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TGT

TARGET CORPEvidence as of 2026-09-02

Overview · TARGET CORP

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. The company offers apparel for women, men, boys, girls, toddlers, and infants and newborns, as well as jewelry, accessories, and shoes; and beauty and personal care, baby gear, cleaning, paper products, and pet supplies. It also provides dry grocery, dairy, frozen food, beverages, candy, snacks, deli, bakery, meat, and food service; e…

SectorConsumer Defensive
IndustryDiscount Stores
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees440,000
corporate.target.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.3 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.8
Filings and risk
+0.0
Market signals
+0.7
Ownership and flow
+0.8
Insider activity
−0.9

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.4 observed
3 favorable1 neutral1 unfavorableacross 4 outlets · 6 stories deduped to 5 storylines

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The evidence balance is Mixed ( +0.3 of a possible +2; was +0.3 before debate) · confidence high. Revenue rose sequentially from 23,846,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2025-05-23 ( Q1 2025 ) to 26,539,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-08-21 ( Q2 2026 ), with operating income at 2,560,000,000 in Q2 2026 after a trough of 1,135,000,000 in the fiscal quarter ended 2026-05-22 ( Q1 2026 ). Net income and diluted EPS show the same pattern: net income reached 1,877,000,000 and diluted EPS 4.11 in Q2 2026 after lower results the prior year, while shares outstanding moved only modestly around the mid‑400 millions.

Market and ownership signals sit alongside those fundamentals: price momentum and relative strength are strong (momentum_6m +36.8%, momentum_12_1 +55.0%), price trades above the 50‑ and 200‑day moving averages with a golden cross, and trailing P/E is 17.46 with EV/EBITDA 9.63. Cash flow and balance‑sheet items add caution: trailing twelve‑month free cash flow is negative 747,000,000, capex exceeded operating cash flow by about 747,000,000 over the TTM, and reported cash of 2,680,000,000 is materially smaller than long‑term debt of 14,398,000,000.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Revenue rose from $23,846,000,000 in the quarter ended 3 May 2025 to $25,211,000,000 in the quarter ended 2 August 2025, $25,668,000,000 in the quarter ended 1 November 2025, $25,443,000,000 in the quarter ended 2 May 2026, and $26,539,000,000 in the quarter ended 1 August 2026.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000027419-26-000022

Operating income was $1,472,000,000 in the quarter ended 3 May 2025, $1,317,000,000 in the quarter ended 2 August 2025, $1,168,000,000 in the quarter ended 1 November 2025, $1,135,000,000 in the quarter ended 2 May 2026, and then increased to $2,560,000,000 in the quarter ended 1 August 2026.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000027419-26-000042
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

On August 19, 2026 Target filed an 8-K attaching a News Release that contains its financial results for the three months ended August 1, 2026.

8-K filed 2026-08-19

The News Release attached to the 8-K filed August 19, 2026 was executed by Jim Lee, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, on August 19, 2026.

8-K filed 2026-08-19
NashAI market signals analyst
+1.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

As of 2026-09-01, TGT shows strong medium- and longer-term price momentum: momentum_6m is +36.8% (91th percentile of 547) and momentum_12_1 is +55.0% (85th percentile of 547).

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01weakened in debate

Price is trading above both short- and long-term moving averages: price_vs_sma50 is +12.6% and price_vs_sma200 is +36.0%, and a golden_cross flag is true.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-01
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+1.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of the 13F reporting period ended 31 March 2026, institutional holders reported a total of $46.46B in TGT positions and a holder count of 1,836.

13F holdings · 1836 filers · as of 2026-03-31

BlackRock, Inc. reported $4.59B in TGT holdings, State Street Corp reported $4.54B, Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC reported $2.65B (new position), FMR LLC reported $2.41B, and Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc reported $1.70B in the 13F for the period ended 31 March 2026.

13F holdings · 1836 filers · as of 2026-03-31
YatesAI news analyst
+1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

A September 1, 2026 article on finance.yahoo.com reports Target is up about 70% year-to-date in 2026.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-01

Coverage on September 1, 2026 highlights retail demand concerns and softer discretionary spending as a reason Target and the sector are drawing attention.

