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TXT

TEXTRON INCEvidence as of 2026-09-03

Overview · TEXTRON INC

Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates through six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft; and offers maintenance, inspection, and repair s…

SectorIndustrials
IndustryAerospace & Defense
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees34,000
www.textron.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

+0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+1.0
Market signals
−0.8
Ownership and flow
+0.0

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.6 observed
4 favorable2 neutral0 unfavorableacross 5 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The surviving claims establish a mixed operating picture with modest top‑line and earnings gains between comparable reported quarters. Reported revenues rose from $ 3,306,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2024-12-29 to 2025-03-29, 3mo) to $ 3,827,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-05 to 2026-07-04, 3mo), an increase of $ 521,000,000, while net income (loss) moved from $ 207,000,000 to $ 248,000,000 and diluted EPS from $ 1.13 to $ 1.42 over the same two quarter-periods. The share count shows a multi‑quarter reduction: entity common shares outstanding declined from 182,572,762 as of 2025-02-01 to 171,986,917 as of 2026-07-17, supported by $ 215,000,000 of cash paid for repurchases in fiscal Q1 2025 (2024-12-29 to 2025-03-29, 3mo) and falling weighted‑average diluted shares (183,668,000 to 175,006,000).

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Reported revenues for fiscal Q1 2025 (2024-12-29 to 2025-03-29, 3mo) were $3,306,000,000 and for fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-05 to 2026-07-04, 3mo) were $3,827,000,000, an increase of $521,000,000 between those quarter-periods.

XBRL companyfacts · 0000217346-25-000046

Net income (loss) was $207,000,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2024-12-29 to 2025-03-29, 3mo) and $248,000,000 in fiscal Q2 2026 (2026-04-05 to 2026-07-04, 3mo).

XBRL companyfacts · 0000217346-26-000036
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Nothing in this slice of the evidence rose to a claim — a quiet read, which itself is information.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

NashAI market signals analyst
−1.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

Over the past 6 months (as of 2026-09-02) the 6-month price momentum is -20.2% and ranks in the 8th percentile of the 547-company research universe.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debate

Over the past 12 months (12_1) momentum is +15.5% and sits at the 50th percentile of the 547-company research universe (as of 2026-09-02).

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02weakened in debate
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+0.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2026-09-02T13:45:47.228469+00:00, the ETF membership record shows TXT included in IVV with a weight of 0.02% of the fund.

ETF constituents · market data

The record documents a single ETF membership data point (IVV) with the stated weight percent of fund equal to 0.02 at the timestamp shown.

ETF constituents · market data
YatesAI news analyst
+1.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

Coverage highlights Textron's Q2 2026 results and a planned sale of its Industrial segment, noting adjusted earnings of $1.62 per share for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

News · simplywall.st · 2026-08-28

Textron appointed Brian Rohloff as president and CEO of its Textron Aviation segment, effective 31 August 2026, following the retirement of Ron Draper.

News · simplywall.st · 2026-08-31
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
no data on file

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

No insider transactions on file in the trailing 180 days.

ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

The share price used in this evidence is $79.24 as of 2026-09-02.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Trailing twelve-month free cash flow (FCF) is -$428,000,000 and free cash flow per share is -$2.4456 on the same trailing basis.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 5 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

The provided company-reported fundamentals show rising top-line and bottom-line metrics across the cited quarter-pairs: revenue increased by $521M, net income rose from $207M to $248M, and diluted EPS moved from $1.13 to $1.42, which together present multi-quarter operating and earnings improvement in the documented periods. Share-count reduction and documented repurchase activity (declining weighted-average diluted shares and $215M repurchases) strengthen the per-share earnings signal by reducing outstanding shares. Market-context items that are negative on short-term price momentum and volatility coexist with a neutral-to-modestly-valued earnings multiple (ttm EPS $5.15, trailing P/E ~15.4) and a low beta/low correlation to the market, which reduces contemporaneous market sensitivity. News evidence (adjusted EPS disclosure, management succession in Aviation, institutional purchases, and cited industry growth in the freighter market) provides corroborating corporate and industry-level context that aligns with the financial improvements. Taken together, the strongest, directly sourced company filings and corroborating news items form the most robust evidence in favor of a favorable operational and per-share earnings read; market- and valuation-based negatives rely more on price action and cash-flow metrics that are weaker or require further context.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

Coverage highlights Textron's Q2 2026 results and a planned sale of its Industrial segment, noting adjusted earnings of $1.62 per share for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.News coverage referenced Textron's Q2 2026 results and the planned Industrial-segment sale including adjusted EPS disclosure.upheld
Textron appointed Brian Rohloff as president and CEO of its Textron Aviation segment, effective 31 August 2026, following the retirement of Ron Draper.Press reports cite the appointment of Brian Rohloff as Textron Aviation president/CEO effective 31 Aug 2026.upheld
Over the past 6 months (as of 2026-09-02) the 6-month price momentum is -20.2% and ranks in the 8th percentile of the 547-company research universe.The claim reports TXT's 6-month momentum, but a base-rate flag indicates the momentum statistic is situated within a broader market context and may overstate company-specific inference.weakened
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.34

25 surviving claims rest on 12 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 24% of them, and 96% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The evidence base is relatively durable: most surviving claims rested on a dozen distinct sources and nearly all desk challenges lasted through debate, so these readings are not fragile to routine scrutiny. However, one analyst contributes nearly a quarter of the surviving claims, and a meaningful share of claims depend on a small set of filings and computed signals — so any error or revision in those dominant sources would disproportionately change the picture.

Peer context · computed, not argued

12-1 momentum ranks 5th of 9 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).

6-month relative strength ranks 7th of 9 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).

90-day volatility ranks 5th of 9 in Aerospace & Defense (as of 2026-09-02).

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-02
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

14 filings· 2 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+1.0 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash−0.8 to the score

1 holdings record

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-0d7c3fe1evidence 3ba81ce8df59generated 9/3/2026, 4:25:15 AM · 80s14 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.