TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-15The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · T-Mobile US, Inc.
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to customers in the postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband routers, and other mobile communica…
Management team
- Ms. Deeanne King · Executive VP & Chief People OfficerFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Michael J. Katz · President of Marketing, Strategy & ProductsFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Doug Chartier · Senior Vice President of Sales and MarketingFind on LinkedIn
- Ms. Janice V. Kapner · Executive VP and Chief Communications & Corporate Responsibility OfficerFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.5 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The evidence balance is Cautious ( -0.5 of a possible +2 ) with high confidence. Revenue rose from $21,957,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-17) to $23,107,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-24) and $22,791,000,000 in Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-17). Operating income moved from $4,530,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 to $4,497,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 and then to $5,490,000,000 in Q2 2026, while net income and diluted EPS followed a similar uptick to $3,239,000,000 and $2.99 in Q2 2026.
The company returned substantial cash to shareholders via repurchases of $4,826,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 and $2,320,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 even as cash and cash equivalents declined from $5,598,000,000 as of 31 December 2025 to $2,825,000,000 as of 30 June 2026 and long-term debt stood at $86,282,000,000 per the 10-K filed 11 February 2026. Market signals show weakened momentum (three-month -3.3%, six-month -15.4%) and elevated trailing volatility (30-day +27.6%, 90-day +35.6%), while valuation metrics imply a negative implied FCF growth of -5.81% at the then-current price.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue was $23,107,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) and $22,791,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo), while revenue for fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo) was $21,957,000,000.
XBRL companyfacts · 0001283699-26-000063Operating income increased from $4,497,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) to $5,490,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo), with operating income of $4,530,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001283699-26-000101Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The 10-K filed 11 February 2026 adds expanded competition language that explicitly names AT&T and Verizon and highlights intensified competition across prepaid, postpaid, enterprise and government segments and from cable providers, noting this could put pressure on pricing and margins.
10-K filed 2026-02-11The 10-K filed 11 February 2026 expands and strengthens disclosures about cyberattacks, stating the company experienced cyberattacks in August 2021 and January 2023, that those events led to significant costs from mass arbitration claims, class actions, and an FCC investigation, and that ongoing third-party and nation-state risks remain.
10-K filed 2026-02-11Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
Three-month momentum is -3.3% and six-month momentum is -15.4%.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-14weakened in debateThe six-month momentum ranks in the 9th percentile of 559 (low relative momentum in the research universe).
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-14weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional holders reported collective holdings valued at $88.21B as of the 13F reporting period ended 2026-03-31, with 1,715 holders and total reported value down 1.3% quarter-over-quarter.
13F holdings · 1715 filers · as of 2026-03-31Top reported institutional holders in the 13F for the period ended 2026-03-31 included BlackRock, Inc. ($8.22B), VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC ($6.24B), STATE STREET CORP ($4.98B), WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP ($3.61B), and MORGAN STANLEY ($3.02B).
13F holdings · 1715 filers · as of 2026-03-31Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Several recent pieces report management presenting a growth strategy focused on 5G, broadband and AI at investor events, with coverage of the CEO's presentation at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-13Press coverage highlights the company emphasizing continued growth opportunities in wireless, broadband, business services and adjacencies while noting an upcoming CFO retirement planned for 2027.
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-14Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Andre Almeida (Chief Broadband, Ent. & Emerg) reported an open-market purchase of $1.0M for 5,097.44 shares on 2026-05-01.
Form 4 · Almeida Andre (Chief Broadband, Ent. & Emerg) · $1.0M bought · 2026-05-01Jon Freier (Chief Operating Officer) reported a sale of $912k for 4,799 shares on 2026-05-21 that the filing states was executed under a 10b5-1 trading plan.
Form 4 · Freier Jon (Chief Operating Officer) · $912k sold · 2026-05-21Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The model-implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate that the current price (182.9 on 2026-09-14) would justify is -5.81% (a negative 5.81% annual FCF growth).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeTrailing twelve-month FCF is $18.81 billion and trailing twelve-month operating cash flow is $29.171 billion while trailing twelve-month capital expenditures are $10.361 billion (FCF = OCF - CapEx roughly matches the stated FCF).
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
The company’s reported operating and top-line metrics show sequential improvement: revenue, operating income, net income and diluted EPS rose across the referenced quarters, while management materially reduced share count and executed sizable share repurchases—signals that reported cash generation and capital return activity supported per-share fundamentals over the interval. Institutional ownership is large and concentrated among major asset managers, and multiple insider open-market purchases (including a $1.0M purchase by a senior broadband executive) together with public investor-event coverage of a 5G / broadband / AI growth strategy provide corroborating evidence that corporate priorities emphasize growth and shareholder returns. The bear case leans heavily on short-term price momentum, elevated trailing volatility, expanded risk disclosures in the 10‑K, and a model-implied negative FCF growth rate; however, those points are market- or disclosure-driven observations and are counterbalanced here by strong trailing operating cash flow, meaningful trailing FCF, and conventional valuation multiples (P/FCF ~10.5, EV/EBITDA ~8.3, P/E ~17.4) that reflect positive historical cash generation. Financial advisors often suggest distinguishing between operational results and market sentiment; the provided filings do expand explicit risk language (which is common practice) but do not negate the contemporaneous reported improvements in profitability and per-share metrics documented in the filings and related disclosures.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.33
39 surviving claims rest on 19 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 20% of them, and 95% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The read rests on a reasonably broad set of claims but those claims come from a limited pool of sources and a single analyst carries a material share of the weight; that increases the chance that a small number of documents or an individual interpretation could shift the picture. High debate-survival means the desk found the claims robust in review, but source concentration and analyst dependence reduce how much independent confidence to place in borderline or interpretive assertions.
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 5th of 6 in Telecom Services (as of 2026-09-14).
90-day volatility ranks 3rd of 6 in Telecom Services (as of 2026-09-14).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 3 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer+0.8 to the score
11 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.8 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−1.3 to the score
3 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis+0.4 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
16 filings· 2 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot+0.0 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on TMUS Gold
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Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
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