TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-03Overview · The TJX Companies, Inc.
The TJX Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer in the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. It operates through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The company sells family apparel, including footwear and accessories; home fashions, such as home basics, furniture, rugs, lighting products, giftware, soft hom…
Management team
- Peter Benjamin · Senior EVP & Group PresidentFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Debra McConnell · Senior Vice President of Global CommunicationsFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Alicia C. Kelly · Executive VP, Secretary & General CounselFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Jeff Botte · Vice President of Investor RelationsFind on LinkedIn
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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.
+0.8 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
What the evidence shows
The desk rates the evidence balance as Constructive (+0.8 of a possible +2; was +0.8 before debate) · confidence high. Core reported results show diluted EPS rising from $ 0.92 for the quarter ended 3 May 2025 to $ 1.36 for the period referenced around the quarter that includes 1 August 2026, and single‑quarter net income increasing from $ 1,036,000,000 to $ 1,520,000,000 over the same span. Shares outstanding fell by 32,025,939 to 1,099,974,061 as of 21 August 2026, and the company repurchased $ 613,000,000 and $ 604,000,000 in reported cash in the individual quarters ended 3 May 2025 and 2 May 2026 respectively. Balance sheet and market context are mixed: total assets grew to $ 37,115,000,000 while long‑term noncurrent debt declined to $ 1,871,000,000, but valuation multiples are elevated (trailing P/E of 26.63, EV/EBITDA of 23.94, trailing TTM price‑to‑FCF 138.9) and short‑term momentum is weak even as 12_1 momentum is positive.
What the debate changed
Analysts argued over interpretation but the surviving claims were not materially weakened or dropped; the evidence balance remained Constructive at + 0.8. The chair declined to remove any of the core accounting or market measurements, so the read retains both the earnings and buyback evidence alongside the valuation and short‑term momentum concerns. The debate did, however, highlight the contrast between very low market beta/correlation and elevated short‑term volatility and price drawdown versus moving averages, which tempered overly simple narratives about defensive characteristics.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.
Diluted earnings per share rose from $0.92 for the quarter ended 3 May 2025 to $1.36 for the quarter ended 1 August 2026.
XBRL companyfacts · 0000109198-26-000034Net income for a single quarter increased from $1,036,000,000 (period ended 3 May 2025) to $1,520,000,000 (period ended 1 August 2026).
XBRL companyfacts · 0000109198-26-000034Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Beta vs SPY is 0.09 and correlation vs SPY is 0.06 as of 2026-09-02, indicating very low market sensitivity in this dataset.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02Short-term momentum is negative: 3-month momentum is -16.6% and 6-month momentum is -18.3%, with the 6-month momentum ranked at the 9th percentile of the 547-stock research universe on 2026-09-02.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, The TJX Companies, Inc. is a constituent of the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) with a reported weight of 0.26% of that fund.
ETF constituents · market dataThis data point indicates passive index exposure to TJX via a large S&P 500 ETF (IVV) at the reported weight, which is factual context about one channel of institutional/passive ownership.
ETF constituents · market dataReads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Finance.yahoo.com (published 2026-09-01) and zacks.com (published 2026-09-01) carried coverage highlighting that TJX's HomeGoods comparable sales rose about 7% and that the division shows rising basket size, transactions, and broad merchandise strength.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-01Kalkine Media (published 2026-08-31) reported that The TJX Companies raised its global store target to 7,500 alongside commentary tying that expansion to margin growth.
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-08-31Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.
Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The valuation implies the free cash flow (FCF) must grow at 64.8% per year to justify today's price under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeThe trailing twelve‑month price-to-FCF multiple is 138.9, implying a very low current FCF yield relative to the share price.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several company-specific fundamentals collectively support a constructive, bull-oriented interpretation: quarterly diluted EPS and net income have risen meaningfully (fundamentals-0, fundamentals-1) while share count has been reduced (fundamentals-2), which together raise earnings per share on a per-share basis. The balance sheet shows progress via lower long-term debt (fundamentals-4) and rising total assets (fundamentals-5), and reported ongoing repurchases (fundamentals-3) alongside a modest dividend with multi-year growth (market-6) indicate cash return capacity. Operational color (news-0, news-1) points to rising HomeGoods comps and an expanded global store target tied to margin commentary, and longer-term momentum (market-2) and passive ETF inclusion (ownership-0) provide structural demand context that contrasts with short-term price weakness. In rebuttal to bear points that emphasize valuation and recent price action, the improving earnings, shrinking share base, debt reduction, and operating signals suggest the valuation multiples are operating against a backdrop of improving per-share fundamentals and cash distribution capacity; those fundamentals are the strongest evidence here rather than market-timing indicators alone.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.39
25 surviving claims rest on 10 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 28% of them, and 96% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The evidence set has modest source breadth but a concentration risk: a single analyst accounts for over a quarter of surviving claims, and most of the desk's points survived debate, which can indicate low internal pushback. That combination means the read carries factual support but is somewhat fragile to new high‑quality counterevidence or a single source being revised.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 3 in Apparel Retail (as of 2026-09-02).
6-month relative strength ranks 2nd of 3 in Apparel Retail (as of 2026-09-02).
90-day volatility ranks 3rd of 3 in Apparel Retail (as of 2026-09-02).
dividend yield ranks 1st of 3 in Apparel Retail (as of 2026-09-02).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
13 filings· 1 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+1.5 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash+0.0 to the score
1 holdings record
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+1.0 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
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The full terminal on TJX Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.