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Clustered insider buying
Two or more insiders of the same company buy in the open market within a rolling window — the signal literature's strongest insider setup.
4 closed events so far; honest rates appear at 30. History accrues nightly.
SHALLOW HISTORY: insider filings are stored from 2026 onward; history accrues nightly. Rates are refused below 30 closed events rather than shown thin.
Full distribution, year by year, every event Gold
The spread behind the median, how it held up in each year, and each firing with its outcome — plus 1, 3 and 12-month horizons.
p25 / p75 spread
2022 hit rate
12-month median
Further reading
A base rate is not a prediction; past firings do not decide the next one. Educational analysis of published data — insight, not advice.