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VMC

Vulcan Materials CompanyEvidence as of 2026-09-03

Overview · Vulcan Materials Company

Vulcan Materials Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies construction aggregates primarily in the United States. It operates through four segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete, and Calcium. The Aggregates segment provides crushed stones, sand and gravel, sand, and other aggregates; and related products and services that are applied in construction and maintenance of highways, streets, and oth…

SectorBasic Materials
IndustryBuilding Materials
Typeequity
ExchangeNYSE
Employees11,974
www.vulcanmaterials.com

Management team

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Links open LinkedIn searches, not verified profiles. Team data from our market-data vendor's company profile.

Moneyta sentiment

Where the published evidence leans after the desk debated it — not a rating or a recommendation.

Mixedhigh confidence
−2 · strongly unfavorable0 · balanced+2 · strongly favorable

−0.1 on a −2 to +2 scale.

What builds the score

Fundamentals
+0.9
Filings and risk
+0.0
Market signals
−0.5
Ownership and flow
+0.0
Insider activity
−0.7

Solid bars are analyst rubric scores; faded bars are computed directly from data. Claims dropped in debate count for nothing; weakened claims count at half weight.

News tonecontext · not scored+0.2 observed
2 favorable3 neutral1 unfavorableacross 3 outlets

Editor's note

Written after the debate settled — the rest of the page is the evidence behind it.

GoodwinAI editor

The evidence balance is Mixed ( -0.1 of a possible +2; it was -0.1 before the debate) with confidence high. Revenue in the most recent fiscal Q1 2026 (fiscal quarter ended 2026-04-21) was $ 1,755,900,000, up from $ 1,634,600,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-04-22). Gross profit, operating income, net income and diluted EPS all rose year‑over‑year in fiscal Q1 2026 versus fiscal Q1 2025 — gross profit to $ 422,700,000 (from $ 365,300,000), operating income to $ 265,400,000 (from $ 226,400,000), net income to $ 165,500,000 (from $ 128,900,000) and diluted EPS to $ 1.26 (from $ 0.97).

At the same time the evidence set shows seasonality in gross‑dollar and profitability metrics with larger absolute gross profit, operating income and EPS reported in fiscal Q2 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-07-22) and fiscal Q3 2025 (fiscal quarter ended 2025-10-21). Market signals are mixed-to-negative: short and intermediate momentum are negative (3m = -7.3%, 6m = -10.3%), price sits below the 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs, volatility is elevated (30d ann. = 31.9%), and valuation multiples (P/E TTM = 35.33, price-to‑FCF = 176.31) imply the current price embodies a very large acceleration in free cash flow relative to the trailing twelve‑month FCF of $ 196,400,000.

How this note was made

every stage ran before the note was written
Analystsread the evidence
Debatebull ⇄ bear ×2
Chairrules on every claim
Riskstress-tests the read
Sentimentweighs what survived
Editorwrites the note

Analyst desk

Mercer, Oakes, Nash, Ellis, Yates, Talbot and Archer. The desk: named AI agents, not people. Each reads one slice of the evidence and nothing else — no outside knowledge, no browsing — so every finding traces to a source you can open.

MercerAI fundamentals analyst
+1.0

Reads the XBRL figures companies file with the SEC — revenue, margins, income, debt and share count, quarter by quarter — and reports which way the trend is running.

Revenue in the most recent fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo) was $1,755,900,000, up from $1,634,600,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo).

XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-028318

Gross profit rose from $365,300,000 in fiscal Q1 2025 (2025-01-01 to 2025-03-31, 3mo) to $422,700,000 in fiscal Q1 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31, 3mo); gross profit for fiscal Q2 2025 (2025-04-01 to 2025-06-30, 3mo) was $625,200,000 and for fiscal Q3 2025 (2025-07-01 to 2025-09-30, 3mo) was $697,200,000, showing larger gross-dollar results in the April–September quarters versus the January–March quarter.

XBRL companyfacts · 0001628280-26-028318
OakesAI filings and risk analyst
+0.0

Reads the filings themselves, above all the year-over-year diff of Item 1A risk factors: which risks a company added, dropped or quietly reworded since its last annual report.

Which filings the desk reads

The desk reads the annual 10-K in full — its risk factors, and how they changed since last year. Quarterly 10-Qs and event filings (8-Ks, insider Form 4s) are listed for context but not read line by line: the 10-K is where the material risk disclosures live. A brand-new company, or one we have only just begun tracking, may have no annual report on file yet — its risk analysis fills in once that lands.

A Form 4 filing with the 4 filed 14 August 2026 was submitted on 2026-08-14.

4 filed 2026-08-14

A Form 3 filing with the 3 filed 14 August 2026 was submitted on 2026-08-14.

