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Insiders and institutions agreeing
Clustered insider buying fires on a stock that also saw institutional accumulation in its latest filed quarter — the conviction screen's setup.
4 closed events so far; honest rates appear at 30. History accrues nightly.
Limited by its insider leg: 2026+ only. Shown for completeness; the screen cites the two component signals' own histories.
Full distribution, year by year, every event Gold
The spread behind the median, how it held up in each year, and each firing with its outcome — plus 1, 3 and 12-month horizons.
p25 / p75 spread
2022 hit rate
12-month median
Further reading
A base rate is not a prediction; past firings do not decide the next one. Educational analysis of published data — insight, not advice.