SHW
The Sherwin-Williams CompanyEvidence as of 2026-10-08The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · The Sherwin-Williams Company
The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of paints, coating, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial, and retail customers. It operates through three segments: The Americas Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Americas Group segment offers architectural paints and coatings, and protective and marine products, as well as OEM produ…
Management team
- Ms. Mary L. Garceau · Senior VP, Chief Legal Officer & SecretaryFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Karl J. Jorgenrud · President of Global IndustrialFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Justin T. Binns · President of Global ArchitecturalFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Allen J. Mistysyn · Senior VP of Finance & CFOFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Cautious ( -0.5 of a possible +2; was -0.5 before debate) · confidence high. Revenue rose to $ 6,789,300,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-06-30 (Q2 2026) from $ 5,666,900,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-03-31 (Q1 2026). Net income increased to $ 843,600,000 in Q2 2026 from $ 534,700,000 in Q1 2026, and diluted EPS moved from $ 2.15 to $ 3.43 across those quarters.
Gross profit and margin were essentially stable: gross profit was $ 3,338,000,000 in Q2 2026 implying about a 49.2% gross margin versus $ 2,780,500,000 and roughly 49.0% in Q1 2026. Balance-sheet and cash-flow evidence shows cash and equivalents rose to $ 293,500,000 as of 2026-06-30 while long-term debt increased to $ 9,825,700,000 as of that date; trailing twelve‑month free cash flow is negative $ 598.2 million and market capitalization was $ 76,468,817,565 using the $ 315.00 price on 2026-10-07.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue was $6,789,300,000 in the quarter 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2026), up from $5,666,900,000 in the quarter 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000089800-26-000049Net income rose to $843,600,000 in the quarter 2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30 (fiscal Q2 2026) from $534,700,000 in the quarter 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (fiscal Q1 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000089800-26-000049Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The company added or materially reworded risk disclosures stating that ongoing inflation and elevated interest rates have impacted customer behavior and that the company expects inflationary pressure to continue to impact consumer and manufacturing customer behavior during 2026, including effects in the U.S. housing market and global industrial markets.
10-K filed 2026-02-19The company added risk language noting unexpected shortages or cost increases for raw materials and energy have in the past and may in the future adversely affect earnings or cash flow, and it specifically identifies petrochemical-derived resins, latex and solvents, titanium dioxide and various additives as purchased inputs.
10-K filed 2026-02-19Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Momentum measures are negative: 3-month momentum -5.1%, 6-month momentum -5.9%, and 12-1 momentum -11.8%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-07weakened in debateCross-sectional momentum percentiles are low within the research universe: 6-month momentum ranks at the 31th percentile of 866 and 12-1 momentum ranks at the 21th percentile of 866.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-10-07weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of the 13F reporting period ended 2026-06-30, institutional holders reported a total position value of $67.76B in SHW, with 1,751 reporting holders and a quarter-over-quarter reported value change of 11.1%.
13F holdings · 1751 filers · as of 2026-06-30Top reported institutional holders in the 2026-06-30 13F data included BlackRock, Inc. at $6.10B, STATE STREET CORP at $5.36B, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC at $5.22B, FMR LLC at $2.56B, and MORGAN STANLEY at $2.29B.
13F holdings · 1751 filers · as of 2026-06-30Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
A report noted that Royal Bank of Canada’s rating on the stock was reaffirmed as 'outperform' and referenced a published price target in coverage summarizing analyst action.
News · thelincolnianonline.com · 2026-10-01Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
On 2026-08-17, Justin T. Binns reported a sale of 13,500 shares for "$4.8M" (action: sold).
Form 4 · Binns Justin T (President, Glob. Architectural) · $0 code G · 2026-08-18On 2026-08-17, Justin T. Binns reported an associated entry of 13,500 shares with value "$1.2M" (action: code M) in the same filing.
Form 4 · Binns Justin T (President, Glob. Architectural) · $0 code G · 2026-08-18Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The share price used was $315.00 as of the price date 2026-10-07.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve‑month free cash flow (FCF) is negative $598.2 million and FCF per share is negative $2.4317 for the trailing twelve months.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The quarter-to-quarter operating results show clear improvement: revenue, gross profit, net income and diluted EPS all rose materially in fiscal Q2 2026 versus Q1 2026, while shares outstanding declined — a combination that improved per-share earnings power in the reported period. Institutional ownership is large and increased in reported value, and major managers (BlackRock, State Street, Vanguard) appear among the largest holders, which is a constructive signal about broad investor engagement. Trailing twelve‑month operating income remains sizable ($4.917B) and cash and equivalents increased quarter-over-quarter, which provides context for the company’s reported investment and acquisition activity (including the completed Suvinil acquisition). Against the bear points about leverage and negative free cash flow, the evidence shows the company is generating strong operating profits and is deploying capital (capex and acquisitions) that explain negative FCF and higher reported long-term debt; these items appear linked to growth and integration activity rather than a sudden operating collapse.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.42
38 surviving claims rest on 11 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 21% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read has moderate breadth (11 sources) but moderate fragility: one analyst line accounts for a fifth of surviving claims and a very high persistence rate from the desk debate suggests few internal challenges remained. That concentration plus a small number of primary regulatory filings means individual new filings or a reversal in a key market signal could materially change how much weight to place on this package of claims.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 4th of 5 in Specialty Chemicals (as of 2026-10-07).
6-month relative strength ranks 3rd of 5 in Specialty Chemicals (as of 2026-10-07).
90-day volatility ranks 3rd of 5 in Specialty Chemicals (as of 2026-10-07).
dividend yield ranks 4th of 5 in Specialty Chemicals (as of 2026-10-07).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
9 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.3 to the score
12 documents· 4 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−1.0 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.5 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.5 to the score
7 headlines· 1 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
2 filings· 1 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.3 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on SHW Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.