SNDK
SanDisk CorpEvidence as of 2026-09-16The desk's Snapshot
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Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Mixed ( -0.3 of a possible +2; confidence high). Revenue, gross profit, net income and diluted EPS all rose sharply across the three reported fiscal quarters: revenue moved from $ 2,308,000,000 in the quarter ended 2025-10-03 (Q1 2026) to $ 3,025,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-01-02 (Q2 2026) and to $ 5,950,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-04-03 (Q3 2026). Diluted EPS expanded from $ 0.75 to $ 5.15 to $ 23.03 over those same single‑quarter periods, while weighted‑average diluted shares were 149,000,000, 156,000,000 and 157,000,000, respectively.
Cash and cash equivalents rose from $ 1,442,000,000 as of 2025-10-03 to $ 4,762,000,000 as of 2026-07-03, and long‑term debt fell from $ 1,331,000,000 to $ 0 over the same set of point‑in‑time snapshots. Market signals are mixed: very strong longer‑term momentum measures (momentum_12_1 at +3391.0% and six‑month momentum +117.6%) sit alongside short‑term negative momentum (three‑month momentum -27.4%), elevated volatility (30‑day annualized vol 90.0%, 90‑day vol 124.9%), and price trading above the 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs. The Form 10‑K filed 17 August 2026 added several explicit risk disclosures, including cyber‑security, warranty/product defect exposure, new business‑model guarantees, and an equity investment in Nanya that could be impaired.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue for single fiscal quarters rose from $2,308,000,000 in the quarter ended 2025-10-03 to $3,025,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-01-02 and to $5,950,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-04-03.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-25-050698Gross profit for single fiscal quarters expanded from $687,000,000 in the quarter ended 2025-10-03 to $1,541,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-01-02 and to $4,662,000,000 in the quarter ended 2026-04-03.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-25-050698Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The Form 10-K filed 17 August 2026 states that the company added risks that “the compromise, damage or interruption of our technology infrastructure, systems or products from cybersecurity incidents, data security breaches or other related problems could have a material negative impact on our business.”
10-K filed 2026-08-17The Form 10-K filed 17 August 2026 discloses new risk language that product defects could lead to costly warranty claims, litigation, indemnification claims or termination of long‑term sales agreements.
10-K filed 2026-08-17Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Momentum over the trailing 12-month minus 1-month (momentum_12_1) is +3391.0% and ranks at the 100th percentile of the 559-stock research universe.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-15weakened in debateSix-month momentum (momentum_6m) is +117.6% and ranks at the 98th percentile of the 559-stock research universe; six-month relative strength vs SPY (rel_strength_6m) is +104.1% and ranks at the 98th percentile.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-15weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-10, the stock is held in the IVV ETF at a weight of 0.52% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThere are nine Form 4 filings recorded between 2026-08-04 and 2026-09-02, indicating a cluster of insider filing events in August–early September 2026.
Form 4 × 9 (90d window not enforced here)Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Multiple outlets are reporting a high nominal share price and related stock-split discussion, with one headline saying shares have topped $1,500.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-15Coverage includes AI-related growth themes for the company's storage business and side-by-side comparisons with other memory/storage names.
News · zacks.com · 2026-09-15Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
David Goeckeler (Chairman and CEO) reported a sale reported as “code F” of 49,782 shares valued at "$73.7M" on 2026-08-25.
Form 4 · Goeckeler David (Chairman and CEO) · $73.7M code F · 2026-08-25Luis Felipe Visoso (EVP & CFO) reported a sale reported as “code F” of 25,655 shares valued at "$41.1M" on 2026-08-20.
Form 4 · Visoso Luis Felipe (EVP & CFO) · $2.5M code F · 2026-08-21Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
As of price date 2026-09-15 the model uses a per-share price input of 1530.895 and reports a market capitalization of 224,152,116,536.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeCash and cash equivalents reported as of 2026-07-03 are $4,762,000,000 and reported long-term debt is $0.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The evidence shows dramatic quarter‑over‑quarter improvement in core results: revenue, gross profit, net income and diluted EPS all expanded sharply across the three reported quarters, while cash balances rose meaningfully and long‑term debt was eliminated — a balance‑sheet shift that strengthens liquidity metrics. Board actions and market signals further reinforce a constructive read: the Board authorized sizable repurchase programs, long‑term and six‑month momentum metrics rank at the top of the research universe, price sits above key moving averages, and multiple sell‑side firms maintain buy ratings. The bear case leans on risk‑disclosure language, recent insider Form 4s and elevated near‑term volatility; those points are either generic risk statements typical of a Form 10‑K, are weakened by parsed filing gaps or 10b5‑1 filing detail, or are offset by institutional ownership and very strong longer‑horizon momentum. Financial advisors often suggest that rapid earnings and cash‑flow improvements combined with debt elimination and director buyback authorization are material signals about operational and capital‑allocation changes, while diversification principles indicate volatility and insider transactions warrant informational context rather than sole reliance.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
diversified0.29
38 surviving claims rest on 20 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 16% of them, and 96% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence base is moderately resilient: 38 surviving claims draw on 20 distinct sources, so many claims are corroborated but not overly redundant. The largest analyst influence is limited (16%), and 96% survival in peer review suggests few internal challenges — however, that high survival rate could indicate limited critical pushback rather than absolute certainty, so treat the read as informative but not conclusive.
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
8 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+1.8 to the score
12 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.6 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−0.2 to the score
2 holdings records
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.3 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
12 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−1.3 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on SNDK Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.