share count.
Balance-sheet snapshots show $ 34,366,000,000 in assets and $ 11,968,000,000 in stockholders’ equity as of 2025-12-31 and long-term debt of $ 13,710,000,000 on that date; cash and cash equivalents were $ 118,000,000 as of 2026-03-31 and $ 107,000,000 as of 2026-06-30. Market and ownership metrics include a market cap of $ 66,197,121,584, enterprise value of $ 79,800,121,584, FCF (TTM) $ 1,922,100,000, and valuation multiples such as P/FCF ~ 34.6 and EV/EBITDA ~ 15.06; institutional 13F holdings total $ 36.10B as of 2026-06-30 with major holders and a cluster of Form 4 insider purchases reported in August–September 2026.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Quarterly revenues rose from $4,699,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to $5,076,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001060391-26-000212Operating income increased from $830,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to $901,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001060391-26-000212Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The Annual Report on Form 10-K filed 18 February 2026 states that at current consumption levels a $0.20 per gallon change in diesel fuel changes Republic Services' fuel costs by approximately $26 million on an annual basis and, at current participation rates, changes the company's fuel recovery fee by approximately $42 million.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0001060391-26-000094 vs 0001060391-25-000091The 10-K filed 18 February 2026 discloses commodity-price sensitivity for recycled materials: at current volumes and mix, a $10 per ton change in recycled commodity prices changes both annual revenue and operating income by approximately $13 million, and the company currently has no hedging agreements in place to offset such volatility.
Item 1A risk-factor diff · 0001060391-26-000094 vs 0001060391-25-000091Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Three- and six-month momentum measures are negative at -1.1% and -0.2%, and twelve-month momentum (12_1) is -2.7%, with the 6-month momentum at the 43th percentile of the 866-stock universe and the 12_1 momentum at the 31th percentile of the 866-stock universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-07weakened in debateRelative strength versus SPY is negative at -15.1% over six months and -19.0% over twelve months, with the 6-month relative-strength rank at the 43th percentile of the 866-stock universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-07Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional 13F-reported holdings total $36.10B as of the period ended 2026-06-30.
13F holdings · 1312 filers · as of 2026-06-30Top institutional holders reported include BlackRock, Inc. at $3.80B and VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC at $2.78B in the 13F as of the period ended 2026-06-30.
13F holdings · 1312 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Benzinga published pieces on 2026-10-07 and 2026-10-02 framing Republic Services in a long-term returns context with headlines calculating what a $1,000 and a $100 investment 10 years ago would be worth today.
News · benzinga.com · 2026-10-07simplywall.st ran a 2026-10-07 story that screened Republic Services as potentially undervalued and highlighted mixed recent share performance (gains over the past week but declines over the past month and past three months).
News · simplywall.st · 2026-10-07Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
The aggregated summary reports total insider buys of "$1582.7M" and total insider sells of "$458k" inside the 180-day window.
Form 4 · CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. (10% owner), GATES WILLIAM H III (10% owner) · $59.8M bought · 2026-09-04All parsed Form 3/4/5 transactions in the evidence list the transacting parties as "CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. (10% owner), GATES WILLIAM H III (10% owner)" (i.e., a 10% owner and an affiliated entity) on dates from 2026-09-03 through 2026-09-11.
Form 4 · CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. (10% owner), GATES WILLIAM H III (10% owner) · $59.8M bought · 2026-09-04Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model finds the FCF growth rate today's price would justify is 22.9% (implied_growth = 0.229).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closePrice-to-free-cash-flow (TTM) is 34.6.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-reported fundamentals show quarter-over-quarter improvement in top-line and profitability (fundamentals-0 through fundamentals-3), supported by active share repurchases and a declining share count (fundamentals-4 and fundamentals-5) that are consistent with rising diluted EPS. Free cash flow on a trailing-twelve-month basis is substantial (valuation-4), and large institutional holders and concentrated reported holdings (ownership-0 and ownership-1) provide evidence of institutional conviction. A cluster of sizable insider purchase filings (insider-2, insider-3, insider-4) reinforces that some significant owners added exposure in the reported period. Contesting selected bearish points, some disclosed sensitivities (fuel, recycled materials, labor) describe exposure but do not negate the contemporaneous operational and cash-flow metrics; additionally, several market signals show non-correlated behavior versus the S&P and constructive technical context (market-2 and market-4), which complicates a simple negative momentum narrative.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.35
41 surviving claims rest on 17 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 20% of them, and 99% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a moderate breadth of sources (17) supporting 41 claims, so many facts are cross-checked; however a single analyst accounts for one-fifth of the surviving points and debate survivorship was very high, meaning challenges were limited and a subset of contributors carry outsized influence. In short, the evidence base is reasonably broad but not robust to concentrated analyst dependence or to a fresh filing that could materially revise key line items.
Peer context · computed, not argued
6-month relative strength ranks 2nd of 2 in Waste Management (as of 2026-10-07).
90-day volatility ranks 2nd of 2 in Waste Management (as of 2026-10-07).
dividend yield ranks 2nd of 2 in Waste Management (as of 2026-10-07).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
12 documents· 2 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.7 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.3 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.3 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
3 filings· 1 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot+0.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on RSG Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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