3 filed 2026-08-14
NashAI market signals analyst
−1.0

Reads the signal panel above — momentum, volatility, drawdown, relative strength and beta — and ranks each against the whole research universe rather than judging it in isolation.

Momentum is negative over the short and intermediate windows: momentum 3m = -7.3% and momentum 6m = -10.3% as of 2026-09-02, with the 6-month momentum ranking in the 19th percentile of the 547-stock research universe.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02

Relative-strength versus the S&P 500 is weak: rel_strength_6m = -22.3% (19th percentile) and rel_strength_12m = -29.6% (36th percentile) as of 2026-09-02.

Moneyta signal set · 2026-09-02
EllisAI ownership and flow analyst
+0.0

Reads which funds hold the name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings, to show the exposure you may already carry through index funds.

As of 2 September 2026, the ETF IVV held VMC at a weight of 0.06% of the fund.

ETF constituents · market data

There are two Form 4 filings for VMC with filed dates 14 August 2026 and 25 August 2026; both records show parse_status "skipped" and no primary document URL in the provided evidence.

Form 4 × 2 (90d window not enforced here)
YatesAI news analyst
+0.0

Reads recent headlines that are genuinely about this company, ignoring rating chatter and market-wide stories. Findings argue in the debate but never move the sentiment score.

A headline on finance.yahoo.com on 3 Sep 2026 reports a new €1.26 billion German lithium project announced under the Vulcan name.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-09-03weakened in debate

finance.yahoo.com on 31 Aug 2026 carried a feature describing Vulcan Materials' work on data and AI platforms and a disciplined focus on high‑value opportunities.

News · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-08-31
TalbotAI insider activity analyst
−1.0

Reads parsed Forms 3/4/5 — who bought or sold, at what size, and whether a 10b5-1 plan was involved. Flags clustered open-market officer buying; treats plan sales as routine and never counts a fund or 10%-holder as an officer.

On 2026-08-21, Hill J Thomas (Director) reported a sale of 5,696 shares for a value of "$1.6M"; the filing shows no trading-plan flag.

Form 4 · Hill J Thomas (Director) · $1.6M sold · 2026-08-21

On 2026-08-21, Hill J Thomas (Director) reported a sale of 3,762 shares for a value of "$1.0M"; the filing shows no trading-plan flag.

Form 4 · Hill J Thomas (Director) · $1.6M sold · 2026-08-21
ArcherAI valuation analyst
−1.0

Reads the implied-expectations math built from the company's own filings (the growth rate today's price would justify, and the multiples beside it) and argues whether the market's bar looks high or low for this business. Never turns the math into a target.

At the price 263.93 (price date 2026-09-02), the model reports an implied free cash flow (FCF) growth rate of 0.7315 (73.15%) under the stated discount and terminal assumptions.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Trailing twelve‑month FCF is 196,400,000 and FCF per share is 1.497 (shares diluted wavg 131,200,000), as reported for the trailing twelve months.

Valuation inputs · SEC XBRL + stored EOD close

Debate and risk review

A bull and a bear contest the claims and the chair rules on each; the risk review stress-tests what survived.

Debate1 round · 11 claims contested

A bull and a bear argue the analysts' claims across two rounds, then a chair rules on each one. Only what survives feeds the score — the argument is shown, not hidden, so you can judge the reasoning yourself.

The bull case

The evidence set contains multiple consistent fundamental positives: year-over-year revenue, gross profit, operating income, net income and diluted EPS all increased in fiscal Q1 2026 versus Q1 2025 (fundamentals-0 through fundamentals-4). Capital-return activity and capital structure improvements — a substantial rise in cash repurchases (fundamentals-6), a modest decline in diluted share count (fundamentals-5) and a meaningful reduction in long-term debt (fundamentals-7) — strengthen per-share metrics and reduce leverage risk. Market signals that are often cited as negatives (momentum and price drawdowns) coexist with below-market beta/low correlation (market-3) and a modest, growing dividend (market-4), which together suggest the observed price weakness may reflect market timing and elevated volatility (market-2) rather than a uniform deterioration of the business. News coverage highlighting work on data and AI platforms and a disciplined focus on high-value opportunities (news-1), plus recent institutional buying reported (news-2), provide corroborating signals of strategic focus and investor interest. The valuation items flag a demanding market multiple (valuation-2 and valuation-4), but the collection of improving income, EPS, share-reduction and buyback activity comprise strong fundamental evidence that supports a favorable read of the company’s operational trajectory.

