TSLA
Tesla, Inc.Evidence as of 2026-09-15The desk's Snapshot
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Overview · Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise,…
Management team
- Mr. Elon R. Musk · Co-Founder, Technoking of Tesla, CEO & DirectorFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Rodney D. Westmoreland Jr. · Director of Construction ManagementFind on LinkedIn
- Mr. Turner Caldwell · Engineering ManagerFind on LinkedIn
- Travis Axelrod · Head of Investor RelationsFind on LinkedIn
Start free to see the full management team.
Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.
Moneyta sentiment
Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it, not a rating or a recommendation.
−0.9 on a −2 to +2 scale.
What builds the score
Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.
Editor's note
Written after the debate settled. The rest of the page is the evidence behind it.
The desk judges the evidence balance as Cautious ( -0.9 of a possible +2; confidence high). Reported revenue moved from $28,095,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-16) to $22,387,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-16) and recovered to $28,236,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-07-16). Gross profit sat near $4.7–$5.1 billion across those quarters, with $5,054,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025, $4,770,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 and $4,751,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026.
Operating income declined from $941,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 to $398,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 even as net income rose from $477,000,000 to $1,114,000,000 over the same two quarters; diluted EPS moved from $0.13 to $0.32. Share count has risen on reported dates to 3,949,547,394 common shares outstanding as of 2026-07-16, and long-term debt increased from $5,609,000,000 as of 2025-09-30 to $7,721,000,000 as of 2026-06-30 while cash and equivalents fell from $18,289,000,000 to $15,219,000,000 over the same span.
How this note was made
every stage ran before the note was writtenAnalyst desk
Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else (no outside knowledge, no browsing), so every finding traces to a source you can open.
Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC (revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter) and reports which way the trend is running.
Revenue was $28,095,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo) and fell to $22,387,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) before rising to $28,236,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-25-045968Gross profit was $5,054,000,000 in fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo), $4,770,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo), and $4,751,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30, 3mo).
XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-25-045968Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.
Which filings the desk reads
The desk reads the annual 10-K in full: its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet; its risk analysis fills in once that lands.
The Annual Report on Form 10-K filed 29 January 2026 added explicit risk language tying the company's future business to development of driver assistance systems, autonomous driving solutions and mass production of Cybercab (a purpose-built Robotaxi), and stated that success will require further advancement in AI and efficient, cost-effective manufacturing and supply chains.
10-K filed 2026-01-29The 10-K filed 29 January 2026 added new risk wording noting that battery cell mass production depends in part on prices and availability of raw materials such as lithium and nickel, and that fluctuations or constrained supply could prevent suppliers from meeting the company's volume needs.
10-K filed 2026-01-29Reads the signal panel above (momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta) and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.
As of 2026-09-14, TSLA's beta vs SPY is 2.23 and its correlation vs SPY is 0.61.
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-14Three-month momentum (ending 2026-09-14) is -11.7% and six-month momentum is -8.2%; six-month momentum ranks in the 19th percentile of the research universe (19th percentile of 559).
Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-14weakened in debateReads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.
Institutional 13F-reported holdings total $713.56B as of the period ended 2026-03-31, with 4,174 holders and a reported quarter-over-quarter aggregate value change of -20.2%.
13F holdings · 4174 filers · as of 2026-03-31BlackRock, Inc. is reported as a top holder with a $77.37B position and a quarter-over-quarter reported value change of -18.1% for the period ended 2026-03-31.
13F holdings · 4174 filers · as of 2026-03-31Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.
Coverage includes questions about Tesla's model mix and whether that could 'change the story.'
News · kalkinemedia.com · 2026-09-14Several outlets ran pieces framed around Tesla's recent stock performance versus the prior year, using headlines like 'If You'd Invested $1,000 in Tesla Stock 1 Year Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today' that note Tesla 'hasn't been its usual market-beating self.'
News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-14Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5: who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.
Elon Musk filed transactions on 16 June 2026 reporting 303,960,630 shares with a reported value of "$7094.4M" (action code M) in the filing dated 16 June 2026.
Form 4 · Musk Elon (CEO) · $7094.4M code M · 2026-06-16Elon Musk filed on 16 June 2026 an entry reporting 17,531,857 shares with a reported value of "$7094.4M" (action code F) in the same 16 June 2026 filing.
Form 4 · Musk Elon (CEO) · $7094.4M code M · 2026-06-16Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.
The price-to-earnings (TTM) reported is 306.81.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeThe enterprise value to EBITDA (TTM) reported is 288.96.
Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD closeDebate and risk review
A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.
A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score. The argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.
Several analyst claims jointly support a favorable read: revenue showed a rebound from Q1 2026 to Q2 2026, and net income and diluted EPS increased over the same interval, showing an improvement in reported profitability even as gross profit and operating income did not rise. Large institutional ownership snapshots and notable ETF weightings indicate sustained investor participation, and a director-filed acquisition (10b5-1) is recorded among insider activity. These points together suggest that, in the reported quarters, top-line momentum and bottom-line earnings per share moved in constructive directions while market participants continued to hold material positions. The bear case emphasizes valuation multiples, recent insider sales, rising share count, higher leverage and weak momentum metrics; those items are contestable in light of the reported sequential earnings recovery and continued institutional exposure, though they remain relevant risk observations.
Chair's verdict, claim by claim
Fragility · computed, not argued
balanced0.36
38 surviving claims rest on 15 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 18% of them, and 97% of what the desk raised survived the debate.
The surviving read is supported by multiple primary filings and market data, which reduces single-source fragility, but a modest number of sources still carry disproportionate weight. The fact that one analyst/authoring line accounts for a notable share and that 97% of claims survived internal debate means the set is internally consistent and durable for informational use, though sensitive to updates from a few key inputs (next filings, large holdings reports, or price-series moves).
Peer context · computed, not argued
12-1 momentum ranks 4th of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-14).
6-month relative strength ranks 7th of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-14).
90-day volatility ranks 3rd of 8 in Auto Manufacturers (as of 2026-09-14).
Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers
Context
Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.
Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment. When the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.
What this was built from
Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here (no outside knowledge, no browsing), and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.
11 filings· 2 cited
SEC XBRL filings
Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data, not retyped or estimated.
Read by Mercer−0.5 to the score
4 documents· 3 cited
SEC filing documents
The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.
Read by Oakes−0.8 to the score
1 signal set
Moneyta signal set
Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.
Read by Nash−1.3 to the score
2 holdings records· 1 cited
Fund holdings
Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.
Read by Ellis−0.2 to the score
8 headlines· 2 cited
News coverage
Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.
Read by Yatesnothing survived
4 filings· 1 cited
Insider filings
Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state, with stated and inferred flags kept apart.
Read by Talbot−0.5 to the score
1 computation
Valuation inputs
TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.
Read by Archercontext only
1 record· 0 cited
Company profile
Sector, industry and company details.
1 record· 0 cited
Analyst consensus
Third-party consensus, shown for context only; it never enters Moneyta sentiment.
Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal; the gap is shown rather than hidden.
Written by AI, checked against sources
The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.
Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.
The full terminal on TSLA Gold
Who holds it, who's buying, what the Street thinks: live behind the lock, updated as filings land.
Institutional holders
Net institutional flow, Q/Q
Largest holder position
Insider buys, 90 days
Clustered insider value
Street target range
The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.
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Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.