News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-01
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
−2.0

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

Executive Officer Brian C. Cornell reported multiple open-market sales totaling $17.331M across filings on 7 April 2026 (code F, $2.6M, 21,697 shares), 27 May 2026 (two entries: $6.4M for 49,000 shares and $131k for 1,000 shares), and 25 August 2026 ($8.2M for 50,000 shares).

Form 4 · Cornell Brian C (Executive Officer) · $0 code A · 2026-04-07

Executive Officer Melissa K. Kremer reported an open-market sale of $2.6M for 15,500 shares on 24 August 2026.

Form 4 · Kremer Melissa K (Executive Officer) · $2.6M sold · 2026-08-24
ArcherAI valuation analyst
+0.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

At the price 163.75 on 2026-09-01 the company's market capitalization is 74,391,090,520 and enterprise value is 86,109,090,520.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Trailing twelve‑month EPS is 9.38 and the reported trailing P/E is 17.46.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 8 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

Several company-level fundamentals and market signals together support a favorable read: recent quarterly top-line growth is consistent across four of five quarters, and the August 1, 2026 quarter shows a material inflection in operating income, net income, and diluted EPS versus prior quarters. Market-price momentum, price trading well above short- and long-term SMAs, positive relative strength versus the S&P 500, and significant institutional ownership provide corroborating market validation. Valuation multiples (trailing P/E ~17.5 and EV/EBITDA ~9.6) are consistent with a valuation framework that many analysts view as reasonable given improving earnings, while dividend yield and ETF holdings indicate income and passive-investor interest. The bear points about insider selling, negative trailing free cash flow and elevated capex, and a large 3-year drawdown are factually present but have weaknesses in interpretation or context: insider sales are concentrated in a finite window with at least one insider acquisition noted, cash-flow headwinds coincide with higher capex (which filings/news also link to strategic investment), and the large historical drawdown contrasts with a small current drawdown and strong recent price momentum.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

A September 1, 2026 article on finance.yahoo.com reports Target is up about 70% year-to-date in 2026.The reported headline that Target is up ~70% YTD in 2026 on 1 September 2026 is a verifiable market-coverage statement from the cited article.upheld
Coverage on September 1, 2026 highlights retail demand concerns and softer discretionary spending as a reason Target and the sector are drawing attention.Coverage noting retail demand concerns and softer discretionary spending as sector themes on 1 September 2026 is accurately reflected in the cited article.upheld
As of 2026-09-01, TGT shows strong medium- and longer-term price momentum: momentum_6m is +36.8% (91th percentile of 547) and momentum_12_1 is +55.0% (85th percentile of 547).The momentum metrics are reported, but the base‑rate flag indicates similar momentum is common across the universe so this signal is less company‑specific.weakened
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

diversified0.25

40 surviving claims rest on 24 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 99% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The evidence base is moderately robust: 40 surviving claims come from 24 distinct sources, so findings are not single-source dependent, but one analyst accounts for a meaningful share of contributions. The fact that 99% of raised points survived debate suggests low internal pushback, which can indicate either strong corroboration or debate conservatism — treat the read as informative but give it tempered weight because of some analyst concentration.

Peer context · computed, not argued

12-1 momentum ranks 1st of 3 in Discount Stores (as of 2026-09-01).

6-month relative strength ranks 1st of 3 in Discount Stores (as of 2026-09-01).

90-day volatility ranks 1st of 3 in Discount Stores (as of 2026-09-01).

dividend yield ranks 1st of 3 in Discount Stores (as of 2026-09-01).

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-01
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

15 filings· 2 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score

9 documents· 3 cited

SEC filing documents

The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.

Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash+0.7 to the score

3 holdings records· 1 cited

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.8 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

14 filings· 2 cited

Insider filings

Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.

Read by Talbot−0.9 to the score

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-f17fc9d2evidence 915555acf7begenerated 9/2/2026, 4:59:44 AM · 105s15 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.