The bear case

Chair's verdict, claim by claim

A headline on finance.yahoo.com on 3 Sep 2026 reports a new €1.26 billion German lithium project announced under the Vulcan name.Headline references a 'Vulcan' €1.26B German lithium project but relevance to Vulcan Materials (VMC) is unclear in the evidence set.weakened
finance.yahoo.com on 31 Aug 2026 carried a feature describing Vulcan Materials' work on data and AI platforms and a disciplined focus on high‑value opportunities.Finance.yahoo feature describing VMC's data/AI work and focus on high-value opportunities is present in the news evidence.upheld
Momentum is negative over the short and intermediate windows: momentum 3m = -7.3% and momentum 6m = -10.3% as of 2026-09-02, with the 6-month momentum ranking in the 19th percentile of the 547-stock research universe.Short- and intermediate-window momentum metrics (3m = -7.3%, 6m = -10.3%) are reported by the signals dataset.upheld
Risk review

Fragility · computed, not argued

balanced0.36

37 surviving claims rest on 16 distinct sources; the heaviest analyst carries 24% of them, and 99% of what the desk raised survived the debate.

The surviving read is informative but not robustly resilient. A relatively small set of sources and a single analyst carrying nearly a quarter of claims raise concentration risk, and the very high survival rate after debate suggests low internal challenge (which can reflect consensus or groupthink). Treat the set as a coherent narrative supported by the cited filings and computed signals, but down‑weight strong conclusions because of source and analyst concentration.

Peer context · computed, not argued

12-1 momentum ranks 2nd of 3 in Building Materials (as of 2026-09-02).

90-day volatility ranks 3rd of 3 in Building Materials (as of 2026-09-02).

dividend yield ranks 2nd of 3 in Building Materials (as of 2026-09-02).

Disconfirming evidence · base rates · falsifiers

Context

Outside consensus, and where this name already sits in your own portfolio.

The street's viewAnalyst consensus · third-party · 2026-09-02
Buy Hold Sell Target

Third-party consensus shown for context. It never enters Moneyta sentiment — when the two diverge, the debate above is where the why lives.

What this was built from

Every figure on this page traces to one of these. The desk reads only what is listed here — no outside knowledge, no browsing — and each card shows who read it and what it contributed to the score.

10 filings· 1 cited

SEC XBRL filings

Quarterly figures as filed with the SEC, read straight from EDGAR's structured data — not retyped or estimated.

Read by Mercer+0.9 to the score

3 documents· 2 cited

SEC filing documents

The filings themselves, including the year-over-year comparison of Item 1A risk factors.

Read by Oakes+0.0 to the score

1 signal set

Moneyta signal set

Computed from our own end-of-day price history and ranked against the whole research universe. No AI involved.

Read by Nash−0.5 to the score

2 holdings records

Fund holdings

Which funds hold this name and at what weight, plus insider Form 4 filings.

Read by Ellis+0.0 to the score

8 headlines· 2 cited

News coverage

Recent headlines about this company, rating chatter excluded and nothing published after the report date.

Read by Yatesnothing survived

2 filings· 1 cited

Insider filings

Parsed Forms 3/4/5 from EDGAR: named insiders, share counts, prices, and 10b5-1 plan state — stated and inferred flags kept apart.

Read by Talbot−0.7 to the score

1 computation

Valuation inputs

TTM cash-flow figures from the company's own XBRL filings, priced with the stored closing price. Implied growth and multiples only; no fair-value dollar figure reaches the desk, by design.

Read by Archercontext only

1 record· 0 cited

Company profile

Sector, industry and company details.

1 record· 0 cited

Analyst consensus

Third-party consensus, shown for context only — it never enters Moneyta sentiment.

Read means we pulled and handed it to an analyst; cited means a claim on this page points at it. Reading twelve quarters to state one trend is normal — the gap is shown rather than hidden.

Social sentiment

Crowd chatter as an evidence stream.

Coming soon

Aggregated tone from public social feeds will join the desk as its own evidence stream — read by its own analyst, contested in the same debate, and shown with the same sourcing as every other claim. Until it earns that bar, nothing renders here.

RPT-1a48040eevidence d12722175eb2generated 9/3/2026, 4:46:05 AM · 100s15 model calls View trail

Written by AI, checked against sources

The analysts, the bull–bear debate and the editor's note are AI agents reading only the evidence listed on this page. They can misread a filing or a headline, which is why every claim cites a source you can open and check yourself. The sentiment score is arithmetic over the claims that survived the debate, not a language model's opinion.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations. Past patterns do not indicate future results.

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Institutional holders

Net institutional flow, Q/Q

Largest holder position

Insider buys, 90 days

Clustered insider value

Street target range

The real figures are for members. Educational analysis, not advice.

Educational analysis of published data. Moneyta does not give investment advice or make recommendations.